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<strong>Pakistan</strong>’s <strong>Trade</strong> with <strong>India</strong>:<br />

Thinking Strategically<br />

| 31 |<br />

IJAZ NABI<br />

On February 29, 2012, <strong>Pakistan</strong> granted <strong>India</strong> Most Favored<br />

Nation (MFN) status, paving the way for a normal, World <strong>Trade</strong><br />

Organization (WTO)-consistent trade relationship between the<br />

two largest economies of South Asia. (<strong>India</strong> granted MFN to <strong>Pakistan</strong> in<br />

1996.) It would be a mistake, however, to take for granted sustained trade<br />

growth following this announcement. <strong>Pakistan</strong>-<strong>India</strong> relations are complex<br />

and many factors can intervene to disrupt the smooth flow of trade<br />

and other economic transactions. This essay 1 argues that <strong>Pakistan</strong>, but also<br />

<strong>India</strong>, has to take a strategic, regional approach in managing its trade and<br />

economic relationship with <strong>India</strong> to prevent future disruptions in trade<br />

and thus maximize the benefits of this important announcement.<br />

BaCKGround<br />

Before 1947, the regions constituting <strong>Pakistan</strong> and <strong>India</strong> had been part<br />

of a large, well-integrated economy, and for centuries people, money,<br />

and goods had moved unimpeded between the regions. This routine<br />

exchange was given a new vigor in the century leading up to 1947, when<br />

canal irrigation, transport networks, and a newly established legal framework<br />

unleashed market forces on an unprecedented scale.<br />

Following partition (and independence from colonial rule) in<br />

1947, despite the violence and transfer of populations, deep economic<br />

ijaz nabi is a visiting professor of economics (and former dean) of the School<br />

of Humanities, Social Sciences, and Law at Lahore University of Management<br />

Sciences (LUMS).

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