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Timing is Everything: The Impact of School Lunch Length on Children’s Body Weight<br />

Rachana Bhatt*<br />

Georgia State University<br />

December 2012<br />

The large number of overweight children in the U.S. has prompted school administra<strong>to</strong>rs and<br />

policy makers <strong>to</strong> identify practices in schools which contribute <strong>to</strong> unhealthy weight outcomes for<br />

children and develop strategies <strong>to</strong> prevent further increases. Advocates for school nutrition<br />

reform have suggested that it is important for children <strong>to</strong> have an adequate <strong>am</strong>ount of time <strong>to</strong> eat<br />

meals in school in order <strong>to</strong> maintain a healthy weight. This paper ex<strong>am</strong>ines whether the length of<br />

time children are given <strong>to</strong> eat lunch in school has an impact on their weight. We find evidence<br />

that an increase in lunch length reduces the probability a child is overweight, and this finding is<br />

robust across various econometric specifications, including a two-s<strong>am</strong>ple IV and<br />

difference-in-differences model that account for the potential endogeneity of lunch length.<br />

JEL Classification: I10, I20<br />

Keywords: childhood nutrition, school lunches<br />

<strong>*I</strong> <strong>am</strong> <strong>grateful</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Patricia</strong> <strong>Anderson</strong>, <strong>Andriana</strong> <strong>Bellou</strong>, <strong>Gordon</strong> <strong>Dahl</strong>, Inas Rashad Kelly, J<strong>am</strong>es<br />

Mar<strong>to</strong>n, Uta Schönberg, Rusty Tchernis, participants in the 2010 CeMent workshop, seminar<br />

participants at Georgia State University, the University of Rochester, and various conferences for<br />

their suggestions and input. I would like <strong>to</strong> thank Ted Macaluso from the United States<br />

Department of Agriculture, and Anne <strong>Gordon</strong> from Mathematica Policy Research for their help<br />

with the School Nutrition Dietary Assessment-III data. I would also like <strong>to</strong> thank Lisa Whittle<br />

from the Center for Disease Control and various state Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System<br />

coordina<strong>to</strong>rs for granting permission <strong>to</strong> access micro data from their states. All errors are my<br />

own. Please contact the author with comments and suggestions at rbhatt@gsu.edu.


1. Introduction<br />

The connection between the food children eat in school and their body weight has been the<br />

<strong>to</strong>pic of much discussion <strong>am</strong>ong public health agencies (U.S. Department of Health and Human<br />

Services, 2001; Child Nutrition and WIC Reauthorization Act, 2004). 1 Children eat close <strong>to</strong> 180<br />

lunch meals in school each year, in addition <strong>to</strong> snacks, and for some students, breakfast.<br />

Consequently, emphasis has been placed on identifying practices in schools that contribute <strong>to</strong><br />

children’s excess weight, and <strong>to</strong> develop strategies <strong>to</strong> reduce further gains. Past research has<br />

ex<strong>am</strong>ined the link between children’s weight and the availability of “junk” food in schools,<br />

school provided lunches, and participation in the National School Lunch Progr<strong>am</strong> (NSLP) and<br />

School Breakfast Progr<strong>am</strong> (SBP) (<strong>Anderson</strong> and Butcher, 2006; Schanzenbach, 2009; Gundersen<br />

et. al, 2012; and Millimet et al., 2010).<br />

One aspect of the eating environment at school that has received attention <strong>am</strong>ong advocates<br />

for school nutrition reform, but less so in research is the length of time children are given <strong>to</strong> eat<br />

lunch. For instance, both the National Association of State Boards of Education (NASBE), and<br />

the School Nutrition Association (SNA) have recommended that schools provide students with at<br />

least 20 minutes <strong>to</strong> eat lunch once they are seated (NASBE, 2000; SNA, 2005). 2<br />

Two natural questions arise in light of this recommendation. First, what is the typical <strong>am</strong>ount<br />

of time students are given <strong>to</strong> eat lunch, and is this lower than what is recommended? Second,<br />

how might lunch length impact weight? Figures 1 & 2 display the distribution of lunch lengths in<br />

schools using two data sets, the School Nutrition Dietary Assessment-III (SNDA-III) and the<br />

1 The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services developed the Healthy People Initiative which highlights<br />

public health goals <strong>to</strong> be achieved by 2010 and 2020. Targets include increasing access <strong>to</strong> healthier food in schools,<br />

reducing access <strong>to</strong> sweetened beverages, and reducing the proportion of overweight and obese children. The Child<br />

Nutrition and WIC Reauthorization Act of 2004 requires all education agencies which participate in the National<br />

School Lunch Progr<strong>am</strong> <strong>to</strong> develop wellness policies outlining goals for nutrition promotion and education, physical<br />

activity, and other school-based activities that promote student wellness by the start of the 2006 school year.<br />

2 These organizations also recommend a minimum length of time be allocated for children <strong>to</strong> eat breakfast.<br />

2


School Health Policies and Progr<strong>am</strong>s Study (SHPPS), respectively. Lunch length in the<br />

SNDA-III reflects the entire length of a scheduled lunch period (i.e. inclusive of travel time<br />

<strong>to</strong>/from the cafeteria and time spent in service <strong>to</strong> obtain food). Although the average lunch length<br />

is 32.7 minutes, the <strong>am</strong>ount of time available for eating could be substantially less: A report by<br />

the National Food Service Management Institute indicates that in order for children <strong>to</strong> have<br />

twenty minutes of eating and socializing, an additional three <strong>to</strong> eight minutes is necessary for<br />

service and cleaning, and four minutes for travel (Conklin et al., 2002). Figure 2 provides insight<br />

on how much time is actually available for eating using the SHPPS. Here lunch length is<br />

measured as the <strong>am</strong>ount of time children have <strong>to</strong> eat lunch once they are seated with food. The<br />

average is 22.7 minutes, but there are a non-trivial <strong>am</strong>ount of schools with less than this <strong>am</strong>ount,<br />

suggesting that at least some students receive less than the recommended <strong>am</strong>ount of time <strong>to</strong> eat.<br />

There are a few ways that lunch length may affect weight. First, short lunch periods may lead<br />

students <strong>to</strong> skip lunch or eat less than is nutritionally necessary and this can result in overeating<br />

later. Second, short lunches may affect students’ food choices and lead them <strong>to</strong> substitute away<br />

from healthy food items <strong>to</strong> less healthy alternatives that are quicker <strong>to</strong> eat. Finally, there is a<br />

medical literature which suggests that there is a delay between eating and satiation (Rolfes et al.,<br />

2009; Hayes, 2009), and as a result, eating at a slow pace can lead <strong>to</strong> lower calorie intake relative<br />

<strong>to</strong> eating at a fast pace (Andrade et al., 2008; Martin et al., 2007). If children that have short<br />

lunches eat quickly, this could translate <strong>to</strong> greater calorie consumption during lunch.<br />

This paper ex<strong>am</strong>ines whether the length of time children are assigned <strong>to</strong> eat lunch in school<br />

has an impact on their Body Mass Index (BMI). OLS estimates indicate a negative relationship<br />

between lunch length and BMI, however these estimates may be biased due <strong>to</strong> the potential<br />

endogeneity of school lunch length. To overcome this we estimate a two-s<strong>am</strong>ple IV model,<br />

3


where the instrument is each state’s law regulating lunch lengths in school. We find a ten minute<br />

increase in predicted lunch length is predicted <strong>to</strong> reduce BMI by 1.2 percent and the probability<br />

of being overweight by 2.5 percentage points. These findings are upheld in a difference-<br />

in-differences model where we estimate the reduced form effect of the state laws on BMI.<br />

To understand the mechanism(s) behind the BMI and lunch length relationship, we analyze<br />

calorie intake data. We find that students with shorter lunches consume fewer calories during<br />

lunch, but more during dinner, compared <strong>to</strong> their counterparts with longer lunches. This suggests<br />

the negative relationship between BMI and lunch length may be due <strong>to</strong> longer lunches shifting<br />

consumption <strong>to</strong>ward times of the day when there are more opportunities <strong>to</strong> expend calories.<br />

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 describes the current literature<br />

on schools and children's nutrition, and the potential links between meal length and weight.<br />

Sections 3 and 4 discuss the data and OLS estimates. In Section 5, the TSIV analysis and results<br />

are described, and Section 6 provides a discussion. Section 7 concludes.<br />

2. Background & Related Literature<br />

2.1 School Meals & Children's Body Weight<br />

This paper contributes <strong>to</strong> the literature on eating at school and children’s weight.<br />

Schanzenbach (2009) finds that students in Kindergarten and first grade who eat school lunches<br />

are more likely <strong>to</strong> be obese than their classmates who bring their lunches from home due <strong>to</strong> the<br />

extra calories consumed by the former. <strong>Anderson</strong> and Butcher (2006) ex<strong>am</strong>ine the sale of junk<br />

foods in schools and find that increased access results in higher BMI. Gundersen et al. (2012)<br />

find that children who receive free/reduced price lunches have higher self-reported health<br />

compared <strong>to</strong> eligible children that do not participate. Millimet et al. (2010) find that children who<br />

receive free/reduced price breakfasts (lunches) are less (more) likely <strong>to</strong> be obese compared <strong>to</strong> all<br />

4


other students. Finally, a series of studies ex<strong>am</strong>ine the effect of other fac<strong>to</strong>rs in school such as<br />

physical education, the structure of the school day/year, and recess on children’s weight (Cawely<br />

et al., 2007; Frisvold and Lumeng, 2011; von Hippel et al., 2007; Getlinger et al., 1996).<br />

To the best of our knowledge, only one other study, by Bergman et al. (2003), ex<strong>am</strong>ines the<br />

relationship between lunch length and consumption. The authors compare food intake <strong>am</strong>ong<br />

children that receive 20 minutes for lunch versus 30 minutes and find that plate waste is higher at<br />

schools with the shorter lunch but the nutritional content of food consumed by students in these<br />

schools is higher. This suggests that longer lunches may lead <strong>to</strong> better food choices, although one<br />

caveat is that this study was based on a s<strong>am</strong>ple size of four schools.<br />

2.2 Meal Length & Weight: Potential Mechanisms<br />

Meal length and food consumption can be related in a variety of ways. First, meal length may<br />

affect the food choices children make. Short lunches may encourage students <strong>to</strong> substitute<br />

