Chiou and Youngs PEER-NGA Empirical Ground Motion Model for ...

Chiou and Youngs PEER-NGA Empirical Ground Motion Model for ... Chiou and Youngs PEER-NGA Empirical Ground Motion Model for ...

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and a 2-slope model with the second slope fixed at -0.5: ln( y) = C + C FBBC + C FYL + C ln( R ) − 0. 5ln( R ) + γR + φ ln( VS R 0 = R 2 1 2 2 + 6 , R = min( R , C ), R = max( 1, R 1 3 0 8 4 2 C&Y2006 Page 21 1 0 2 / C 8 ) 1 30 / 400) This study was performed before our final decision on the function form for distance attenuation near the source but alternative forms were found to produce similar results. The data cannot determine h (insufficient data at small distances) so it was fixed at 6. Dummy variables FBBC and FYL were used for the intercepts rather than magnitude scaling with random effects. There is sufficient data for each event (~200 records) that the random effect should equal the mean residual and the magnitude range is small (4.33 to 4.92). The analysis was conducted for spectral periods in the range of 0.01 to 5 seconds. Examination of the recordings (Appendix D) indicated that they could be used without processing to periods at least as long as 5 seconds. Figure 13 shows the results of fitting Equations 8 and 9 to the data. At all spectral periods, the 2-slope models produced slightly smaller standard errors that the single slope model. The location for the break in slope varied between 40 and 60 km. In addition, use of the singleslope model produces unrealistic positive values of the anelastic attenuation term γ for longer period motions, a fact also noted by Atkinson and Silva (1997). The TRI-Net pga data from many of the better-recorded small magnitude earthquakes display the change in attenuation rate slope. Tests of the PEER-NGA data also show that a twoslope model is statistically significant with a slope break also in the range of 45 to 60 km. Examination of the 1-D rock numerical simulation data also indicate that two-slope model provides a good fit with a beak in slope at about 60 km. Based on the above considerations, we adopted the concept of a change in the rate of attenuation occurring at a distances of approximately 50 km from the source. The appropriate value of the attenuation rate at distances beyond this point cannot be readily determined from the data because it is highly correlated with the assessment of the anelastic attenuation term γ, as had been noted by many previous investigators (e.g. Atkinson, 1989; Frankel et al., 1990). Therefore, we assume that the rate of attenuation can be modeled by a slope of -0.5 and will let the anelastic attenuation term γ account for departures from this value. The anelastic attenuation parameter γ is likely to have some degree of magnitude dependence. Boatwright et al. (2003) found magnitude-dependence in the anelastic attenuation term from their study of pga and pgv from northern California ShakeMap data, with increasing magnitude producing smaller absolute values of γ (less energy absorption). In addition, stochastic simulations of ground motions using a magnitude-independent Q model will produce magnitude-dependence in the resulting anelastic attenuation term γ fit to response spectra ordinates (e.g. Campbell, 2003). This effect was also noted by us in fitting ground motions using the Atkinson and Silva (2000) ground motion model. The effect is likely due to the shift to lower frequencies driving the damped oscillator response (and driving pga, Boatwright et al., 2003) as the size of the earthquake increases and lower frequency motions typically display lower values of Q. (10)

Figure 13: Coefficients resulting from fits of Equations (8), (9), and (10) to the broad band data for earthquakes 0163, 0167, and 0170. T is spectral period in seconds. The form of Equation (10) has a sharp break in the slope of the attenuation curve. This form appears to work well for individual earthquakes. However, the ground motion model developed in this study is intended to apply over all of California and includes data from a number of active tectonic regions. Therefore, Equation (10) was modified to introduce a smooth transition from near-source to far-source attenuation rates. The selected form for the distance attenuation function for the ground motion model developed in this study is: 2 2 [ R + C cosh{ C max( M − 3, 0) } ] + ( −0. 5 − C ) ln R + R + γ ( M) ln( y ) ∝ C ln RUP RUP B (11) 4 5 6 This form incorporates magnitude-dependent extended source effects, potentially magnitudedependent wave propagation effects on responds spectra at large distances and a smooth transition from dominance of ground motions by direct waves at small distances to dominance by Lg waves at large distances. Source-Site Geometry Effects: Analyses of ground motions from thrust earthquakes by Somerville and Abrahamson (1995) and Abrahamson and Somerville (1996) proposed the so called “hanging wall” effect in which ground motions are enhanced in the hanging wall of C&Y2006 Page 22 4

