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214 Appendix<br />

<strong>the</strong> leader of <strong>the</strong> National Front, had finally accepted <strong>the</strong> first point of <strong>the</strong> ayatollah's<br />

declaration, to <strong>the</strong> effect that <strong>the</strong> shah's monarchy is illegitimate <strong>and</strong><br />

illegaL His abdication <strong>and</strong> departure had thus become a prerequisite for <strong>the</strong><br />

reconstitution of political life. By Friday evening, <strong>the</strong> monarch lacked even<br />

indirect support anywhere among <strong>the</strong> opposition, leaving him without any<br />

room to maneuver. For its part, <strong>the</strong> opposition was totally ready <strong>and</strong> organized.<br />

2. The day before, <strong>the</strong> official Soviet press had termed <strong>the</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> for an<br />

Islamic government in Iran "dangerous." It was, on <strong>the</strong> one h<strong>and</strong>, a way of<br />

signaling to <strong>the</strong> Americans that <strong>the</strong> USSR did not object to a solution, even<br />

a "vigorous one, " that would block <strong>the</strong> way for an opposition movement<br />

under Khomeini. It was also, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r h<strong>and</strong>, a way of signaling to <strong>the</strong><br />

shah that in case of a long <strong>and</strong> violent struggle, <strong>the</strong> opposition would find no<br />

support in <strong>the</strong> USSR, or in <strong>the</strong> arms-supplying people's democracies, 69 or in<br />

those Middle Eastern governments sponsored by <strong>the</strong> Russians. Therefore, on<br />

<strong>the</strong> international side, it was <strong>the</strong> shah who on Friday evening was completely<br />

ready <strong>and</strong> armed, while <strong>the</strong> opposition was completely isolated.<br />

The shah had only one card left to play. It consisted of getting <strong>the</strong>se international<br />

facts to play on <strong>the</strong> domestic stage.<br />

The opportunity was given by a student riot. Whe<strong>the</strong>r it was provoked<br />

<strong>and</strong> by whom will be a topic of discussion for a long time to come. Was it<br />

provoked by gunfire from soldiers on Saturday, or by <strong>the</strong>ir retreat on Sunday?<br />

The word "provocation" always bo<strong>the</strong>rs me, because <strong>the</strong>re is no action that<br />

is unprovoked.70 The problem is to know what makes someone susceptible<br />

to provocation. Why did <strong>the</strong> students switch this weekend to a type of action<br />

different from that of previous months, one that was probably not desired<br />

by even <strong>the</strong> most radical leaders of <strong>the</strong> opposition? Maybe it was because of<br />

<strong>the</strong> rivalry between <strong>the</strong> political <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> religious groups. There was on everybody's<br />

mind a sort of mutual challenge between <strong>revolution</strong>ary radicalism<br />

<strong>and</strong> Islamic radicalism, nei<strong>the</strong>r of which wanted to seem more conciliatory<br />

<strong>and</strong> less courageous than <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r. For this reason <strong>and</strong> because of a situation<br />

that had greatly evolved, <strong>the</strong> student milieu revealed itself as much more "explosive"<br />

than <strong>the</strong> rest of <strong>the</strong> population, alongside whom <strong>the</strong>se same students<br />

had demonstrated a few weeks ago.<br />

Now <strong>the</strong> army has occupied Tehran, <strong>and</strong> top military officers are running<br />

<strong>the</strong> country. Is this <strong>the</strong> seizure of power by <strong>the</strong> military that some had predicted?<br />

For <strong>the</strong> moment, it seems not.<br />

Indeed, <strong>the</strong> generals, now government ministers, did not impose <strong>the</strong>mselves<br />

on <strong>the</strong> shah. They are <strong>the</strong> king's men, designated by him long ago to

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