<strong>to</strong>wards quicker, less healthy foods, such as choosing apple sauce (194 calories if sweetened)<br />

over a raw apple (81 calories). These foods can be brought from home or bought at school. In the<br />

SNDA-III eighty percent of students purchased a la carte items from the cafeteria, fifteen percent<br />

from vending machines, and three percent from school s<strong>to</strong>res. In addition, short lunches may<br />

affect purchases of school meals since this requires spending time in the service line, and the<br />

nutritional content of these meals could have an impact on weigh (Schanzenbach, 2009). 3<br />

A second way that meal length may affect consumption is if short lunches lead children <strong>to</strong><br />

skip lunch or eat less than is nutritionally necessary because they don’t have time. Prior research<br />

3 See www.nutrientfacts.com. The nutritional quality of food in vending machines has been found <strong>to</strong> be low (Center<br />

for Science in the Public Interest, 2004). <strong>Anderson</strong> et al. (2003) find that older students have greater access <strong>to</strong><br />

vending machines and this is also true in the SNDA-III: Ninety-nine percent of high school students have vending<br />

machines at school, compared <strong>to</strong> sixty-five (thirty-four) percent of middle (elementary) school students.<br />

5


has found that kids who skip meals are more likely <strong>to</strong> be obese due <strong>to</strong> overeating at other meals<br />

or because they engage in unhealthy snacking (Deshmukh-Taskar, 2010; Leidy; 2011; Lafay et<br />

al. 2001). Thus, longer lunches could reduce BMI by shifting consumption <strong>to</strong>wards times of the<br />

day when there are more opportunities <strong>to</strong> expend calories (i.e. after lunch, in the afternoon),<br />

rather than later in the day when there are fewer opportunities (i.e. after dinner). 4<br />

The third link is based on the physiology of appetite. When an individual eats, signals are<br />

sent from the s<strong>to</strong>mach <strong>to</strong> the brain <strong>to</strong> indicate that the individual is getting full and should s<strong>to</strong>p<br />

eating. These signals take ten <strong>to</strong> twenty minutes <strong>to</strong> reach the brain once eating starts (Rolfes et<br />

al., 2009; Hayes and Landan, 2009), and it is under this setting that individuals are recommended<br />

<strong>to</strong> eat slowly, so that they do not overeat. 5 If children with short lunches eat quicker, then these<br />

students may consume more calories than students who eat slower (by virtue of having a long<br />

lunch). No direct evidence exists on whether students eat quicker when they have a short time <strong>to</strong><br />

eat, although this seems plausible. For instance, in the SNDA-III, a higher proportion of students<br />

with shorter lunches report being dissatisfied with their lunch length: 32% of students with less<br />

than 30 minutes report dissatisfaction, compared <strong>to</strong> 25% of students with more than 40 minutes.<br />

Finally, it is important <strong>to</strong> note that while the mechanisms described above provide motivation<br />

for why longer lunches may lead <strong>to</strong> lower bodyweight, it is possible that long lunches actually<br />

increase children’s weight. For instance, long lunches may simply give children <strong>to</strong>o much time <strong>to</strong><br />

eat, so that for instance, they purchase extra food at school and consume more food than if they<br />

were time-constrained. As will be discussed in Section 4, we find no evidence of this.<br />

2.3 Meal Length & Weight: Potential Biases<br />

4 Skipping meals can lead <strong>to</strong> delayed insulin response, thus increasing the risk of diabetes (Carlson et al., 2007).<br />

5 This has been tested in lab experiments where some participants are instructed <strong>to</strong> eat at a slow pace and others at a<br />

fast pace. The former consumed fewer calories (Andrade et al., 2008; Martin et al., 2007).<br />

6


A major issue with estimating the effect of lunch length on weight is that a child’s lunch<br />

length may be correlated with unobserved fac<strong>to</strong>rs that directly influence weight. For instance,<br />

parents that otherwise encourage healthy nutrition and exercise habits may send their children <strong>to</strong><br />

schools with longer lunches, and it is these habits, and not lunch length which influence weight.<br />

Similarly, schools facing accountability pressures may reduce the time allocated for lunch as<br />

well as physical education in an effort <strong>to</strong> improve achievement, and it could be the reduced<br />

exercise time that ultimately impacts weight. Moreover schools facing financial constraints may<br />

reduce cafeteria staff (plausibly reducing eating time) at the s<strong>am</strong>e time that they increase junk<br />

food sales on c<strong>am</strong>pus, thus affecting children’s BMI (<strong>Anderson</strong> and Butcher, 2006).<br />

While some of these issues are more likely <strong>to</strong> occur than others, we cannot rule out that lunch<br />

length is endogenous. As a result, we estimate the impact of lunch length on children’s weight<br />

using a variety of methods. This includes OLS where we condition on a rich set of controls, a<br />

two-s<strong>am</strong>ple IV model, and a difference-in-differences model. Together, the results from these<br />

models offer useful insight on the effect of lunch length on children’s weight.<br />

3. Data & Descriptive Statistics<br />

3.1 School Nutrition Dietary Assessment-III<br />

The SNDA-III is a nationally representative survey of children in grades one through twelve<br />

at schools in the U.S. The survey covers 2,314 students at 285 schools. Children, their parents,<br />

principals and food service managers are surveyed regarding the diet and exercise behaviors of<br />

kids and the nutrition environment at schools. In addition, survey administra<strong>to</strong>rs measured each<br />

child's height and weight, providing a measure of BMI. This data is used for the OLS analysis,<br />

and one important limitation of this data is that it does not contain state identifiers.<br />

Children are not asked how long their lunch periods are. We construct lunch length using<br />

7


principals’ reports of the start and s<strong>to</strong>p time of each lunch period and which grades are assigned<br />

<strong>to</strong> eat in each period. 6 We combine this with each child’s grade <strong>to</strong> construct lunch length for<br />

each child. Missing information on lunch length, BMI, and key demographic characteristics<br />

reduces the final s<strong>am</strong>ple size <strong>to</strong> 1,287 students from 179 schools. 7 Figure 1 displays the<br />

distribution of lunch lengths <strong>am</strong>ong students in this final s<strong>am</strong>ple; as discussed above, the average<br />

lunch length is 32.7 minutes, although this reflects all time allocated for lunch including travel<br />

time <strong>to</strong>/from the cafeteria, time spent waiting for food, cleaning up, and using the restroom.<br />

Appendix Table 1 provides descriptive statistics for all the variables in the SNDA-III that are<br />

included in the OLS analysis. The proportion of obese children (defined as having a BMI above<br />

the 95 th percentile of a his<strong>to</strong>ric baseline for a given gender and age) is twenty-one percent, and<br />

overweight (above 85 th percentile) is thirty-nine percent. The average time a student spends in<br />

line waiting <strong>to</strong> purchase food is around five minutes. Close <strong>to</strong> seventy-nine percent of students<br />

take physical education, forty-three percent receives a free or reduced priced lunch, and close <strong>to</strong><br />

seventy percent purchased a school meal on the day prior <strong>to</strong> the interview. 8<br />

3.2 School Health Policies & Progr<strong>am</strong>s Study<br />

The SHPPS collects data from schools and states and is used for the TSIV and DD analysis.<br />

The SHPPS is conducted every six years starting in 1994. In each survey year, all fifty states and<br />

D.C. are surveyed about state laws governing school nutrition practices. Within states, a s<strong>am</strong>ple<br />

6 If students attend schools where the s<strong>am</strong>e grade can eat in multiple periods, we use the average.<br />

7 The majority of missing information is due <strong>to</strong> non-response on lunch length by principals (only 208 schools<br />

provided information). In conversations with survey administra<strong>to</strong>rs, it was determined that the questions about lunch<br />

periods were only asked during an initial survey, and there was no follow-up. In an omitted analysis (available upon<br />

request), we compare average characteristics of schools with and without missing information on lunch length and<br />

find no systematic differences. We omit 11 students with lunch lengths of 100 minutes since they are potential<br />

outliers, and 2 students who were in Kindergarten and may attend school half day. Results are similar (and available<br />

upon request) if these observations are included (or if the 14 students with 90 minute lunches are also excluded).<br />

8 Information on school characteristics is taken from principal responses, except for average service time which is<br />

provided by the food service manager. Information on demographic and socio-economic characteristics of each child<br />

and f<strong>am</strong>ily, and each child’s exercise and eating habits were taken from the parent survey. Information on if a child<br />

ate a school lunch was taken from the child survey.<br />

8


of schools is surveyed regarding their nutrition and health practices. This analysis uses the 2006<br />

SHPPS, and draws on both the school and state questionnaires. Overall, 944 schools from<br />

forty-one states (state identities are known) were selected <strong>to</strong> participate in the school survey. 9<br />

Lunch length is constructed from the school questionnaire. School administra<strong>to</strong>rs are asked<br />

how much time (on average) children in their school have <strong>to</strong> eat lunch once they are seated with<br />

food. Missing information reduces the s<strong>am</strong>ple of schools <strong>to</strong> 916, and Figure 2 displays the<br />

distribution of lunch lengths for these schools. 10 The state questionnaire provides information on<br />

the instrument. State food service administra<strong>to</strong>rs are asked: ``Does your state require or<br />

recommend [<strong>to</strong> schools] a minimum <strong>am</strong>ount of time students will be given <strong>to</strong> eat lunch once they<br />

are seated?'' Answers include “require”, “recommend”, or “no policy”. In 2006, six states had a<br />

requirement, 26 had a recommendation, and 18 states plus D.C. had no policy. 11<br />

The SHPPS does not contain information about the required or recommended times. In<br />

conversations between the author and state food service agencies, the requirements were<br />

determined <strong>to</strong> be: Delaware (N/A), Kansas (20 minutes once students are seated with food), New<br />

Mexico (30 minutes for the entire lunch period), Nevada (20 minutes once seated), South<br />

Carolina (20 minutes once seated for grades K-5, a recommendation for all other grades), and<br />

West Virginia (20 minutes once seated). States with recommendations do not provide a<br />

9 Schools in Delaware, Hawaii, Nevada, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Utah, Wyoming, and D.C. were not surveyed.<br />

10 Seven schools did not report lunch length; average characteristics are similar across schools with and without<br />

missing information (results omitted for brevity but available upon request). Thirteen schools in Alaska are dropped<br />

because the state questionnaire was not completed. Four schools that report providing less than 8 minutes for lunch<br />

are omitted (results are similar if they are included, however, and are available upon request). One school that had<br />

no state identifier was dropped. Nine schools (3 elementary, 6 middle/high) in South Carolina were surveyed. South<br />