<strong>and</strong> a 2-slope model with the second slope fixed at -0.5:<br />

ln( y) = C + C FBBC<br />

+ C FYL<br />

+ C ln( R ) − 0.<br />

5ln(<br />

R ) + γR<br />

+ φ ln( VS<br />

R<br />

0<br />

=<br />

R<br />

2<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

+ 6 , R = min( R , C ), R = max( 1,<br />

R<br />

1<br />

3<br />

0<br />

8<br />

4<br />

2<br />

C&Y2006 Page 21<br />

1<br />

0<br />

2<br />

/ C<br />

8<br />

)<br />

1<br />

30<br />

/ 400)<br />

This study was per<strong>for</strong>med be<strong>for</strong>e our final decision on the function <strong>for</strong>m <strong>for</strong> distance<br />

attenuation near the source but alternative <strong>for</strong>ms were found to produce similar results. The<br />

data cannot determine h (insufficient data at small distances) so it was fixed at 6. Dummy<br />

variables FBBC <strong>and</strong> FYL were used <strong>for</strong> the intercepts rather than magnitude scaling with<br />

r<strong>and</strong>om effects. There is sufficient data <strong>for</strong> each event (~200 records) that the r<strong>and</strong>om effect<br />

should equal the mean residual <strong>and</strong> the magnitude range is small (4.33 to 4.92). The analysis<br />

was conducted <strong>for</strong> spectral periods in the range of 0.01 to 5 seconds. Examination of the<br />

recordings (Appendix D) indicated that they could be used without processing to periods at<br />

least as long as 5 seconds.<br />

Figure 13 shows the results of fitting Equations 8 <strong>and</strong> 9 to the data. At all spectral periods,<br />

the 2-slope models produced slightly smaller st<strong>and</strong>ard errors that the single slope model. The<br />

location <strong>for</strong> the break in slope varied between 40 <strong>and</strong> 60 km. In addition, use of the singleslope<br />

model produces unrealistic positive values of the anelastic attenuation term γ <strong>for</strong> longer<br />

period motions, a fact also noted by Atkinson <strong>and</strong> Silva (1997).<br />

The TRI-Net pga data from many of the better-recorded small magnitude earthquakes display<br />

the change in attenuation rate slope. Tests of the <strong>PEER</strong>-<strong>NGA</strong> data also show that a twoslope<br />

model is statistically significant with a slope break also in the range of 45 to 60 km.<br />

Examination of the 1-D rock numerical simulation data also indicate that two-slope model<br />

provides a good fit with a beak in slope at about 60 km.<br />

Based on the above considerations, we adopted the concept of a change in the rate of<br />

attenuation occurring at a distances of approximately 50 km from the source. The<br />

appropriate value of the attenuation rate at distances beyond this point cannot be readily<br />

determined from the data because it is highly correlated with the assessment of the anelastic<br />

attenuation term γ, as had been noted by many previous investigators (e.g. Atkinson, 1989;<br />

Frankel et al., 1990). There<strong>for</strong>e, we assume that the rate of attenuation can be modeled by a<br />

slope of -0.5 <strong>and</strong> will let the anelastic attenuation term γ account <strong>for</strong> departures from this<br />

value.<br />

The anelastic attenuation parameter γ is likely to have some degree of magnitude<br />

dependence. Boatwright et al. (2003) found magnitude-dependence in the anelastic<br />

attenuation term from their study of pga <strong>and</strong> pgv from northern Cali<strong>for</strong>nia ShakeMap data,<br />

with increasing magnitude producing smaller absolute values of γ (less energy absorption).<br />

In addition, stochastic simulations of ground motions using a magnitude-independent Q<br />

model will produce magnitude-dependence in the resulting anelastic attenuation term γ fit to<br />

response spectra ordinates (e.g. Campbell, 2003). This effect was also noted by us in fitting<br />

ground motions using the Atkinson <strong>and</strong> Silva (2000) ground motion model. The effect is<br />

likely due to the shift to lower frequencies driving the damped oscillator response (<strong>and</strong><br />

driving pga, Boatwright et al., 2003) as the size of the earthquake increases <strong>and</strong> lower<br />

frequency motions typically display lower values of Q.<br />

(10)

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