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Predicting Weather By The Moon - Xavier University Libraries

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<strong>Weather</strong> <strong>By</strong> <strong>The</strong> <strong>Moon</strong><br />

<strong>The</strong>re is an additional polar wobble in which the<br />

poles move around in a 22 year cycle, also caused by the<br />

<strong>Moon</strong>’s gravitational pull, causing shifts in the position of<br />

magnetic north. <strong>The</strong>n there are cycles within cycles, like<br />

the monthly variation between the minimum<br />

declinations(18deg) and the mid-points(23.5deg), which<br />

sees the same progression of 49 months, 50, 53, 54 and<br />

then 49 again; making a grander cycle of 4 x 18 years, or<br />

72 years. This is inter-linked with the Precession of the<br />

Poles, for a day is lost in 72 years if one is using a lunar<br />

calendar. As the seasons would gradually slip behind unless<br />

the calendar dates were corrected, vernal<br />

equinox(March 22nd)was considered a possible tweaking<br />

day. Observation of when the Sun rose exactly in the east<br />

marked out Equinox Day, i.e. which day would be called<br />

March 22nd. Once it was designated as March 1st, the beginning<br />

of spring and the start of a new season. Calendric<br />

changes have seen the actual date shift forward. To know<br />

where due east was required marker stones, and these also<br />

can be seen on ancient stone circle arrangements.<br />

SUMMARY<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Moon</strong> moves in four main ways at once.<br />

1) the Phase cycle, that everyone can see(New <strong>Moon</strong>/Full <strong>Moon</strong>)<br />

2) the Perigee cycle, which can be noted with the aid of some measuring<br />

device or official almanac.<br />

3) the Monthly Declination cycle, which can be observed if you<br />

watch for the very second the <strong>Moon</strong> rises each day and record how far<br />

along it is from due east along the eastern horizon; and<br />

4) the Maximum/Minimum Declination cycle that cannot be seen, in<br />

which the declination itself changes in the manner of a roller-coaster over<br />

18.613 years. What does all this mean for our weather?<br />

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