Carolina has a requirement for grades K-5 but recommendation for older grades. It is not clear whether it is<br />

appropriate <strong>to</strong> use all schools from South Carolina in the first stage since for all other observations, variation in the<br />

covariates occurs only across states. Ultimately, since the second stage utilizes data from the YRBSS (described in<br />

Section 3.3), which consists of only high school students, the three elementary schools are omitted. Results are<br />

similar (and available upon request) if these schools are included in the first stage.<br />

11 The states which have a recommendation are: Alab<strong>am</strong>a, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia,<br />

Iowa, Idaho, Louisiana, Missouri, Mississippi, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota, Nebraska, New Jersey,<br />

Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Vermont, Washing<strong>to</strong>n, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.<br />

9


numerical time; rather they suggest that schools provide “enough” time for children <strong>to</strong> enjoy and<br />

consume their food. We construct the instrument as a set of dummy variables equal <strong>to</strong> one if the<br />

state requires, recommends, or has no policy, respectively.<br />

Figure 3 illustrates the distribution of lunch lengths in the SHPPS for schools in states with<br />

different lunch laws, and previews the findings from the first stage of the TSIV model. Average<br />

lunch length is higher in states with a requirement compared <strong>to</strong> a recommendation or no policy:<br />

In states with a requirement the average lunch length is 26.3 minutes, versus 23.1 minutes and<br />

23.3 minutes in states with a recommendation and no policy, respectively. A higher proportion of<br />

schools in states with a requirement offer lunch lengths of 35 or more minutes, whereas, a higher<br />

proportion of schools in states with a recommendation or no policy offer less than 20 minutes. 12<br />

There are three aspects of the state laws which are important <strong>to</strong> note. First, it is not possible<br />

<strong>to</strong> determine the exact year in which states adopted their policies, although there is evidence <strong>to</strong><br />

suggest that the majority of states implemented their policy between 2000 and 2006. The 2000<br />

SHPPS asked the s<strong>am</strong>e question about state minimum lunch laws <strong>to</strong> a subset of twenty-two<br />

states, and in 2000, no states had a requirement, two had recommendations, and twenty had no<br />

policy. Finally, in conversations with school food service agencies it was determined that the<br />

state lunch laws from 2006 were still in place by 2010. 13<br />

Second, although it is not possible <strong>to</strong> determine the exact reason why each state adopted their<br />

particular lunch policy, anecdotal evidence suggests it may have been driven by federal pressure<br />

that affected all states at once, rather than in response <strong>to</strong> a state-specific event or trend. In June of<br />

12 To gain insight on how much lunch length varies across states, we regress school lunch length on a set of state<br />

dummies. The results indicate that variation across states explains 11.9% of the observed variation in lunch length.<br />

13 Substantial effort was made <strong>to</strong> identify the year in which states adopted their lunch law through direct<br />

conversations between the author and administra<strong>to</strong>rs at state school food offices, as well as by ex<strong>am</strong>ining state<br />

statutes. Consistent information on year of adoption was not able <strong>to</strong> be determined through either of these methods.<br />

The two terri<strong>to</strong>ries with a recommendation were Louisiana and D.C. Information from the 2000 SHPPS is used <strong>to</strong><br />

assess the validity of the instrument in Section 5.4. No questions about lunch laws were asked in the 1994 SHPPS.<br />

10


2004, the U.S. Congress passed the Child Nutrition and WIC Reauthorization Act, which<br />

required each educational agency that participates in federally funded school meal progr<strong>am</strong>s <strong>to</strong><br />

develop and implement a wellness policy by the 2006 school year. The policy should address<br />

goals and practices for nutrition, physical/health education, and food provision; the latter could<br />

include minimum lunch length. These wellness policies were constructed in consultation with<br />

states, and as a result states themselves may have identified a set of “best practices” such as a<br />

minimum lunch length <strong>to</strong> implement at the state level (Council of State Governments, 2007).<br />

A third and related point is that in order for state lunch length laws <strong>to</strong> be a valid instrument in<br />

the TSIV model and exogenous regressors in the DD model, they must be uncorrelated with<br />

unobserved characteristics of states which can directly influence children’s health outcomes.<br />

Although this cannot be tested directly, a series of falsification tests and empirical evidence<br />

(discussed in Section 5.4) suggests that these state laws are plausibly exogenous.<br />

Information on other state school nutrition policies is drawn from the SHPPS state<br />

questionnaire. These are listed on the left side of Appendix Table 2; the majority of questions in<br />

the state survey are asked in the “require”, “recommend”, and “no policy” format, hence these<br />

variables are constructed as binary indica<strong>to</strong>rs. A little less than half of all schools are in states<br />

that ban junk foods in vending machines, and sixty-seven percent are in states where schools<br />

must follow physical education standards. The right hand side of Appendix Table 2 details the<br />

set of characteristics that we append <strong>to</strong> the SHPPS from various auxiliary data sources. This<br />

includes variables that proxy for socio-economic status such age and ethnicity breakdowns, and<br />

the percent of students receiving free or reduced priced lunches, which are taken from the<br />

National Center for Education Statistics and U.S. Census. State-level school characteristics<br />

include average pupil-teacher ratio (22.7 students per teacher), teacher salary, and eighth grade<br />

11


proficiency on National Assessment of Educational Progress mathematics ex<strong>am</strong> (34% of<br />

students across states achieved above proficiency status). These variables are designed <strong>to</strong> control<br />

for school environmental fac<strong>to</strong>rs, such as overcrowding and financial constraints which could<br />

affect student outcomes. Finally, adult obesity rates are obtained from the Center for Disease<br />

Control, and indicate close <strong>to</strong> 27% of adults across all states are obese. 14<br />

3.3 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System<br />

The YRBSS is conducted every two years starting in 1991 and most recently in 2009. The<br />

YRBSS is a cross-sectional survey of ninth through twelfth grade students, and collects<br />

information on students’ eating habits. Students self-report their weight and height, providing a<br />

measure of BMI. The YRBSS does not contain information on lunch length, but students’ state<br />

of residence is known, and consequently all the state level information from the SHPPS and<br />

auxiliary data can be merged in<strong>to</strong> the YRBSS. This data is used for the TSIV and DD analysis.<br />

For the analysis, we pool the 2007 and 2009 YRBSS surveys. Waves prior <strong>to</strong> 2007 are not<br />

used <strong>to</strong> ensure that all students whose outcomes we observe were exposed <strong>to</strong> the laws that<br />

existed as of 2006. 15 The data is pooled across years <strong>to</strong> increase s<strong>am</strong>ple size; the final s<strong>am</strong>ple<br />

consists of over 180,000 students in forty-one states. Appendix Table 3 displays summary<br />

statistics for students in the YRBSS. Thirteen and twenty-eight percent of students are obese and<br />

overweight, respectively, a little less than half are female, and thirty-eight percent are minority.<br />

It should be noted that BMI in the YRBSS is constructed from self-reported height and<br />

weight, which can be reported with error. Previous research indicates that the correlation<br />

14 All variables are averaged over the years 2006-2008, with the following exceptions: Adult Obesity (2007-2009),<br />

Facility Overflow (2003-04), Per Pupil Expenditure, Pupil Teacher Ratio (2005-07), Teacher Salary (2005, 2007,<br />

2008), Eighth Grade Math Proficiency (2009). All dollars are in 2007-08 dollars.<br />

15 Some states and terri<strong>to</strong>ries (California, D.C., Minnesota, Nebraska, Oregon, Virginia, and Washing<strong>to</strong>n) do not<br />

conduct a state YRBSS. Among the states that do, the CDC has permission from a subset of these states <strong>to</strong> directly<br />

provide researchers with the data. For the remaining states, a private data agreement must be reached with each<br />

state's YRBSS representative. Through these two methods, state YRBSS data was obtained for all the states that<br />

conduct a survey except two (Georgia and Louisiana).<br />

12


etween self-reported and actual BMI is high, however the former is generally an underestimate<br />

(Morrissey et al., 2006). If the measurement error is classical, this will not bias the estimates but<br />

does result in lower precision. In the TSIV analysis, where we instrument lunch length with state<br />

laws, measurement error in students’ weight will not result in biased estimates, so long as the<br />

measurement error is uncorrelated with the instrument. While it seems unlikely that misreporting<br />

is correlated with a state’s lunch length law, this cannot be ruled out entirely, and the results<br />

should be considered with this caveat. Other studies faced similar issues with self-reported<br />

measures (<strong>Anderson</strong> and Butcher, 2006; Cawley et al., 2007).<br />

4. OLS Estimation & Results<br />

We estimate the following model using the SNDA-III data:<br />

health = S <br />

is<br />

0 1lunchlengt<br />

his<br />

2X<br />

is 3<br />

13<br />

s<br />

is<br />

(Eq.1)<br />

Here health is represents one of three health outcomes for child i at school s. The first is the<br />

natural log of BMI, and the other two are binary indica<strong>to</strong>rs for being overweight and obese. We<br />

use a linear probability model; results are similar using probit and are available upon request.<br />

The variable lunchlengt his<br />

is the length of a child's assigned lunch period in minutes. X is is a<br />

vec<strong>to</strong>r of child and parent characteristics, and Ss is a vec<strong>to</strong>r of school characteristics. All the<br />

variables included in X isand<br />

Ss are listed in Appendix Table 1. Standard errors are clustered at<br />

the school level and SNDA-III s<strong>am</strong>ple weights are used.<br />

In Columns 1 and 2 of Table 1 we display the OLS results for the three outcomes. For<br />

brevity, only the coefficient on lunch length is shown. Column 1 shows the results when we<br />

condition on only basic characteristics of children (age, sex, race, f<strong>am</strong>ily income), schools


(attendance rate, grade span) and dummies for region of residence. 16 The estimates indicate that<br />

a ten minute increase in lunch length is predicted <strong>to</strong> decrease BMI by 1.1%, lower the probability<br />

of being overweight by 3.7 percentage points (9.5%), and there is negative but insignificant<br />

effect on obesity. Column 2 provides the results when we include a richer set of school and<br />

individual level covariates which may be correlated lunch length and weight outcomes. This<br />

includes whether there are vending machines or fast food restaurants at schools, whether children<br />

can leave c<strong>am</strong>pus for lunch, time spent in service, whether the child participates in sports, and<br />

whether the child buys lunch at school (for a full description of the controls see the Table 1 notes<br />

and Appendix Table 1). In spite of these additional controls, the estimated effect of lunch length<br />

is similar: A ten minute increase in lunch length is predicted <strong>to</strong> decrease BMI by 1.3% and<br />

reduce the likelihood a child is overweight by 3.9 percentage points. 17 We continue <strong>to</strong> find no<br />

significant effect on obesity. One explanation for this is that there may be heterogeneous effects<br />

of lunch length across the BMI distribution; while lunch length may affect children along the<br />

margin of the 85 th percentile, there may be little impact around the 95 th percentile. 18<br />

