Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries

Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries

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Weather By The Moon and a combined effect on the Sun. In their half-orbits, Jupiter and Saturn are alternately together on the same side of the sun, and then on either side at 180deg to each other, with the Sun in the middle of them. This condition could be the catalyst to commence the sunspot cycle. The famous Australian forecaster Inigo Jones employed this for many years in his long-range forecasting system. Jupiter and Saturn, he said, shielded the sun from the magnetic field through which the solar system moves. At the time of this shielding, sunspots were absent from the Sun and this was supposedly a time for droughts in Australia. Why this should be so was never mentioned.. But in between were times of sunspots, storms and floods. Based on this, droughts were forecast for the summer of 1995- 1996 and 1998-1999 way back in 1949. So far this has proven correct, for the Crohamhurst Observatory he founded, and his successor Lennox Walker. Apparently the next big drought, with dry summer, autumn and winter, will be 2001-2002 followed by a dry spell in 2004-2005 and a moderate drought in 2007-2008. But the same results could have been forecast from lunar records. The combination of average sunspot cycle periodicity and the cycle of Jupiter is about 35 years. The Moon’s cycle of 29 days and the sunspots’ rotation of between 24 and 28 days can be confused together. Without wishing to cast aspersions on the clearly successful work done by the Crohamhurst Observatory, I think it is worth pointing out that the Sunspot-Jupiter-Saturn effect, which uses records of similar rotation periods, could be shown to if not actually be Moon cycles all along, at least be par- 130

alleling them. What Causes Weather WHAT IS EL NINO? El Nino means a regular eastward migration of warm water from the tropical western Pacific Ocean. Because it was first noticed in recent times by Peruvian and Ecuadorean fishers, it has an Hispanic name. Rather than being a recent phenomenon, samples from a lake high in the Andes have shown El Nino has been playing havoc with the world’s weather for at least 15,000 years. A team led by Don Rodbell, from New York’s Union College, in 1999, digging in the Andes, found a continuous geological record and evidence that ancient civilisations 5,000 and 8,000 years ago planned for and used the El Nino rains to boost crop production. Ice-core records from the Andes in Peru also suggest these climate fluctuations have been part of Earth’s weather cycle for thousands of years. Some scientists speculate the topsy-turvy weather patterns began when glaciers stopped receding and sea-levels stabilized some 5,000 years ago. They have also identified El Niño signatures hundreds of thousands of years old in coral growth rates. From evidence found in coral reefs, tree rings and polar ice cores, scientists have now traced El Ninos back five millennia. In the 1500s, fishermen in Peru noticed that unusually warm coastal currents reduced their anchovy landings. At the same time, local farmers noticed the warming coincided with increased rainfall. Wondrous gardens sprung from barren arid lands in some regions, and the years were 131

alleling them.<br />

What Causes <strong>Weather</strong><br />

WHAT IS EL NINO?<br />

El Nino means a regular eastward migration of warm<br />

water from the tropical western Pacific Ocean. Because it<br />

was first noticed in recent times by Peruvian and<br />

Ecuadorean fishers, it has an Hispanic name. Rather than<br />

being a recent phenomenon, samples from a lake high in<br />

the Andes have shown El Nino has been playing havoc with<br />

the world’s weather for at least 15,000 years. A team led<br />

by Don Rodbell, from New York’s Union College, in 1999,<br />

digging in the Andes, found a continuous geological record<br />

and evidence that ancient civilisations 5,000 and 8,000<br />

years ago planned for and used the El Nino rains to boost<br />

crop production.<br />

Ice-core records from the Andes in Peru also suggest<br />

these climate fluctuations have been part of Earth’s<br />

weather cycle for thousands of years. Some scientists<br />

speculate the topsy-turvy weather patterns began when glaciers<br />

stopped receding and sea-levels stabilized some 5,000<br />

years ago. <strong>The</strong>y have also identified El Niño signatures<br />

hundreds of thousands of years old in coral growth rates.<br />

From evidence found in coral reefs, tree rings and polar<br />

ice cores, scientists have now traced El Ninos back five<br />

millennia.<br />

In the 1500s, fishermen in Peru noticed that unusually<br />

warm coastal currents reduced their anchovy landings.<br />

At the same time, local farmers noticed the warming coincided<br />

with increased rainfall. Wondrous gardens sprung<br />

from barren arid lands in some regions, and the years were<br />

131

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