Pakistan-India Trade:

Pakistan-India Trade: Pakistan-India Trade:

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26.03.2013 Views

Moving Toward Pakistan-India Trade Normalization: An Overview This visit created a conducive environment for Pakistan to move forward. The Ministry of Commerce arranged a detailed briefing for the Cabinet on November 2, 2011. The Cabinet unanimously endorsed normalization of trade relations with India, and directed the Ministry of Commerce to engage India toward a complete normalization of trade, culminating in the granting of MFN status to India. The commerce secretaries of the two countries met on November 14–15, 2011, in India. The sequencing of trade normalization was chalked out, and it was decided that following a move to a negative list by February 2012, the negative list would ultimately be phased out by the end of 2012. To allay the fears of Pakistani exporters, interactive sessions were arranged between Indian import regulators and private sector companies. The first one was held in New Delhi on September 29, 2011. Indian import regulators also visited Lahore and Karachi on January 25 and 27, 2012. As had been agreed earlier, the negative list was finalized. One of Pakistan’s premier business educational institutes, the Institute of Business Administration (IBA), was entrusted with the task of preparing the negative list. IBA, using its considerable professional and technical expertise, completed the task despite time constraints. The 6th SAFTA ministerial meeting was held in February 2012. This coincided with the holding of the “Made in India” exhibition in Lahore, where large numbers of Indian exhibitors participated. At about the same time, following an invitation from his Pakistani counterpart, the Indian commerce minister—along with a business delegation—visited Pakistan from February 13–16, 2012. This marked the first-ever visit by an Indian commerce minister to Pakistan. The announcement of a switch-over from a positive to a negative list was to be made during this visit. However, the Indian delegation had to face some disappointment when the Pakistani Cabinet postponed consideration of the case. Ironically, this happened on Valentine’s Day. We could not give the appropriate gift of additional access to Pakistani markets to the Indian trade minister and his delegation. However, the two ministers agreed that when Pakistan notifies its negative list, India would reduce its sensitive list, per SAFTA strictures. Also, to allay the apprehension of Pakistani exporters regarding Indian NTBs, three facilitation agreements were initiated. These include customs | 25 |

Zafar Mahmood cooperation, grievance redressal, and mutual recognition agreements. Pakistan had agreed in November 2011 to take the case to the Cabinet in February. On February 29, 2012, the Cabinet approved the switchover from a positive to a negative list. Pakistan’s credibility was saved. The Cabinet also approved a possible phase-out of the negative list by December 2012. There are other positive signs on the horizon, including consensus among major political parties on trade normalization with India. The Special Committee of National Assembly on Kashmir and the Standing Committees of National Assembly and Senate on Commerce were taken on board, and have endorsed the road map for normalizing trade relations with India. reMaininG areas of ConCern Despite the progress made so far, there are still fears of India’s economic dominance in the minds of the Pakistani private sector and political leaders. India has a huge trade balance in its favor with other SAARC countries, and a constant fear in the minds of analysts is that owing to a large industrial base and a restrictive import regime, the trade imbalance between Pakistan and India will further deteriorate. There are suspicions about India’s sincerity to make SAFTA work. India has two separate sensitive lists for least developed countries (LDCs) and non-LDCs in SAFTA. The Indian sensitive list for non-LDCs is almost Pakistan-specific, and restricts market access for Pakistani products. Based on its past experience exporting to India, the Pakistani private sector complains of a non-cooperative attitude of import regulators in India, and expresses concern about the smooth operation of the three facilitation agreements. The Pakistani private sector fears that India will find ways to nullify the effectiveness of these agreements. To make the trade normalization process sustainable, simultaneous progress in other tracks of the Composite Dialogue is highly desirable. The move to normalize trade relations with India is a courageous decision taken by the government of Pakistan. Reversing this process would have serious implications, not only for the two countries, but for the region at large. | 26 |

Moving Toward <strong>Pakistan</strong>-<strong>India</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> Normalization: An Overview<br />

This visit created a conducive environment for <strong>Pakistan</strong> to move<br />

forward. The Ministry of Commerce arranged a detailed briefing for<br />

the Cabinet on November 2, 2011. The Cabinet unanimously endorsed<br />

normalization of trade relations with <strong>India</strong>, and directed the Ministry of<br />

Commerce to engage <strong>India</strong> toward a complete normalization of trade,<br />

culminating in the granting of MFN status to <strong>India</strong>.<br />

The commerce secretaries of the two countries met on November<br />

14–15, 2011, in <strong>India</strong>. The sequencing of trade normalization was<br />

chalked out, and it was decided that following a move to a negative list<br />

by February 2012, the negative list would ultimately be phased out by<br />

the end of 2012.<br />

To allay the fears of <strong>Pakistan</strong>i exporters, interactive sessions were arranged<br />

between <strong>India</strong>n import regulators and private sector companies.<br />

The first one was held in New Delhi on September 29, 2011. <strong>India</strong>n import<br />

regulators also visited Lahore and Karachi on January 25 and 27, 2012.<br />

As had been agreed earlier, the negative list was finalized. One<br />

of <strong>Pakistan</strong>’s premier business educational institutes, the Institute of<br />

Business Administration (IBA), was entrusted with the task of preparing<br />

the negative list. IBA, using its considerable professional and technical<br />

expertise, completed the task despite time constraints.<br />

The 6th SAFTA ministerial meeting was held in February 2012.<br />

This coincided with the holding of the “Made in <strong>India</strong>” exhibition in<br />

Lahore, where large numbers of <strong>India</strong>n exhibitors participated. At about<br />

the same time, following an invitation from his <strong>Pakistan</strong>i counterpart,<br />

the <strong>India</strong>n commerce minister—along with a business delegation—visited<br />

<strong>Pakistan</strong> from February 13–16, 2012. This marked the first-ever<br />

visit by an <strong>India</strong>n commerce minister to <strong>Pakistan</strong>. The announcement<br />

of a switch-over from a positive to a negative list was to be made during<br />

this visit. However, the <strong>India</strong>n delegation had to face some disappointment<br />

when the <strong>Pakistan</strong>i Cabinet postponed consideration of the case.<br />

Ironically, this happened on Valentine’s Day.<br />

We could not give the appropriate gift of additional access to<br />

<strong>Pakistan</strong>i markets to the <strong>India</strong>n trade minister and his delegation.<br />

However, the two ministers agreed that when <strong>Pakistan</strong> notifies its negative<br />

list, <strong>India</strong> would reduce its sensitive list, per SAFTA strictures. Also,<br />

to allay the apprehension of <strong>Pakistan</strong>i exporters regarding <strong>India</strong>n NTBs,<br />

three facilitation agreements were initiated. These include customs<br />

| 25 |

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