As discussed above, long lunches could increase opportunities <strong>to</strong> eat, thus leading children <strong>to</strong><br />

gain weight. To test this, we split the continuous lunch length variable in<strong>to</strong> four categories:<br />

10-29, 30, 31-44, and 45 plus minutes. Following Equation 1 we regress the natural log of BMI<br />

on the indica<strong>to</strong>rs (10-29 minutes is omitted) and all the covariates in Appendix Table 1. These<br />

results are provided in the last column of Table 1. We find no significant difference between the<br />

16 A control for recess is included in the basic model because there may be a tradeoff between lunch length and<br />

recess time. No information about the time allocated for recess is available in the SNDA-III; a discussion of the<br />

tradeoff between recess and lunch time is provided in Section 5.4.<br />

17 Lunch length can vary within schools, however this only occurs for 20% of students in the SNDA. Due <strong>to</strong> the<br />

small s<strong>am</strong>ple size of the data and somewhat limited variation, we do not include school fixed effects in Equation 1.<br />

That said, in an omitted analysis (upon request) we estimate Equation 1 controlling for all the covariates in<br />

Appendix Table 1 along with school fixed effects and find no significant effects of lunch length on any of the three<br />

outcomes. The standard errors in these regressions are more than double those in Column 2 of Table 1.<br />

18 For studies that find heterogeneous effects of independent variables on BMI, see Beyerlein et al., 2009; Herbst and<br />

Tekin, and Han et al., 2011.<br />

14


omitted group and 30 minutes, but do find negative and large effects for the other groups: The<br />

BMI of students with 31-44 minutes is 2% lower (although the estimate is not statistically<br />

significant), whereas it is 4% lower (significant at the 10% level) for those with 45 or more<br />

minutes. This provides no evidence that longer lunches lead <strong>to</strong> increases in weight for children.<br />

Overall, the estimates in Table 1 suggest there is a negative relationship between lunch<br />

length and BMI. In an omitted analysis (available upon request), we show these results are robust<br />

<strong>to</strong> the inclusion of additional controls and corrections for measurement error. 19 That said, there<br />

may unobserved fac<strong>to</strong>rs which bias the OLS results, and so we turn <strong>to</strong> the TSIV and DD models.<br />

5. TSIV & DD Estimation<br />

5.1 First Stage<br />

In the first stage we use the SHPPS <strong>to</strong> estimate the relationship between lunch length and<br />

each state’s laws on lunch length. Formally, we estimate:<br />

lunchlengt h = R (Eq. 2)<br />

sm<br />

0 1Z m <br />

2M<br />

m 3<br />

m<br />

Here, lunchlengt hsm<br />

denotes lunch length in school s and state m, and Z m is a set of dummy<br />

variables for if a state requires, recommends, or has no policy on lunch length. M m is a vec<strong>to</strong>r of<br />

state level school nutrition and physical education policies, financial characteristics, and<br />

socio-economic, and Rm is a set of region dummies. All control variables included in the first<br />

and second stage of the TSIV model are listed in Appendix Table 2.<br />

19 The OLS results are robust <strong>to</strong> the inclusion of a control for whether or not a child eats within 15 minutes of<br />

midday. Both the SNDA and NASBE recommend that children eat close <strong>to</strong> midday in order <strong>to</strong> avoid going long<br />

periods of time without food. With the addition of the control, the magnitude of the lunch length estimates remains<br />

similar, and we find negative but insignificant effects of eating at midday on BMI. To assess measurement error, we<br />

omit all students that were assigned an average lunch length (see Footnote 6). These point estimates are slightly<br />

larger (in absolute value), which is consistent with measurement error theory. We also estimate the effect of lunch<br />

length separately for students in younger and older grades. We find a stronger negative effect for children in grades<br />

one through five (a 7 percentage point drop in the probability of being overweight in response <strong>to</strong> a ten minute<br />

increase in lunch length) compared <strong>to</strong> grades nine through twelve (1.3 percentage point drop). We discuss this<br />

finding in further detail in Section 6.1.<br />

15<br />

sm


The set of conditioning variables was purposefully chosen <strong>to</strong> be large and exhaustive in an<br />

attempt <strong>to</strong> control for state characteristics that may be correlated with weight and lunch length.<br />

The state nutrition and health policies control for whether students can purchase junk foods<br />

through vending machines or school fundraisers, whether schools face serving size limits, or<br />

must meet state physical education standards. Average per pupil spending, teacher salaries, and<br />

pupil-<strong>to</strong>-teacher ratios should proxy for the financial conditions of schools and overcrowding.<br />

Adult obesity rates capture variation in health and eating behavior across states, and math<br />

proficiency rates are meant <strong>to</strong> reflect performance accountability pressures. Because no school<br />

covariates can be included in the model, these state variables are intended <strong>to</strong> control for school<br />

fac<strong>to</strong>rs; for instance, controlling for whether a state bans the sale of junk food in vending<br />

machines should be indicative of the presence of vending machines in schools. Finally, standard<br />

errors are clustered by state and SHPPS s<strong>am</strong>ple weights are used throughout.<br />

The first stage results are displayed in Table 2. Recall we omit the category require. Focusing<br />

first on the instrument, the estimates indicate that schools in states with a recommendation have,<br />

on average 5.7 minute shorter lunches compared <strong>to</strong> schools in states with a requirement. An even<br />

stronger effect is found at schools where there is no policy: lunch lengths are about 6.6 minutes<br />

shorter. The F-statistic testing the joint significance of the instrument is 30.62 [p-value=0.0000]<br />

and given at the bot<strong>to</strong>m of the table. In addition, we test whether the coefficient estimates on<br />

recommend and no policy are statistically different from one another and find that they are at the<br />

5% level. This indicates that our identifying variation is not only based on a comparison of states<br />

with and without a requirement, but also across states with no policy versus a recommendation.<br />

Finally, the estimates for the other state controls are mostly intuitive. For instance, schools in<br />

16


states with higher pupil-teacher-ratios have longer lunches, presumably <strong>to</strong> service all students. 20<br />

5.2 Second Stage<br />

For the second stage, we use the YRBSS data with the merged SHPPS and auxiliary data.<br />

Using the estimates from Eq. 2, we construct predicted lunch length (denoted, predlunch m ) for<br />

each student in the YRBSS, and estimate the following regression:<br />

health = B <br />

(Eq. 3)<br />

im<br />

0 1predlunch<br />

m <br />

2M<br />

m <br />

3Rm<br />

<br />

4<br />

Here, healthimrefers <strong>to</strong> any one of three outcomes for student i in state m (natural log of BMI,<br />

overweight, obese). M m and Rm are defined as in Eq. 2 and are listed in Appendix Table 2, and<br />

Bimrepresents a vec<strong>to</strong>r of student characteristics from the YRBSS and are listed in Appendix<br />

Table 3. Standard errors are clustered at the state level and YRBSS s<strong>am</strong>ple weights are used.<br />

Standard errors are adjusted (using the approach outlined by Murphy and Topel (1985)) <strong>to</strong><br />

correct for the fact that lunch length is predicted.<br />

The second stage results are displayed in Table 3. For each dependent variable Eq. 3 is<br />

estimated with and without B im,<br />

and for brevity only the coefficients on these variables and<br />

predicted lunch length are reported. Focusing on Ln(BMI), we find that a ten minute increase in<br />

predicted lunch length is predicted <strong>to</strong> reduce BMI by 1.3% when no individual covariates are<br />

included and 1.2% when they are. The addition of the individual controls does not substantially<br />

change the estimate on lunch length, suggesting these additional covariates are not correlated<br />

with the exogenous portion of lunch length predicted by the laws. The remaining columns<br />

suggest that a ten minute increase in predicted lunch length is predicted <strong>to</strong> reduce the probability<br />

20 All the school characteristics in the first stage are measured at the state level, and as a consequence of being the<br />

average for schools within a state, these variables may be mismeasured. If the mismeasured variables are correlated<br />

with a state’s lunch law this can bias the estimates of the laws. In an omitted analysis (available upon request), we<br />

check the robustness of the first stage results <strong>to</strong> different assumptions about the extent of the measurement error, and<br />

find that the relationship between the instrument and lunch length would not change substantively if there was<br />

measurement error present.<br />

17<br />

im<br />

im


that a child is overweight by 2.5 percentage points (9%) and there is no significant effect obesity.<br />

Overall, the TSIV results indicate that longer lunches lead <strong>to</strong> healthier weight outcomes.<br />

5.3 Difference-In-Differences<br />

We ex<strong>am</strong>ine the robustness of the TSIV results by estimating a simple difference-in-<br />

differences model of each state’s lunch law on BMI. This is analogous <strong>to</strong> estimating the reduced<br />

form regression of the instrument on the outcome. The DD model compares BMI before and<br />

after a state switched from no policy <strong>to</strong> a recommendation or requirement, relative <strong>to</strong> the s<strong>am</strong>e<br />

before and after for states where the state continued <strong>to</strong> have no policy. To do this, we utilize data<br />

from the 1999, 2001, 2007, and 2009 YRBSS, and the 2000 and 2006 SHPPS.<br />

To construct the data for the DD analysis, we first combine data from the YRBSS survey<br />

years 1999 and 2001 (this serves as our “pre” period) and data from the 2007 and 2009 surveys<br />

(our “post” period). We limit our s<strong>am</strong>ple <strong>to</strong> states which were surveyed in both the 1991/2001<br />

and 2007/2009 surveys. We then look <strong>to</strong> the 2000 SHPPS, where states were asked if they had<br />

any policy on lunch service. Among the 22 that said yes, they were then asked if they had a<br />

requirement/recommendation/no policy on lunch length. None of the states that were asked and<br />

are represented in the 99/01/07/09 YRBSS data had a policy in 2000, and we assume that states<br />

that didn’t have a policy on lunch service also had no policy on lunch length. From the 2006<br />

