Rowville-Rail-Study-Final-Stage-1-Report-FINAL

Final Stage 1 Feasibility Report
Travel demand effects
feasible to provide parking for all of the demand indicated by the model (especially at
Rowville), although some would be ‘kiss-and-ride’ rather than park-and-ride. However access
by other modes (especially bus and bicycle) could be further improved to reduce the amount
of access by car.
The high proportion of car access suggested by the model is also probably overstated due to
VITM’s underestimation of the shift from car to public transport in general, which would apply
to access trip legs as well.
7.4 Mode shifts
Table 12 summarises changes in travel by time period due to the Rowville rail line in 2046.
Table 12 – Change in modelled trips in 2046 with Rowville rail line
Morning
peak
(7-9am)
Inter
peak
(9am-3pm)
Afternoon
peak
(3-6pm)
Off
peak
(6-10pm)
Total
Car trips To/from Rowville -2,500 -3,600 -3,600 -3,200 -12,900
Melbourne-wide -2,500 -5,000 -4,400 -3,400 -15,300
PT trips To/from Rowville 2,900 4,000 3,800 2,500 13,200
Total
trips
Melbourne-wide 2,500 4,300 3,700 2,300 12,800
To/from Rowville 400 400 200 -700 300
Melbourne-wide 0 -700 -700 -1,100 -2,500
The model overall produces 13,000 more public transport trips and 15,000 fewer car trips on
an average weekday when the Rowville rail line is added. A significant proportion of the
68,000 daily Rowville rail line users are predicted to transfer from the Dandenong, Glen
Waverley and Belgrave lines, as shown below. However in our estimation the transferring
passengers would probably not give rise to significant reductions in crowding on those other
lines; most of them would be using park-and-ride so it is likely that they would be replaced by
other users if parking space at stations is freed up.
As stated earlier we consider that VITM tends to underestimate the potential shift from car to
public transport that could result from a public transport improvement like the Rowville rail
line in future years.
7.4.1 Load and relief effects
Public transport
Figure 31 shows the change in passenger flows on public transport routes in the area due to
the Rowville rail line, in the 2-hour morning peak in 2046.
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