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Probability Distribution Binomial Distribution Geometric Distribution ...

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Name: _______________________ Date: _____________ May 2012<br />

KNOW COMM APPL THINK TOTAL<br />

5 10 17 8 40<br />

<strong>Probability</strong> <strong>Distribution</strong> <strong>Binomial</strong> <strong>Distribution</strong><br />

Expected Value : E(X)=<br />

n<br />

i=<br />

1<br />

P(x) =<br />

−<br />

Cpq<br />

n x<br />

∑ xiPx ( i)<br />

E(X) = np<br />

x n x<br />

<strong>Geometric</strong> <strong>Distribution</strong> Hyper<strong>Geometric</strong> <strong>Distribution</strong><br />

Px =<br />

C × C<br />

nCr E(X) = q/p<br />

ra<br />

Expected Value: E( X)<br />

=<br />

n<br />

P(x) = q x a x n−a r−x p <strong>Probability</strong>: ( )<br />

PART A: KNOWLEDGE<br />

1. What is the expected value for a binomial distribution with p = 0.2 and<br />

n = 6? (1 mark)<br />

2. NBA basketball player Dwayne Wade scores on 92% of his free throws.<br />

What is the expected waiting time before he misses on a free throw?<br />

(2 marks)<br />

3. What is the expected number of women on a six-member jury randomly<br />

chosen from 10 women and 14 men? (2 marks)


Name: _______________________ Date: _____________ May 2012<br />

PART B: COMMUNICATION<br />

4. In a family with four children, determine the probability distribution<br />

for the number of boys. (4 marks)<br />

X Rough Work P(X)<br />

0<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5. Graph the probability distribution for the question above. (4 marks)<br />

6. What is the expected number of boys? (2 marks)


Name: _______________________ Date: _____________ May 2012<br />

PART C: APPLICATION<br />

7. Mr. Neave didn’t study enough for his Finite Math exam and is<br />

struggling on the 10 question multiple choice portion. Each question<br />

has four possible answers. Mr. Neave is certain of four answers but<br />

has no idea on the remaining six questions. If Mr. Neave randomly<br />

guesses on the six questions what is the probability that he gets at<br />

least 5 out of 10 on the multiple choice portion. (4 marks)<br />

8. At a pet shop, an aquarium contains nine piranha and six baby sharks.<br />

Kevin randomly selects 5 fish for his new aquarium.<br />

a. Find the probability that Kevin gets exactly 2 sharks. (3 marks)<br />

b. Calculate the expected number of piranha. Show your work.<br />

(2 marks)


Name: _______________________ Date: _____________ May 2012<br />

9. Mr. Neave will play in the Staff vs. Student Softball game. He is a<br />

0.550 hitter. That means his probability of getting a hit is 0.55.<br />

(a) What is the probability that Mr. Neave gets his first hit in his third<br />

at bat? (2 marks)<br />

(b) On which at bat would you expect him to get his first hit? (2 marks)<br />

10. Mathex, a new medication to cure math anxiety, is effective for 75%<br />

of the participants in clinical trials. A group of twenty patients take<br />

this new medication.<br />

a) What is the probability that the medication will be effective for<br />

exactly 10 patients? Show your work. (2 marks)<br />

b) What is the expected number of patients the drug will be effective<br />

for? Show your work. (2 marks)


Name: _______________________ Date: _____________ May 2012<br />

PART D: THINKING<br />

11. Consider a simple game in which you roll a 12-sided die. If the number<br />

you roll is prime, you win twice that amount and if the number is not<br />

prime, you lose that amount.<br />

c. Find the probability distribution of winnings for the game.<br />

(3 marks)<br />

d. Is this a fair game? Use calculations to support your answer.<br />

(3 marks)


Name: _______________________ Date: _____________ May 2012<br />

12. Josh Clemente is a 70% free throw shooter. His probability of<br />

success is 0.70.<br />

a) What is the probability that Josh will make two free throws in a row?<br />

(1 mark)<br />

b) What is the probability that Josh will miss two free throws in a row?<br />

(1 mark)

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