SHPPS, we know which states then adopted requirements, recommendations, or had no change<br />

by 2006. Our final s<strong>am</strong>ple includes more than 230,000 students across 32 states. We estimate:<br />

health<br />

imc<br />

Require<br />

4<br />

= Require<br />

m<br />

0<br />

1<br />

* C0709<br />

mc<br />

m<br />

Recommend<br />

Recommend<br />

5<br />

2<br />

m<br />

18<br />

m<br />

* C0709<br />

C0709<br />

3<br />

mc<br />

mc<br />

M<br />

6<br />

<br />

mc<br />

B<br />

7<br />

imc<br />

<br />

imc<br />

(Eq. 4)<br />

Here, i refers <strong>to</strong> the individual, m <strong>to</strong> the state, and c <strong>to</strong> the YRBSS cohort (i.e. 1999/2001 or<br />

20007/2009). Require m is a binary variable equal <strong>to</strong> one for states where there was no policy in


2000 but by 2006 there was a requirement, and similarly for Recommend m and NoPolicy m (the<br />

omitted category). C0709mc is an indica<strong>to</strong>r equal <strong>to</strong> one for observations from the 2007/2009<br />

YRBSS and zero for the 1999/2001 YRBSS. M mc is a vec<strong>to</strong>r of the s<strong>am</strong>e state level controls that<br />

were included in the TSIV model. Finally, Bimc is a vec<strong>to</strong>r of individual characteristics of students<br />

in the YRBSS. The coefficients 4 and 5 provide the difference-in-difference estimates. 21<br />

The results are provided in Table 4. Only the estimates for 1 5<br />

are presented for brevity.<br />

Column 1 (2) shows the results without (with) controls for student demographic characteristics.<br />

In both specifications, the effects of the laws are in the expected direction. That is, we find that<br />

there is a decrease in BMI by approximately 2.3-2.5% for students who live in states that went<br />

from no policy in 2000 <strong>to</strong> a requirement in 2006 (relative <strong>to</strong> students in states where there was no<br />

policy in both 2000 and 2006). There is a similar, but smaller drop in BMI of 0.8-0.9% in states<br />

that went from no policy <strong>to</strong> a recommendation. Overall, these results provide additional support<br />

that stricter state lunch laws reduce BMI vis-à-vis lunch length.<br />

5.4 Validity of Instrument<br />

In order <strong>to</strong> interpret the estimates from the TSIV and DD analysis as estimating causal<br />

effects, a state’s lunch law should only affect weight outcomes through lunch length. Doubts<br />

about validity can be aggregated in<strong>to</strong> two broad categories. First, states’ lunch length laws could<br />

reflect unobserved differences that exist across states, and it is these differences that affect<br />

outcomes, rather than lunch length. For instance, a state may adopt their lunch law in response <strong>to</strong><br />

pre-existing trends in BMI. Second, state laws may induce changes in schools with respect <strong>to</strong><br />

other nutrition practices that can directly influence BMI, which will confound the results.<br />

21 Appendix Table 2 displays the state level covariates attached <strong>to</strong> the 2007/2009 data, and similar data was collected<br />

for the year 2000 and attached <strong>to</strong> the 1991/2001 observations (descriptive statistics available upon request).<br />

19


Although we cannot conclusively rule out these issues, below we describe a series of falsification<br />

tests and empirical evidence that suggests these issues are unlikely <strong>to</strong> bias our results.<br />

We test for evidence of whether states adopted their lunch laws in response <strong>to</strong> prior trends in<br />

children’s weight. If this is the case, we should observe a relationship between the lunch laws in<br />

place by 2006 and BMI in states prior <strong>to</strong> that year. To test this, we estimate the TSIV model (first<br />

and second stages are defined in Eq. 2 and 3), where in lieu of using data from the 2007/2009<br />

YRBSS, we use student BMI data from the 1999/2001 YRBSS. We condition on all the controls<br />

listed in Appendix Table 2 (in both the first and second stage), and the results are provided in<br />

Table 5. 22 One issue that limits inference from this test is that students in the 1999 and 2001<br />

YRBSS were exposed <strong>to</strong> state lunch laws that existed prior <strong>to</strong> 2006, and <strong>to</strong> the extent that these<br />

laws are correlated with the 2006 laws, we may estimate a non-spurious, non-zero relationship<br />

between the 2006 laws and prior levels of BMI. In spite of this issue which would bias the<br />

estimates in favor of finding an effect, the estimate is not statistically different from zero. 23<br />

We cannot control for school level covariates in the TSIV and DD models since the YRBSS<br />

does not include information on schools. The lack of school controls will be problematic if a<br />

state’s lunch law not only affects lunch length, but also other school practices which impact<br />

weight. We investigate this in the upper-half of Table 6 using data on schools in the 2006<br />

SHPPS. We consider four characteristics of schools which may plausibly change in response <strong>to</strong><br />

22 The first year that BMI was collected in the YRBSS was in 1999. Survey coverage was small in 1999; only<br />

fourteen states conducted surveys. To increase s<strong>am</strong>ple size and representativeness, we combine the 1999 data with<br />

2001 data, resulting in a s<strong>am</strong>ple size of close <strong>to</strong> 78,000 students in forty states.<br />

23 In an analysis omitted for brevity (available upon request), we estimate the first stage of the TSIV model, where<br />

in lieu of controlling for each state’s school lunch length law we include each state’s workplace lunch length laws.<br />

These laws indicate whether (in 2006) a state required or recommended <strong>to</strong> firms that they provide their employees<br />

(adults and minors, respectively) with a minimum <strong>am</strong>ount of time for meals (Department of Labor, 2006). If the<br />

school lunch laws reflect unobserved health and behavioral characteristics of a state, the workplace laws likely<br />

reflect similar characteristics, and therefore should be correlated with school lunch lengths. In practice, we find no<br />

evidence of this: The F-statistic testing the joint significance of the dummies for requiring a minimum lunch length<br />

for minors and adults is F(2,40)= 0.0.33 [p-value=0.7203]).<br />

20


lunch length and could affect children’s weight: overcrowding of eating locations, <strong>am</strong>ount of<br />

time allocated for recess and physical education, and bans on junk foods in vending machines. In<br />

the table, we group schools by their state’s law, and calculate the fraction of schools with the<br />

given characteristic. Rates of overcrowding and recess time are similar across groups, but<br />

schools with lunch length requirements tend <strong>to</strong> ban junk food at a higher rate and offer more time<br />

for physical education. That said, these differences are not statistically significant once we<br />

control for observed state level characteristics: The last column provides the F-statistic testing<br />

the joint significance of the lunch law dummies from a regression of these characteristics on the<br />

dummies and all the covariates in Appendix Table 2, and in all cases we reject the null. 24<br />

A remaining concern is whether schools changed their lunch lengths in response <strong>to</strong> their<br />

state’s law, or if schools were already setting systematically different lunch lengths prior <strong>to</strong> the<br />

law. This is tested using data from the 2000 SHPPS. Schools in the 2000 SHPPS were asked <strong>to</strong><br />

report the length of time children are given <strong>to</strong> eat lunch once seated with food. The last row of<br />

Table 6 provides average lunch time in 2000 for schools grouped by the law their state adopted<br />

by 2006. Lunches range from 22-24 minutes, and the differences are not statistically different,<br />

suggesting no evidence of systematic differences prior <strong>to</strong> adoption. 25<br />

6. Discussion<br />

6.1 Comparison of Results<br />

The results of the TSIV and OLS models are largely similar. The most pronounced difference<br />

24 For brevity, we only display the results from a few school characteristics in Table 6. In an omitted analysis<br />

(available upon request), we also compare the fraction of schools which allow students <strong>to</strong> leave c<strong>am</strong>pus during lunch<br />

and find no statistically significant differences across schools in states with different state lunch laws. Other<br />

differences that may arise due <strong>to</strong> state lunch laws include changes in the length of the school day. This information<br />

is not included in the SHPPS, therefore we turn <strong>to</strong> the SNDA-III and compare average school day length across<br />

schools with 10-29, 30, 31-40, and 41plus minutes. We find little difference in school day length across groups.<br />

25 Schools interviewed in the 2000 and 2006 SHPPS are not necessarily the s<strong>am</strong>e. We construct a graph analogous <strong>to</strong><br />

Figure 3 using 2000 school lunch lengths, and generally find that across lunch lengths, there are a similar proportion<br />

of schools in states that adopted a requirement, recommendation, or no policy by 2006.<br />

21


is for the outcome of being overweight, where the OLS estimate indicates there is a 3.9<br />

percentage point drop in the probability of being overweight, compared <strong>to</strong> the 2.5 percentage<br />

point drop estimated by TSIV. Taking these results at face value, this suggests that the OLS<br />

estimates are biased downward. This is consistent with a scenario where schools that offer longer<br />

lunches (or children that attend these schools) also follow other “best practices” such as<br />

serving/eating healthy meals or engaging in physical exercise and nutrition education.<br />

Ultimately, the reader should be cautious about comparing the magnitude of the OLS and<br />

TSIV findings and interpreting the difference as the result of unobserved heterogeneity. This is<br />

because there are a few differences across the data sets which limit comparability of the<br />

estimates. First, the SNDA-III spans students from all grades, while the YRBSS only covers<br />

grades nine through twelve. Response <strong>to</strong> meal length may differ by age because of differences in<br />

metabolism and growth patterns. Moreover, health outcomes of younger children are generally<br />

more malleable <strong>to</strong> new health and nutrition practices than adolescents (Tanofsky et al., 2003). To<br />

ex<strong>am</strong>ine this we re-estimate Equation 1 using just a s<strong>am</strong>ple of SNDA-III students who are in<br />

grades nine through twelve, and estimate a smaller reduction in being overweight than in the full<br />

s<strong>am</strong>ple: a 1.3 percentage point decrease (although it’s not statistically significant), compared <strong>to</strong><br />

the 3.9 percentage point decrease estimated using the whole s<strong>am</strong>ple. This suggests differences in<br />

the ages of students across s<strong>am</strong>ples may explain some of the difference across estima<strong>to</strong>rs, rather<br />

than the presence of unobserved heterogeneity. A second difference is that meal length in the<br />

SNDA-III refers <strong>to</strong> the entire meal period, whereas in the SHPPS it is the time remaining once a<br />

child has his/her food. On one hand, the SHPPS provides a more accurate description of the time<br />

available <strong>to</strong> eat, however it is also an average for all children, including those who “brownbag”<br />

and those who buy school lunches, and thus does not capture timing differences between the two.<br />

