Goldin & Homonoff - DataSpace at Princeton University
Goldin & Homonoff - DataSpace at Princeton University Goldin & Homonoff - DataSpace at Princeton University
negative), implying a low value for ∂x . Similarly, on average, poor households spend a substantially ∂Mi larger fraction of their income on cigarettes compared to rich households (Chaloupka and Warner 2000), which implies that ∂ µ ∂εx,p < 0. Finally, the sign of ∂Mi ∂Mi hinges on whether low- or high-income consumers are more sensitive to cigarette prices. The empirical literature on this question is mixed, with most studies concluding that low-income smokers are slightly more price sensitive and other studies finding the opposite. In our data, we find the differences in price-sensitivity between rich and poor smokers to be negligible, implying that ∂εx,p ∂Mi is small in magnitude. As a whole, our model suggests that attentiveness to cigarette register taxes should decline by income. Low-income consumers suffer more when they over-spend on y because their marginal utility of wealth is greater than that of high-income consumers. Although the magnitude of the optimization error will in general be larger for high-income consumers (the difference between their intended and realized bundles is bigger), this factor is mitigated in the case of cigarettes by the fact that smoking demand is relatively insensitive to income and by the fact that low-income consumers spend a substantially higher fraction of their income on cigarettes compared to high-income consumers. 38
Table I: Summary of Cigarette Tax Changes Excise Tax Sales Tax Pre-Tax Price 1984 2000 1984 2000 1984 2000 Minimum 0.29 0.36 0.0 0.0 0.91 1.84 Maximum 0.68 1.43 7.5 7.5 1.28 2.47 Mean 0.50 0.75 3.8 5.0 1.03 2.20 # State Changes 91 45 # Federal Changes 3 n/a Excise tax and price are in 2000 dollars; sales tax in percent. 39
- Page 1 and 2: Smoke Gets in Your Eyes: Cigarette
- Page 3 and 4: cigarette’s posted price, and a s
- Page 5 and 6: form BCi : (p +tp +tr)xi + yi ≤ M
- Page 7 and 8: tax types: R(tp,tr) = (tp +tr)(xA +
- Page 9 and 10: ∂yB = −x. ∂tr Substituting th
- Page 11 and 12: consumers. An implication of the re
- Page 13 and 14: Data on state-level cigarette excis
- Page 15 and 16: variable (y) represents cigarette d
- Page 17 and 18: and is not statistically significan
- Page 19 and 20: Table IV presents our results. Colu
- Page 21 and 22: D. Tax Base Differences Between the
- Page 23 and 24: more by income in non-exempt states
- Page 25 and 26: with the variable assigned a value
- Page 27 and 28: to cigarette register taxes decline
- Page 29 and 30: References [1] Becker, Gary, Michae
- Page 31 and 32: Appendix A: Welfare Analysis Under
- Page 33 and 34: Again, the first term represents a
- Page 35 and 36: Appendix C: A Cognitive Cost Model
- Page 37: income yields: ∂Gi ∂Mi = 1 2 t2
- Page 41 and 42: Table III: Effect of Taxes on Cigar
- Page 43 and 44: Table V: Effect of Taxes on Cigaret
- Page 45 and 46: Table VII: Sales Tax Exemptions for
- Page 47 and 48: Table IX: Instrumenting for Price w
- Page 49 and 50: Table XI: Alternative Demand Models
- Page 51 and 52: Table XIII: State Trends Extensive
- Page 53 and 54: Figure II: Aggregate Cigarette Cons
neg<strong>at</strong>ive), implying a low value for ∂x . Similarly, on average, poor households spend a substantially<br />
∂Mi<br />
larger fraction of their income on cigarettes compared to rich households (Chaloupka and Warner 2000),<br />
which implies th<strong>at</strong><br />
∂ µ<br />
∂εx,p<br />
< 0. Finally, the sign of ∂Mi ∂Mi<br />
hinges on whether low- or high-income consumers<br />
are more sensitive to cigarette prices. The empirical liter<strong>at</strong>ure on this question is mixed, with most<br />
studies concluding th<strong>at</strong> low-income smokers are slightly more price sensitive and other studies finding<br />
the opposite. In our d<strong>at</strong>a, we find the differences in price-sensitivity between rich and poor smokers to be<br />
negligible, implying th<strong>at</strong> ∂εx,p<br />
∂Mi<br />
is small in magnitude.<br />
As a whole, our model suggests th<strong>at</strong> <strong>at</strong>tentiveness to cigarette register taxes should decline by income.<br />
Low-income consumers suffer more when they over-spend on y because their marginal utility of wealth<br />
is gre<strong>at</strong>er than th<strong>at</strong> of high-income consumers. Although the magnitude of the optimiz<strong>at</strong>ion error will in<br />
general be larger for high-income consumers (the difference between their intended and realized bundles<br />
is bigger), this factor is mitig<strong>at</strong>ed in the case of cigarettes by the fact th<strong>at</strong> smoking demand is rel<strong>at</strong>ively<br />
insensitive to income and by the fact th<strong>at</strong> low-income consumers spend a substantially higher fraction of<br />
their income on cigarettes compared to high-income consumers.<br />
38