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(KOTOpble no4TH HHKOrAa He BO3HHKaiOT B HopBerHH no npH4HHe
noTpe6neHHx anKOronH). B AaHHOM cny4ae Apyrori ckaKTOp -
npO(iHnaKTHKa HCC4aCTHbIX cny4aes Ha npOH3BOACTBe - npOH3Ben
Bo3AeÎ3cTBHe o6paTHoe BJIHAHHIO noTpe6neHHH. B pe3ynbTaTe BnHSIHHe
anKOronH 6bI110 CKpbITO B o6lueii TeHAeHuHH. 3TOT npHMep Cny)KHT
npCAOCTepe)KeHHeM npOTHB HeOCTOpO)KH6IX yTBep)KAeHHN,
BbIBeAeHHbIX 1-13 aHanH3a TeHjjCHuHFt.
To, 4TO ApyrHe (kaKTOpbI He "paBHbl", Mo)KeT 6bITb HIM He 6bITb
IIp06neMOH npH OL[CHKe BJIH)IHHH nOTpe6neHHH anKOronH Ha ypOBeHb
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McTOAHKH, TO CHTyauHH He 6yAeT npo6neMaTH4Holi, AO Tex nop noKa
HeT HCTHHHbIX KoppenHuHN Me)iCay noTpe6neHHeM H gpyrHMH
3THOnOrH4eCKHMH Il3aKTOpaMH, KOTOpble He 6bInH nOJiHOCTbiO
paccMOTpexbl (Box and Jenkins 1976). TeM He Mexee, ec11H Apyrai
3THO110rH4eCKHi7 (13aKTop J';eÎdCTBHTenbHO TeCHO CB513aH C noTpe6neHHeM,
TOr,ija OH AOn)KeH 6bITb BHeCeH B MOAenb HRH MbI pHCKyeM nO11y4HTb
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3a Bcero BbILne cKa3aHHOTO, MbI npej[CTaBHM o630p HeCKOnbKHX
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H ypoBHeM pa3nH4Hb1x BHAOB yLL[ep6a cpeAH HaCe11eHHH. O63op, B
OCHOBHOM, 6a3HpyeTCH Ha CTaTbHX, Ony6nHKOBaHHbIX B
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npo6neMaMH, B TO BpeMH KaK O ,ijpyrHx HccnegoBaHHSIx, ecnH OHH
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H yLuep6OM HHOrxja Mo)KeT o6naAaTb cTpyKTypoH C BpeMeHHbIM
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BHHMaHHe B npHBeACHHbIX HH)Ke aHanH3aX.
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