22


6.2 Economic Significance of the Estimates<br />

We can evaluate the magnitude of the findings by estimating the monetary and non-monetary<br />

savings that accrue from providing longer lunches. This is done below, but it is important <strong>to</strong> note<br />

that these calculations do not fac<strong>to</strong>r in any of the potentially adverse consequences of or costs<br />

associated with longer lunches. For instance, increasing lunch length could come at the expense<br />

instructional and non-instructional time, leading <strong>to</strong> lower achievement and less opportunity for<br />

exercise. Moreover, lengthening lunches could necessitate hiring more cafeteria staff and<br />

incurring other expenses. Any formal assessment of the welfare benefits of longer lunches should<br />

consider the potential costs and benefits, and is out of the scope of this analysis.<br />

Fewer overweight children would translate in<strong>to</strong> lower costs of treating weight-related<br />

illnesses. 26 Transande and Chatterjee (2009) estimate that the two year medical cost of<br />

outpatient services for treating overweight children (relative <strong>to</strong> normal weight) is close <strong>to</strong> $79 per<br />

child. Pairing this with the TSIV finding, this indicates that if all students in the YRBSS were<br />

given ten minutes more for lunch, this would reduce the share of overweight children by 2.5<br />

percentage points, from an average of 27.7% <strong>to</strong> 25.2%, which represents a cost saving of nearly<br />

$33 million dollars (2005 dollars) over two years. Additionally, we can consider the impact on<br />

academic outcomes. Geier et al. (2007) find that overweight children miss 1.7 more days of<br />

school per year than their normal weight classmates. Based on this figure, if all the students in<br />

the YRBSS were given ten minute longer lunches, this would reduce the number of absences by<br />

close <strong>to</strong> seven hundred thousand days per year. This is a non-trivial <strong>am</strong>ount, given that close <strong>to</strong><br />

60% of all tenth-grade students miss anywhere from one <strong>to</strong> six days per year (Snyder, 2011). 27<br />

26 Cost savings can accrue regardless of if the costs of weight-related medical care are borne by all taxpayers, or<br />

largely internalized (Bhattacharya and Sood, 2011).<br />

27 The weighted YRBSS data represents 16.65 million children, of which 27.7% are overweight. A reduction in the<br />

percent of overweight children <strong>to</strong> 25.2% yields 333,000 fewer overweight children. Multiplying 333,000*<br />

23


6.3 Calorie Consumption<br />

As discussed above, there are (at least) three potential channels through which lunch length<br />

may affect children’s weight. Shorter lunches may lead students <strong>to</strong> skip lunch or eat less than is<br />

nutritionally necessary, lead students <strong>to</strong> substitute <strong>to</strong>wards higher calorie, less healthy food<br />

options, and lead students <strong>to</strong> eat at a quick pace, thus increasing the likelihood that they overeat.<br />

To gain some insight on these potential mechanisms, we ex<strong>am</strong>ine data on calorie consumption<br />

from students in the SNDA-III. Students completed a 24 hour dietary recall diary, where they<br />

listed their food consumption over a random school day, and the calorie content of these foods<br />

was computed by survey administra<strong>to</strong>rs. We use this data <strong>to</strong> estimate the relationship between<br />

calorie consumption and the length of time a child is assigned <strong>to</strong> eat lunch in school using OLS.<br />

The dependent variables is the <strong>am</strong>ount of calories consumed during meals throughout the day,<br />

and <strong>to</strong> capture any non-linear effects of lunch length, we formulate the dependent variable as a<br />

set of four indica<strong>to</strong>rs for lunch lengths of less than 30, 30, 31-44, and 45 plus minutes (less than<br />

30 minutes is omitted). All regressions control for all the covariates in Appendix Table 1.<br />

The results are presented in Table 7. 28 Looking at breakfast and snack calories (first and<br />

fourth column), there is no systematic or significant difference in calories consumed during<br />

breakfast or as snacks for students who have longer lunch lengths relative <strong>to</strong> students who have<br />

less than 30 minutes. In contrast, for lunch calories, we observe that students who have 30<br />

minutes <strong>to</strong> eat lunch consume an average of 59 more calories during that time than students who<br />

eat for less than 30 minutes, those with 31 <strong>to</strong> 44 minutes eat 46 more calories, and those with 45<br />

or more minutes eat an average of 89 more calories. Moving <strong>to</strong> calories consumed during dinner,<br />

$79=$33,070,005. Similarly, 1.7 days *333,000=711,633 fewer absences.<br />

28 Total calories are restricted <strong>to</strong> be less than 6,000, and the s<strong>am</strong>ple is restricted <strong>to</strong> students who ate lunch on the day<br />

of the dietary recall. Calorie intake data may be misreported; we check the robustness of the results in Table 7 by<br />

removing implausible reports using the method outlined by Huang et al. (2004) and Ventura et al., (2006). Results<br />

are similar <strong>to</strong> those reported in Table 7 and are available upon request.<br />

24


we observe a similar, but opposite-signed pattern: Students with 30 minutes <strong>to</strong> eat lunch<br />

consume 88 fewer calories during dinner than students with less than half an hour <strong>to</strong> eat lunch,<br />

those with 31 <strong>to</strong> 44 minutes consume 47 calories less (although this estimate is not statistically<br />

significant), and those with the longest lunch consume 99 calories less.<br />

The estimates in Table 7 suggest that students with longer lunches actually tend <strong>to</strong> consume<br />

more calories during lunch, but this increase is exceeded by a slightly larger decrease in calories<br />

consumed during dinner. Such eating behavior is consistent with a scenario where children that<br />

have shorter lunches tend <strong>to</strong> eat less because they do not have time <strong>to</strong> eat, but subsequently, they<br />

arrive at the next meal and eat more because they are hungry.<br />

These results suggest that there are two possible ways that shorter lunch lengths could lead <strong>to</strong><br />

increases in BMI. First, students with longer lunches consume, on net, fewer calories during<br />

lunch and dinner combined compared <strong>to</strong> students with shorter lunches, and this can affect weight<br />

gain. For instance, students with 30 minute lunches consume about 29 calories less during lunch<br />

and dinner combined, relative <strong>to</strong> students with less than 30 minutes. The magnitude of this<br />

calorie reduction is not trivial and is consistent with the estimates of the effect of lunch length on<br />

BMI presented in Table 3. For instance, in Schanzenbach’s 2009 study, the author found that an<br />

increase in 40 calories per day is enough <strong>to</strong> increase the rate of obesity of first grade students by<br />

close <strong>to</strong> 1.7 percentage points. One caveat <strong>to</strong> applying Schanzenbach’s (2009) findings <strong>to</strong> this<br />

study is that the SNDA-III includes adolescents and teens, and calorie intake may impact weight<br />

differently based on age. That said, the overall results from the calorie analysis are in line with<br />

our general finding that longer lunches lead <strong>to</strong> better weight outcomes for students.<br />

Second, the timing of consumption may have important implications for weight gain.<br />

Students arguably have more time <strong>to</strong> burn off any calories consumed during the day with after<br />

25


school exercise and play, whereas there are fewer exercise opportunities for students after dinner.<br />

Longer lunches may simply shift consumption <strong>to</strong>wards times of the day where students have<br />

more opportunities <strong>to</strong> expend calorie intake, thus leading <strong>to</strong> reductions in BMI.<br />

7. Conclusion<br />

The consequences of childhood obesity are considerable. Overweight children are at risk<br />

for having high blood pressure and elevated levels of cholesterol, are more prone <strong>to</strong> asthma,<br />

sleep apnea, Type 2 diabetes, and experience psychosocial problems which can lead <strong>to</strong> risky<br />

behavior and depression (Dietz, 1998; Farhat et al., 2010; Freedman et al., 1999; Mallory et al.,<br />

1989; Serdula et al., 1993). Such illnesses can lead <strong>to</strong> absenteeism from school, which has<br />

implications for human capital accumulation and skill-formation (Geier et al., 2007). Finally, the<br />

financial costs of treating childhood obesity are non-trivial: Transande and Chatterjee (2009)<br />

estimate the costs of treating weight-related illnesses of children at 14.1 billion annually.<br />

The severity of childhood obesity has prompted interest at the national and local level for<br />

developing strategies <strong>to</strong> reduce obesity and prevent further increases from occurring (U.S.<br />

Department of Health and Human Services, 2001; NASBE, 2010). At the forefront of this<br />

discussion are schools, and of particular interest is the role of meals and food eaten at school.<br />

Proposed school-based methods <strong>to</strong> achieve reductions in obesity include, <strong>am</strong>ong other things,<br />

increasing the availability of fresh fruits and vegetables, reducing the availability of calorie<br />

sweetened beverages (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 2001), and as argued by<br />

some advocates for nutrition reform, scheduling lunch periods of sufficient length so that<br />

children have time <strong>to</strong> enjoy and consume their food (SNA, 2005; NASBE, 2000).<br />

To date, there has been no evidence about the impact of lunch period length on children’s<br />

weight. This paper is the first <strong>to</strong> provide evidence on this link. The TSIV results indicate that<br />

26


extending lunch length by ten minutes is associated with a 1.2% reduction in BMI, and reduces<br />

the probability a child is considered overweight for his/her age and gender by 2.5 percentage<br />

points. These magnitudes are economically meaningful when translated in<strong>to</strong> potential cost<br />

savings that could result from a reduction in treating weight-related illness <strong>am</strong>ong children.<br />

Although the results indicate that allocating more time for school meals has potential benefits<br />

for lowering children’s weight, there are many practical considerations that limit the extent <strong>to</strong><br />

which schools can offer longer lunches. If the school day is held constant, longer lunches would<br />

presumably come at the expense of other non-instructional/non-core activities (physical<br />

education, art) or instructional activities (math, reading), and there are drawbacks <strong>to</strong> this. While<br />

increasing the length of the school day is one possibility, this is likely <strong>to</strong> meet resistance unless<br />

sufficient compensation can be given <strong>to</strong> staff and administra<strong>to</strong>rs. Given the already strained<br />

budgets of schools and districts, this seems difficult <strong>to</strong> manage. The tension between finances<br />

and practices which can affect weight is not unique <strong>to</strong> this study. For instance, <strong>Anderson</strong> and<br />

