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Goldin & Homonoff - DataSpace at Princeton University

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Again, the first term represents a positive income effect and the second term represents a neg<strong>at</strong>ive<br />

welfare effect stemming from optimiz<strong>at</strong>ion error, which grows in size as register taxes increase.<br />

Appendix B: Welfare Analysis under Endogenous Producer Prices<br />

This Appendix expands the model developed in Part I to the setting in which firms adjust their prices<br />

in response to changes in the type of tax imposed. Like before, the policy change we consider is an<br />

increase in the register tax accompanied by a reduction in the posted tax designed to keep government<br />

revenue unchanged.<br />

For the <strong>at</strong>tentive consumer (A), the welfare effect of the shift may be found by differenti<strong>at</strong>ing the<br />

indirect utility function:<br />

<br />

dVa <br />

<br />

dtr<br />

R<br />

<br />

∂ px <br />

= −Uy(xA,yA)(xA) <br />

∂tr<br />

<br />

R<br />

= −Uy(xA,yA)(xA) 1 + ∂tp<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

∂tr<br />

R<br />

+ ∂ p<br />

<br />

∂tr<br />

This equ<strong>at</strong>ion differs from (6) in th<strong>at</strong> it reflects changes in the pre-tax price of x in addition to changes in<br />

the combined tax on x. In words, the welfare effect of the shift for A stems entirely from the change in<br />

<br />

d px <br />

the after-tax price of x, px = p +tp +tr. When the net effect is neg<strong>at</strong>ive, < 0, the resulting income<br />

dtr R<br />

effect makes A better off ( dVa<br />

<br />

<br />

> 0). In turn, when the net effect of the shift is to raise the after-tax price<br />

dtr R<br />

of x, the associ<strong>at</strong>ed income effect reduces A’s welfare.<br />

To solve for ∂tp<br />

<br />

∂ p<br />

and , consider the market clearing condition x(p,tp,tr) = s(p), in which<br />

R R<br />

∂tr<br />

∂tr<br />

aggreg<strong>at</strong>e demand is the sum of demand by <strong>at</strong>tentive and in<strong>at</strong>tentive consumers, x(p,tp,tr) ≡ xa(p +tp +<br />

tr) + xb(p +tp), and s(p) represents producer supply. Totally differenti<strong>at</strong>ing this condition as well as the<br />

government’s budget constraint yields:<br />

<br />

∂ p<br />

<br />

∂tr<br />

R<br />

<br />

∂tp <br />

<br />

∂tr<br />

R<br />

=<br />

=<br />

∂xb<br />

∂ p<br />

∂x ∂s tr+tp<br />

∂ p − ∂ p − x<br />

∂s ∂x tr+tp<br />

∂ p − ∂ p + x<br />

∂x ∂s tr+tp<br />

∂ p − ∂ p − x<br />

33<br />

<br />

∂x ∂s<br />

∂ p<br />

∂ p<br />

<br />

∂s ∂xA<br />

∂ p ∂ p<br />

<br />

∂X<br />

∂ p<br />

∂s<br />

∂ p

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