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Fission Product Yield Data for the Transmutation of Minor Actinide ...

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<strong>the</strong> fissioning nucleus and <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong><br />

neutrons emitted by fragments at symmetry;<br />

(h) The multiplicity distribution <strong>of</strong> neutrons<br />

emitted from fragments is crucial <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

correct calculation <strong>of</strong> pre- and post-neutron<br />

emission mass distributions — this quantity<br />

should be carefully investigated and<br />

evaluated, and more measurements are<br />

needed to derive more reliable systematics;<br />

(i) Assumptions made about neutron distributions<br />

in calculations could be checked against<br />

measured pre- and post-neutron emission<br />

mass distributions and adjusted accordingly.<br />

If <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> multi-chance fission are part <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> calculations (purely <strong>the</strong>oretical approaches), <strong>the</strong><br />

following parameters need to be chosen with care:<br />

(1) Parameters and penetrability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fission<br />

barrier;<br />

(2) Contributions <strong>of</strong> multi-chance fission<br />

components as functions <strong>of</strong> incident energies;<br />

(3) Energies at which <strong>the</strong> asymmetric fission<br />

modes disappear;<br />

(4) Preferred fission modes <strong>of</strong> different fissioning<br />

nuclides as a function <strong>of</strong> excitation energy;<br />

(5) The number <strong>of</strong> neutrons emitted be<strong>for</strong>e and<br />

after scission, but also between saddle and<br />

scission;<br />

(6) Neutron multiplicity distributions from<br />

fragments.<br />

5.2.3.5. Remarks on systematics<br />

and <strong>the</strong>oretical models<br />

Our present knowledge <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> expected<br />

impacts on <strong>the</strong> observed mass distribution is insufficient<br />

to predict <strong>the</strong> real shapes. There are nei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

sufficiently reliable experimental data nor confident<br />

predictions by systematics and <strong>the</strong>oretical models.<br />

Hence, we can only say that <strong>the</strong> assumptions<br />

associated with shape symmetry and <strong>the</strong> calculation<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> point <strong>of</strong> mass symmetry are incorrect, but we<br />

cannot tell whe<strong>the</strong>r and at what energies <strong>the</strong> error is<br />

significant.<br />

At lower energies up to 30 MeV, <strong>the</strong><br />

deviations from Gaussian and shape symmetry are<br />

probably so small that <strong>the</strong> uncertainty is negligible<br />

compared with all o<strong>the</strong>r uncertainties. Discrepancies<br />

up to 2.5% absolute yield around <strong>the</strong> peaks<br />

and in <strong>the</strong> slopes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> valley are mainly due to<br />

differences in <strong>the</strong> positions <strong>of</strong> peak maxima, <strong>the</strong><br />

peak shapes and <strong>the</strong> widths <strong>of</strong> valleys, while <strong>the</strong><br />

peak heights are less discrepant. At still lower<br />

energies up to 10 MeV, structure in <strong>the</strong> peaks should<br />

be visible due to <strong>the</strong> two fission modes ST-1 and ST-<br />

2, but in several models this effect cannot be<br />

detected because <strong>the</strong> peak functions are too broad.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> experimental results are not<br />

conclusive because <strong>of</strong> differences in <strong>the</strong> observed<br />

structure. A detailed analysis should clarify <strong>the</strong><br />

shape and position <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> structure and <strong>the</strong> energy<br />

at which ST-1 starts to become insignificant.<br />

The survey plots <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> mass distribution<br />

parameters between 13 and 20 MeV have revealed<br />

deviations from <strong>the</strong> smooth energy dependences <strong>for</strong><br />

some calculations. The nature <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se ‘irregularities’<br />

could not really be explained, although <strong>the</strong>y<br />

may arise from <strong>the</strong> onset <strong>of</strong> a new fission chance.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>r investigations are strongly recommended.<br />

At energies above 30 MeV, <strong>the</strong> predicted<br />

shapes are discrepant. At <strong>the</strong> present time <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

little indication <strong>of</strong> what <strong>the</strong> correct shapes should be<br />

and which model gives <strong>the</strong> best predictions. All that<br />

can be noted is that <strong>the</strong> calculations <strong>of</strong> Wahl,<br />

Katakura and <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical model predictions<br />

seem to be far from reality, even considering <strong>the</strong><br />

probable necessary adjustments to <strong>the</strong> experimental<br />

data. The following questions need to be clarified in<br />

a detailed analysis, particularly <strong>for</strong> this high energy<br />

region:<br />

(a) How significant is <strong>the</strong> expected broadening <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> peaks?<br />

(b) At what energy does <strong>the</strong> symmetric peak start<br />

to become significant and dominate?<br />

(c) Are three peaks visible at a certain energy, or<br />

does <strong>the</strong> broadening <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> peaks due to<br />

multi-chance fission result in a broad and flat<br />

plateau?<br />

5.3. CONCLUSIONS AND<br />

RECOMMENDATIONS<br />

Accuracy requirements <strong>for</strong> fission yields in<br />

waste transmutation studies are ill defined. We<br />

assume that only fission yields ≥2% are important,<br />

and should be known to about 25% relative<br />

accuracy, amounting to roughly 1.5% absolute yield<br />

uncertainty <strong>for</strong> peak fission yields <strong>of</strong> 6–7%. At low<br />

energies <strong>for</strong> 238 U, where agreement is better, <strong>the</strong><br />

discrepancies among calculations are 2.5% in many<br />

cases. Clearly <strong>for</strong> those nuclides included in part B<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> benchmark exercise <strong>the</strong> agreement is worse,<br />

even without detailed analyses. There<strong>for</strong>e, <strong>the</strong><br />

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