Butcher’s 2006 study highlights the tradeoff between allowing junk food sales on school<br />

property and increased revenue <strong>to</strong> schools from these sales.<br />

This analysis underscores the need for further research <strong>to</strong> be conducted not only on the food<br />

students eat in school, but also the environment in which they eat it in. For instance, it may be of<br />

interest <strong>to</strong> ex<strong>am</strong>ine whether the spacing of lunch between the beginning and end of the school<br />

day, or eating location (supervised cafeteria space, versus unsupervised locations such as<br />

hallways or commons) has an effect on children’s weight. It would also be interesting <strong>to</strong> ex<strong>am</strong>ine<br />

the impact of lunch length on other outcomes of children, such as their behavior and achievement<br />

in school. Given the results of such research, policy makers and educational administra<strong>to</strong>rs can<br />

work <strong>to</strong>wards developing effective and creative solutions for bettering the outcomes of children.<br />

27


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31


(1) (2) (3)<br />

DV: Ln BMI<br />

DV: Ln BMI<br />

Lunch Length -0.0011 -0.0013 30 min 0.0001<br />

(s.e.) (0.0007)* (0.0007)** (s.e.) (0.0172)<br />

R 2<br />

0.3645 0.3887 31-44 min -0.0200<br />

(s.e.) (0.0186)<br />

Lunch Length -0.0037 -0.0039<br />

(s.e.) (0.0018)** (0.0017)** 45 plus min -0.0398<br />

(s.e.) (0.0234)*<br />

R 2<br />

0.0660 0.0993<br />

Lunch Length -0.0009 -0.0013 R 2 DV: Overweight<br />

DV: Obese<br />

0.3893<br />

(s.e.) (0.0013) (0.0013)<br />

R 2<br />

Table 1: OLS Estimates. Effect of Lunch Length on Body Weight (SNDA-III)<br />

0.0870 0.1205<br />

Controls<br />

Controls<br />

School Basic Col (1) + Col (1) +<br />

Child Basic Col (1) + Col (1) +<br />

Parent Basic Col (1) + Col (1) +<br />

N 1,287 1,287 1,287<br />

Standard errors are clustered at the school level and regressions are estimated using SNDA-III s<strong>am</strong>ple weights. The results in Column 1 condition on the following<br />

covariates: month of interview, urbanicity, region, grade span, avg daily attendance, school participates in National School Breakfast Progr<strong>am</strong>, school has recess<br />

f<strong>am</strong>ily income, employment status of parents, age, sex, race, grade level, and child receives free or reduced lunch. The results in Column 2 condition on all the covariates<br />

from Column 1 plus addi<strong>to</strong>nal controls at the child/parent and school level that may be correlated with lunch length and influence children's outcomes. At the school<br />

level this includes whether students can eat eat on/off c<strong>am</strong>pus, whether the school has a wellness progr<strong>am</strong>, whether the school allows extra-curricular activities <strong>to</strong><br />

be scheduled during lunch, whether the school has vending machines, a school snack s<strong>to</strong>re, serves brand n<strong>am</strong>e fast food on c<strong>am</strong>pus, and average time spent in the<br />

food service line. At the parent and child level this includes parents highest education, whether English is the main language spoken at home, parents marital status,<br />

number of household memebers, whether a child bought lunch from school in the day prior <strong>to</strong> the survey, whether the child takes physical education, plays sports,<br />

and number of hours spent watching television. The omitted category in Column 3 is less than 30 minutes. * denotes statistically different from zero at the 10%<br />

level, ** at 5%, *** at 1%.<br />

32


Table 2: TSIV-First Stage Estimates. Effect of State Lunch Laws on Lunch Length<br />

(SHPPS+Auxiliary)<br />

Offer Minimum Lunch Length (omit require) Avg Pupil-Teacher Ratio 0.379<br />

Recommend -5.710 (s.e.) (0.190)**<br />

(s.e.) (0.758)***<br />

Ln Avg Teacher Salary 0.938<br />

No Policy -6.603 (s.e.) (1.907)<br />

(s.e.) (0.868)***<br />

Percent Above Proficiency -0.071<br />

Ban Junk Food in Vending Machines (omit require) (s.e.) (0.039)*<br />

Recommend -4.244<br />

(s.e.) (0.675)*** Percent Reduced/Free 0.054<br />

(s.e.) (0.050)<br />

No Policy 0.885<br />

(s.e.) (0.524)* Percent White -0.046<br />

(s.e.) (0.019)**<br />

Ban Junk Food for Fundraising Sales (omit require)<br />

Recommend -3.290 Percent Male 3.744<br />

(s.e.) (0.765)*** (s.e.) (1.658)**<br />

No Policy -0.127 Percent Age 10 <strong>to</strong> 14 -3.715<br />

(s.e.) (0.774) (s.e.) (0.664)***<br />

Limit Serving Size of Food Items (omit require) Percent Age 15 <strong>to</strong> 17 0.377<br />

Recommend 2.897 (s.e.) (0.482)<br />

(s.e.) (0.788)***<br />

Percent of Obese Adults -0.612<br />

No Policy -0.308 (s.e.) (0.125)***<br />

(s.e.) (0.718)<br />

State Requires Schools Follow PE Guidelines N 916<br />

Require 1.740 R 2<br />

0.1061<br />

(s.e.) (0.549)***<br />

F-Statistic [p-value]<br />

H0: βrecommend, β no policy = 0 F(2,40) = 30.62<br />

H0: βrecommend = β no policy F(1, 40) = 4.43<br />

Standard errors are clustered at the state level and SHPPS weights are used. The first stage regression controls for all the<br />

covariates listed in Appendix Table 2, as well as region dummies (NE,S,W). The coefficients on the region dummies are<br />

omitted from this table for brevity. * denotes statistically different from zero at the 10% level, ** at 5%, *** at 1%.<br />

33


Table 3: TSIV-Second Stage Estimates. Effects of Predicted Lunch Length on Body Weight<br />

(YRBSS+SHPPS+Auxiliary Data)<br />

Ln(BMI)<br />

Overweight Obese<br />

Predicted Lunch -0.0013 -0.0012 -0.0020 -0.0025 -0.0009 -0.0012<br />

(s.e.) (0.0008) (0.0007)* (0.0014) (0.001)* (0.001) (0.001)<br />

Year 2009 -0.0048 -0.0149 -0.0080<br />

(0.002)*** (0.003)*** (0.004)**<br />

Minority 0.0441 0.0895 0.0474<br />

(0.003)*** (0.007)*** (0.004)***<br />

Female -0.0261 -0.0705 -0.0656<br />

(0.002)*** (0.003)*** (0.002)***<br />

Age 0.0209 -0.0069 -0.0004<br />

(0.0007)*** (0.002)*** (0.001)<br />

Mean of Dependent Variable<br />

Mean 3.1306 0.2769 0.1256<br />

[s.d.] [0.1859] [0.4475] [0.3314]<br />

N 186,831 186,831 186,831<br />

Standard errors are clustered at the state level and regressions are estimated using YRBSS weights. The second stage regressions<br />

control for all the covariates included in the first stage (except the instrument) which are listed in Appendix Table 2. We estimate the<br />

second stage without and with demographic characteristics of the students in the YRBSS and a control for being in the 2007 or 2009<br />

YRBSS survey. * denotes statistically different from zero at the 10% level, ** at 5%, *** at 1%.<br />

34


Table 4: Difference-In-Difference Estimates.<br />

Effect of State Lunch Laws on Body Weight<br />

(YRBSS + SHPPS+ Auxiliary Data)<br />

Ln(BMI)<br />

(1) (2)<br />

Requirement -0.001 -0.003<br />

(s.e.) (0.004) (0.004)<br />

Recommendation 0.012 0.011<br />

(s.e.) (0.008) (0.008)<br />

C0709 -0.009 -0.008<br />

(s.e.) (0.005)* (0.005)*<br />

Requirement*C0709 -0.025 -0.023<br />

(s.e.) (0.008)*** (0.008)***<br />

Recommendation*C0709 -0.009 -0.008<br />

(s.e.) (0.003)*** (0.003)***<br />

Individual Demographic Characteristics N Y<br />

State School and Demographic Characteristics Y Y<br />

N 230,329 230,329<br />

R 2<br />

0.01 0.05<br />

F-statistic [p-value]<br />

H 0: β req*c0709, β rec*c0709 = 0 F(2, 32) = 7.75 F(2, 32) = 6.86<br />

[0.0018] [0.0033]<br />

H 0: β req*c0709 = β rec*c0709 F(1, 32) = 3.95 F(1, 32) = 3.12<br />

[0.0555] [0.0869]<br />

Standard errors are clustered at the state level and regressions are weighted using YRBSS survey weights. All regressions<br />

control for the covariates included in Appendix Table 2. Regression results in Column 2 additionally control for the age, race,<br />

and sex of the YRBSS student. * denotes statistically different from zero at the 10% level, ** at 5%, *** at 1%.<br />

35


DV: Ln(BMI) 1999-2001<br />

Predicted Lunch 0.002<br />

(s.e.) (0.001)<br />

Year 2001 0.008<br />

(s.e.) (0.002)***<br />

Minority 0.045<br />

(s.e.) (0.003)***<br />

Female -0.044<br />

(s.e.) (0.0021)***<br />

Age 0.018<br />

(s.e.) (0.0013)***<br />

Mean of Dependent Variable<br />

Mean 3.1160<br />

[s.d.] [0.1800]<br />

N 78,453<br />

Standard errors are clustered at the state level, and regressions are estimated using YRBSS survey<br />

weights. The regression results condition on all the controls listed in Appendix Table 2 in both<br />

the first and second stage. * denotes statistically different from zero at the 10% level, ** at 5%,<br />

