Lisø PhD Dissertation Manuscript - NTNU
Lisø PhD Dissertation Manuscript - NTNU
Lisø PhD Dissertation Manuscript - NTNU
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
Research in Building Physics, Carmeliet, Hens & Vermeir (eds)<br />
© 2003 Swets & Zeitlinger, Lisse, ISBN 90 5809 565 7<br />
Building enclosure performance in a more severe climate<br />
K.R. <strong>Lisø</strong>, B. Time & T. Kvande<br />
Norwegian Building Research Institute (NBI), Oslo/Trondheim, Norway<br />
E.J. Førland<br />
The Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway<br />
ABSTRACT: This paper gives an overall view of challenges concerning building enclosure performance in<br />
a potentially more severe climate, based on future climate development scenarios for different parts of Norway.<br />
Preliminary results from the Norwegian Research & Development Programme “Climate 2000 – Building<br />
constructions in a more severe climate” indicates that there is a clear need to further develop our knowledge,<br />
methods, tools and solutions in principal concerning the planning and design of buildings in harsh<br />
climates, in order to ensure a reliable building stock in the future as well. Climate change will entail new conditions<br />
for the Norwegian construction industry. The presented climate change scenarios calls for a systematically<br />
identification of areas in the Norwegian construction industry that are vulnerable to potential impacts of<br />
climate change, and the development of adaptation strategies.<br />
1 INTRODUCTION<br />
Observations increasingly point to global warming<br />
and other changes in the climate system. The Intergovernmental<br />
Panel on Climate Change concludes<br />
that most of the warming observed over the last 50<br />
years is attributable to human activities, and that anthropogenic<br />
climate change will persist for many<br />
centuries (IPCC 2001).<br />
Climatic impact from precipitation, wind, temperature<br />
and exposure to the sun causes extensive<br />
degradation and damage to the built environment<br />
every year. The understanding of how degradation<br />
and damage can best be reduced is of significant importance<br />
in the design and construction of buildings.<br />
Future building materials, structures and external<br />
envelopes will probably have to withstand even<br />
greater climatic impact in parts of Norway than today.<br />
The trend we have seen over the last 10–15<br />
years, with mild autumn-winter seasons with heavy<br />
precipitation and frequent storms along the coast, is<br />
expected to intensify.<br />
Scientists in a wide range of disciplines are exploring<br />
the possible impacts of climate change. Until<br />
now, few studies have focused on the possible impacts<br />
of climate change on the built environment in<br />
Norway. In other countries impact studies have been<br />
performed along with studies of climate development<br />
under global warming. A British study (Graves<br />
& Phillipson 2000) shows that an increase in wind<br />
speeds of 6% is likely to cause damage to 1 million<br />
buildings at a cost of £1-2 billion. The study also<br />
addressed the major impacts of increased driving<br />
rain quantities on the suitability of different types of<br />
building enclosures, and the likely increase of maintenance<br />
costs due to more extreme weather in parts<br />
of England. Dry summers in the south of England<br />
could cause a 50–100% increase in subsidence<br />
claims in vulnerable areas.<br />
A study published by the Building Research Association<br />
of New Zealand presents climate change<br />
impacts on building performance in New Zealand<br />
(Camilleri et al. 2001). The study concludes that future<br />
performance of buildings in New Zealand may<br />
be significantly different from the current performance<br />
with regard to coastal and inland flooding,<br />
overheating, and wind damage and flooding associated<br />
with tropical cyclones.<br />
2 RESEARCH BACKGROUND<br />
2.1 Extreme weather events of the last ten years<br />
Coastal communities in Norway are vulnerable to<br />
strong winds. The hurricane that occurred in Northwest<br />
Norway on New Year’s Day 1992 caused damage<br />
to buildings in the range of 166 million Euro.<br />
Wind speeds of 62 - 63 m/s were recorded, the highest<br />
wind speeds that have ever been recorded on<br />
mainland Norway. The bulk of the damage was incurred<br />
to roofs and roofing, due primarily to insufficient<br />
anchoring.