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Presentation M. Madsen - BirdLife International

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Flyway conservation of migratory geese<br />

– a wide range of possible management strategies<br />

Jesper <strong>Madsen</strong><br />

Department of Arctic Environment, NERI, Aarhus University, Denmark<br />

Bird Conservation in the European Union – Planning for Recovery Action and Sustainable Use<br />

<strong>International</strong> Conference, Bruxelles, 23-24 November 2010<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Number of populations<br />

Status and recent trends of 26 goose<br />

populations in the Western Palearctic<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />


Number of populations<br />

Status and recent trends of 26 goose<br />

populations in the Western Palearctic<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />


Populations of special conservation concern:<br />

Lesser White-fronted Goose<br />

Greenland White-fronted Goose<br />

Svalbard Light-bellied Brent Goose<br />

Red-breasted Goose<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Conservation<br />

sucesses


National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Estimated population size<br />

1000000<br />

100000<br />

10000<br />

1000<br />

Russian/Baltic/North Sea population<br />

7.8% per annum (770,000)<br />

Conservation<br />

sucesses<br />

Photos and drawing kindly<br />

provided by<br />

David Boertmann<br />

John Frikke<br />

Jens Gregersen<br />

Per Ivar Nicolaisen<br />

Jan Skriver<br />

Arne Vanemo<br />

100<br />

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020<br />

Year<br />

Svalbard population<br />

6.6% per annum (30,000)<br />

Greenland population<br />

3.7% per annum (71,000)<br />

Source: Goose Specialist Group of Wetlands <strong>International</strong><br />

Fox et al. 2010; Ornis Svegica, in press


Geese have successfully adapted<br />

Behavioural adaptations to dynamic landscapes<br />

Pink-footed geese as example<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Source: <strong>Madsen</strong> & Boertmann,<br />

Landscape Ecology, 2008


Increasing goose populations cause conflict with<br />

agriculture, other human interests and<br />

ecosystem preservation<br />

So far, problems have only been addressed nationally<br />

Need to go from a local ’ad hoc’ to an international<br />

strategic approach<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Options for goose management<br />

Regional<br />

Recent example: Framework for management of geese<br />

in the wider international Wadden Sea area, including:<br />

Prioritization of management areas<br />

Application of ’stick and carrot’ approach<br />

Harmonisation of schemes across borders<br />

Encourage to see geese as a valued and natural asset<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Wadden Sea Forum Goose Management Group (2010):<br />

Recommendations and guidance for the development of a<br />

goose management plan for the trilateral Wadden Sea Region


Options for goose management<br />

Flyway-based<br />

Existing instruments:<br />

Bi-lateral national agreements<br />

EU Birds Directive<br />

African-Eurasian Waterbird Agreement of the<br />

Convention of Migratory Species (CMS)<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Requirements for flyway-based management of<br />

increasing populations<br />

Need for an integrated structural approach at flyway, national and<br />

regional level<br />

<strong>International</strong> measurable management objectives and actions have<br />

to be agreed<br />

Better understanding of the dynamics and system response<br />

(predictive tools)<br />

Discussion about population targets<br />

Use of hunting as a means of management?<br />

Adoption of adaptive harvest management concept?<br />

Close monitoring, feedback mechamisms to management<br />

No European example so far!<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


<strong>International</strong> flyway management plan for the<br />

Svalbard population of the Pink-footed Goose<br />

Anser brachyrhynchus<br />

<strong>International</strong> Stakeholder Workshop<br />

Dragør Badehotel, Copenhagen<br />

4-5 November 2010<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Flyway<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Comprehensive background data:<br />

Population monitoring since 1980<br />

Capture-resighting neckbanding programme since 1990<br />

Year-round ecological, behavioural and management studies<br />

Population, individual-based and spatial predictive modelling<br />

Hunting bag statistics (Norway; Denmark)<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


70000<br />

60000<br />

50000<br />

40000<br />

30000<br />

20000<br />

10000<br />

0<br />

Population development<br />

Increased protection<br />

from hunting<br />

1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Improved winter<br />

feeding conditions<br />

Climate change<br />

effects?


Observed Svalbard pink-footed goose population (1965-2005)<br />

with 25 year predicted trajectories<br />

Population size<br />

150,000<br />

100,000<br />

50,000<br />

0<br />

1970 1980 1990 2000<br />

Year<br />

2010 2020 2030<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Density independent model<br />

Density dependent model<br />

Source: Trinder & <strong>Madsen</strong><br />

Vogelwelt (2008)


Current legal status<br />

• Norway (+ Svalbard): open season<br />

• Denmark: open season<br />

• Netherlands: protected<br />

• Belgium: protected<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Management concern:<br />

increasing conflict with agriculture<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Management concern:<br />

Increasing habitat degradation of Arctic tundra<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


Hunting<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Norway<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Hunting bag<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


Hunting<br />

9000<br />

8000<br />

7000<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

Norway<br />

Denmark<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Hunting bag<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


Conclusions:<br />

General recovery and growth of goose populations in<br />

Europe constitutes a major conservation success<br />

Despite conservation instruments at hand, serious<br />

problems prevail for some populations, with insufficient<br />

understanding of causes of decline and appropriate<br />

conservation actions<br />

Continued growth of populations constitutes an increasing<br />

economic cost to society; lack of appropriate management<br />

tools at the right scale<br />

Need for an integrated structural approach at flyway,<br />

national and regional level<br />

Regional approach to management combined with adaptive<br />

flyway management are ways forward<br />

Requires stakeholder agreements, co-operation, shared<br />

learning and commitments, from farmers to scientists<br />

National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University


National Environmental Research Institute – Aarhus University<br />

Thank you!<br />

Photos kindly provided by<br />

Hans Dekkers<br />

John Frikke<br />

Ove Martin Gundersen<br />

Per Ivar Nicolaisen<br />

Jan Skriver<br />

Arne Vanemo

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