*** at 1%.<br />

Table 5: TSIV-Second Stage Estimates. Falsification Test.<br />

Effect of Predicted Lunch Length on Prior BMI<br />

(YRBSS+SHPPS+Auxiliary Data)<br />

36


Table 6: Characteristics of Schools, by 2006 State Lunch Length Policies<br />

Require Recommend Neither F-stat [p-value] N<br />

2006 SHPPS<br />

Cafeteria/Gym Overcapacity 0.0616 0.0431 0.0564 F(2, 40) = 1.11 904<br />

[s.d.] [0.2449] [0.2033] [0.2311] [0.3382]<br />

Ban Junk Food Vending 0.5783 0.4486 0.4951 F(2, 40) = 1.84 862<br />

[s.d.] [0.5026] [0.4979] [0.5007] [0.1717]<br />

Minutes of Recess Time Per Week (conditional on schools offering recess)<br />

139.1788 149.1318 140.0770 F(2, 37) = 0.04 291<br />

[37.4167] [65.801] [59.5422] [0.9615]<br />

Minutes of Physical Education Per Year<br />

(conditional on schools requiring physical education for grade promotion)<br />

5204.13 4127.88 3750.33 F(2, 40) = 0.31 528<br />

[s.d.] [2571.72] [2487.32] [2105.69] [0.7338]<br />

2000 SHPPS<br />

2000 Lunch Lengths 21.0540 23.7600 24.3210 F(2, 43) = 0.45 822<br />

[s.d.] [4.540] [7.754] [8.018] [0.6409]<br />

Standard deviations are in parentheses and SHPPS weights are used. The s<strong>am</strong>ple size differs across outcomes<br />

due <strong>to</strong> missing information. The F-statistic displays the results of a test of the joint significance<br />

of state lunch law dummies from regressions that condition on all the variables in Appendix Table 2.<br />

37


Breakfast Lunch Dinner Snacks<br />

30 minutes 9.584 58.702 -88.200 -25.656<br />

(s.e.) (21.580) (23.614)*** (37.243)** (38.711)<br />

31 <strong>to</strong> 44 -22.067 46.261 -47.352 -19.807<br />

(s.e.) (21.999) (26.309)* (36.710) (36.173)<br />

45 plus 43.796 88.690 -98.963 36.236<br />

(s.e.) (27.724) (36.577)*** (56.664)* (44.849)<br />

Mean 336.407 608.461 646.248 494.509<br />

(262.196) (307.673) (430.783) (444.152)<br />

R 2<br />

Table 7: OLS Estimates. Effect of Lunch Length on Calorie Intake (SNDA-III)<br />

DV: Calories Consumed During Meals<br />

0.2007 0.1437 0.1149 0.1105<br />

N 1211 1211 1211 1211<br />

Standard errors are clustered at the school level, and SNDA-III s<strong>am</strong>ple weights are used. All regressions control for the covariates<br />

in Appendix Table 1. The omitted category is less than 30 minutes * denotes statistically different from zero at 10% level, ** at 5%, *** at 1%.<br />

38


Density<br />

0 .05 .1 .15<br />

Source: SNDA-III<br />

Density<br />

0 .05 .1<br />

Density<br />

.15 .2<br />

0 .05 .1 .15 .2<br />

Source: SHPPS<br />

Figure 1: Length of School Lunch Period (SNDA-III)<br />

DV: Overweight (>=85th)<br />

DV: Obese (>=95th)<br />

0 20 40 60 80 100<br />

lunchperiodlength<br />

Figure 2: Length of School Lunch, Once Seated (SHPPS)<br />

10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60<br />

lunchperiodlength_onceseated<br />

39


Density<br />

0 .1 .2 .3<br />

Source: SHPPS<br />

Figure 3: Length of School Lunch, Once Seated by State Law (SHPPS)<br />

10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

lunchperiodlength_onceseated<br />

Require Recommend<br />

No Policy<br />

40


Appendix Table 1: Summary Statistics (SNDA-III)<br />

Outcomes & Lunch Length<br />

Ln BMI 3.0361 Lunch Length (minutes) 32.6800<br />

[s.d.] [0.2400] [9.0197]<br />

Obese 0.2116 Lunch Length Is Averaged 0.0656<br />

[0.4086] [0.2477]<br />

Overweight 0.3888<br />

[0.4877]<br />

School Characteristics<br />

Grade Span: K <strong>to</strong> 2 0.4778 Eat in Cafeteria 0.9572<br />

[0.4997] [0.2024]<br />

3 <strong>to</strong> 5 0.5214 Eat on C<strong>am</strong>pus 0.3677<br />

[0.4997] [0.4823]<br />

6 <strong>to</strong> 8 0.4268 Eat off C<strong>am</strong>pus 0.1218<br />

[0.4948] [0.3272]<br />

9 <strong>to</strong> 12 0.2851 School has Wellness Progr<strong>am</strong> 0.403<br />

[0.4516] [0.4907]<br />

Average Daily 803.3729 Vending Machine 0.6308<br />

Attendance [686.0951] [0.4828]<br />

School Participates in National 0.8728 School has S<strong>to</strong>re or 0.2051<br />

School Breakfast Progr<strong>am</strong> [0.3333] Snack Bar [0.4040]<br />

School offers Recess 0.5173 Average time spent in service 5.4764<br />

[0.4999] [3.8432]<br />

Other Activities Scheduled 0.2474 Fast Food Brand 0.2756<br />

[0.4316] [0.4470]<br />

Child Characteristics<br />

Age 11.5776 Receive Reduced or 0.4311<br />

[3.4249] Free Lunch [0.4954]<br />

Female 0.5049 Ate school lunch day 0.6871<br />

[0.5002] before survey [0.4638]<br />

Minority 0.3256 Regularly eats breakfast 0.7889<br />

[0.4688] [0.4083]<br />

Grade Level* 5.9579 Parent or adult makes 0.7647<br />

[3.3401] breakfast [0.4244]<br />

Takes Physical Education 0.7875 Has Allergies 0.0769<br />

[0.4092] [0.2666]<br />

Plays on Sports Te<strong>am</strong> 0.5854 Hours of TV per Day 1.7690<br />

[0.4928] [1.2908]<br />

41


Appendix Table 1 (cont.): Summary Statistics (SNDA-III)<br />

Parent Characteristics<br />

Income* Parent's Highest Education*<br />

15 <strong>to</strong> 30 K 0.1907 High School 0.2389<br />

[0.3930] [0.4266]<br />

30 <strong>to</strong> 40 K 0.1006 Some College 0.3635<br />

[0.3009] [0.4812]<br />

40 <strong>to</strong> 60 K 0.1528 College 0.1741<br />

[0.3600] [0.3794]<br />

60 <strong>to</strong> 80 K 0.1508 Professional 0.1108<br />

[0.3580] [0.3141]<br />

80 <strong>to</strong> 100 K 0.0777 Parents Married 0.7299<br />

[0.2678] [0.4442]<br />

100 Plus K 0.1715 Number Household 4.3632<br />

[0.3771] Members [1.3292]<br />

At least one parent 0.9324 Household speaks English 0.8616<br />

employed [0.2511] [0.3455]<br />

Geographic & Interview Date Characteristics<br />

Region* Urbanicity*<br />

Midwest 0.1747 MSA, Not Central City 0.3744<br />

[0.3799] [0.4842]<br />

Mountain 0.0849 Not MSA 0.2049<br />

[0.2788] [0.4038]<br />

Month of BMI Data Collection*<br />

Northeast 0.0794 February 0.1919<br />

[0.2705] [0.3939]<br />

Southeast 0.2163 March 0.2653<br />

[0.4119] [0.4417]<br />

Southwest 0.1754 April 0.1977<br />

[0.3804] [0.3984]<br />

West 0.1484 May-June 0.2870<br />

[0.3556] [0.4525]<br />

*The omitted categories are less than $15 K, mid-Atlantic, less than high school, MSA Central<br />

January. In the regressions, grade level enters as a series of dummy variables for grades 1-12<br />

with omitted category grade 1. The s<strong>am</strong>ple size is N=1,287. Weighted means with<br />

their s<strong>am</strong>ple standard deviations are reported using SNDA-III weights.<br />

42


Appendix Table 2: Summary Statistics (SHPPS + Auxiliary Data)<br />

State Policies State Level School Characteristics<br />

Lunch Length (school level) 22.6779<br />

Offer Minimum Lunch Length (omit require) [7.4253]<br />

Recommend 0.6019 Avg Pupil-Teacher Ratio 22.6779<br />

[0.4898] [7.4253]<br />

0.3722 Ln Avg Teacher Salary 15.7755<br />

[0.4837] [2.5099]<br />

Ban Junk Food in Vending Machines (omit require) Overflow 19.4337<br />

Recommend 0.2960 [5.4632]<br />

[0.4567] State Level Student Characteristics<br />

Neither 0.2747 Ln Average Enrollment 14.1297<br />

[0.4466] [0.8867]<br />

Ban Junk Food for Fundraising Sales (omit require)<br />

Recommend 0.3908 Above Proficiency 33.8764<br />

[0.4882] [7.0503]<br />

Neither 0.4204 Percent Reduced/Free 40.7754<br />

[0.4939] [8.1535]<br />

Offer Recess <strong>to</strong> Elementary Students (omit require)<br />

Recommend 0.1287 Percent Black 15.7768<br />

[0.3351] [9.8450]<br />

Neither 0.6861 Percent White 61.7451<br />

[0.4643] [17.0800]<br />

Limit Serving Size of Food Items (omit require)<br />

Recommend 0.4011 Percent Male 51.2020<br />

[0.4904] [0.11534]<br />

Neither 0.3331 Percent Age 10 <strong>to</strong> 14 38.3978<br />

[0.4716] [0.4267]<br />

State Requires Schools <strong>to</strong> Serve Breakfast<br />

0.1037 Percent Age 15 <strong>to</strong> 17 24.4447<br />

[0.3051] [0.7525]<br />

State Requires E/M/HS <strong>to</strong> Offer PE State Level Demographic Characteristics<br />

0.8885 Ln Median HH income 10.8528<br />

[0.3150] [0.1188]<br />

State Requires Schools Follow PE Guidelines Percent of Obese Adults 26.9239<br />

0.6719<br />

[0.4698]<br />

[2.6343]<br />

N=916. Weighted means with their s<strong>am</strong>ple standard deviations are reported using SHPPS<br />

weights. Regressions include indica<strong>to</strong>rs for region (NE,S,W) but are omitted for brevity.<br />

43


Ln BMI 3.1306 Minority 0.3791<br />

[s.d.] [0.1859] [0.4852]<br />

Overweight 0.2769 Female 0.4892<br />

[0.4475] [0.4999]<br />

Obese 0.1256 Age 16.0679<br />

[0.3314] [1.2136]<br />

Year 2009 0.5099<br />

N 186,831<br />

Weighted means with their s<strong>am</strong>ple standard deviations are reported using state YRBSS weights<br />

Year 2009 is equal <strong>to</strong> 1 for YRBSS observations from 2009, and =0 for year<br />

2007 observations.<br />

Appendix Table 3: Summary Statistics (YRBSS)<br />

44

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