IHgIIOJOHIj - World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe
IHgIIOJOHIj - World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe
IHgIIOJOHIj - World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe
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aJiKOI'OJ151, H Mbl CyMMHpyeM 3TH naHHble mince.<br />
B OpHO{i rpynne HCCJIenOBâHHI%I npH aHâJ1H3e BpeMeHHb1X CepHN<br />
y4HTbIBâJIHCb nepeMeHHble pblHKa (McGuinnes, 1983; Walsh, 1982)<br />
H npeACTaBJ1eHHb1e naHHble no (1)H3H4eCKON .gOCTynHOCTH aJ1KOTOJ151 H<br />
ero nOTpe6JIeHHIO H3 BpeMCHHbiX CepHN (Wilkinson, 1987). 3TH<br />
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n03BOJ15I10T npeAnOJIoxCHTb, 4TO nOCTynHOCTb, H3MepAeMâA 11J1OTHOCTb1O<br />
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H3y4eHHbIX CepH11 (He 6onee 25 JIeT).<br />
Godfrey (1988) aHaJ1H3HpOBâJIa naHHble no npOnaxce aJIKOrOJ1A H<br />
noKa3aTeJiH nOCTynHOCTH aJ1KOI'oJ1A B BeJIHK06pHTaHHH. 14CnOJIb3yA<br />
naHHble BpeMeHHbIX CepHN H Bo3BpaTHOe MOnenHpOBaHHe, oHa<br />
nOJIy4HJla nOKa3aTeJIbcTBa TOI'O, 4TO KOJ1H4eCTBO TO4eK nponaxcH<br />
3aBHCHT OT 06beMa p03HH4HON TOpI'OBJ1H KpeIIKHMH CI1HpTHbIMH<br />
HanHTKaMH, BHHOM H nHBOM. KpoMe Toro, nJ1OTHOCTb pacnoJlwKeHHA<br />
T04eK npOnaxCH BJ1HAeT Ha nOTpe6JleHHe nHBa H npennOJlai'aeTCA, 4TO<br />
noTpe6JIeHHe nHBa paCTeT C yBeJ1H4eHHeM ero nOCTynHOCTH.<br />
LehtOnen (1978) aHaJIH3HpOBaJi CnpoC Ha aJ1KOI'OJ1bHble HanHTKH<br />
npH nponaxce Ha pa3JIHB B OHHJ1AHA(iH. B nOnOJIHeHHe K 3J1aCTH4HOCTH<br />
I(eH H noxona, OH OIleH1-1BâJ1 3JIaCTH4HOCTb (paKTOpOB npenJIomKeHHA.<br />
1_lOJ1oBHHa nOBbIWeHHA npona>KH aJIKOI'OJ151 Ha pa3J1HB C 1962 no 1977 IT'.<br />
06bACHAJ1aCb yBeJ1H4eHHeM KOJ1H4eCTBa peCTOpaHOB (Lehtonen 1978;<br />
Mäkelä et al 1981). IIOJIHTHKa OI'paHH4eHHA, TaKHM o6pa3OM, monta<br />
CnepxCâTb CnpoC Ha aJ1K00011b Ha nJIHTeJIbHOe BpeMA, HO 3T0 HaW110<br />
cBoe OTpaxCeHHe B paCWHpeHHH npOnyCKH01%1 CH0006HOCTH pecTopaHoB.<br />
B CBOeM HCCJIenOBaHHH, OCHOBaHHOM Ha OTHOCHTeJ1bHO<br />
60JIbWOM KOJ1H4eCTBe naHHbIX 143 50 WTaTOB CllIA 3a 5 JIeT,<br />
Wilkinson (1987) H3y4aJI B3aHMOCBA3b Mexcny KOJ1H4eCTBOM TO4eK<br />
nponaxcH, 06beMOM nponaxcH aJIKOI'OJ1A H BOwneHHeM B HeTpe3BOM<br />
COCTOAHHH. B pe3yJlbTaTe OH O6HapyxCHJ1 He6oJlbWylo, HO 3Ha4HMy10<br />
B3a11MOCB513b Mexcny 3THMH nepeMeHHbIMH. Gruenewald, et al. (1993)<br />
npoBOnHJlH aHâJ1H3 npenCTaBHTeJIbHbiX BpeMeHHb1X cepHN<br />
noTpe6JieHHA aJIKOI'OJ151 H T04eK npOnaxcH no THnaM HanHTKOB (BHHO<br />
H KpenKHe CHHpTHble HanHTKH) no 50 I11TTM C111Ei 1975-1984 COnOB.<br />
arIA npOBeneHHA 1-1OJ1HON OI1eHK14 3J1aCT144HOCTH nHBa, 6a3a naHHbIX<br />
n0 BpeMeHHbIM CepHAM 6blJla HenOCTaTo4Ha. 1-1onX0n,<br />
HC11OJIb30BaHHbIN 3THMH aBTOpaMH, BKJ1104aJ1 B Ce651 aHâJIH3 I(eHbl<br />
188
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