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WHJ-Winter2012

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Industry Viewpoint<br />

By Bernie Peet<br />

Over the last few years, the Industry Crisis column has looked at what has been going on in the<br />

Canadian industry as our producers have battled a series of unprecedented challenges which has seen<br />

the industry reduce in size by nearly a quarter. <strong>WHJ</strong> Editor Bernie Peet continues to review industry<br />

events and trends that will shape the industry in future, both in North America and around the world.<br />

He will comment on industry developments and how they impact Canadian producers, providing his<br />

unique perspective and personal viewpoint on the important issues.<br />

14 | Western Hog Journal | Winter 2012<br />

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Cautious optimism<br />

but no expansion<br />

Despite the fact that 2011 was the best year<br />

for Canadian hog producers since 2006,<br />

there are few signs of any expansion in the<br />

national herd, with the October 1 census<br />

showing sow and gilt numbers almost<br />

identical to the same month in 2010 and<br />

total hog numbers up by just 1% to 12<br />

million. The September US Hogs and Pigs<br />

Report showed a similar picture, with both<br />

breeding pigs and total pig numbers up a<br />

mere 1% year on year. High feed prices and<br />

caution following four years of losses seems<br />

to have stifled any appetite for growth.<br />

Most of the increase in hog numbers<br />

was due to a 9.1% increase shown by<br />

Saskatchewan, from 770,000 to 840,000<br />

head. This was accompanied by an<br />

additional 5,000 sows, representing a<br />

5.3% increase and indicating that some<br />

empty barns have come back into use.<br />

Saskatchewan saw total pig numbers drop<br />

by 38.9% and sow numbers by nearly<br />

29% in the five years to October 2011.<br />

Mysteriously, BC also showed an increase<br />

of 10,000 pigs over the year, although sow<br />

numbers barely moved, up 1% to 9,300.<br />

“The total number of<br />

hog farms in Canada has<br />

reduced by 39.7% in the<br />

five year period”<br />

This goes against the five year trend,<br />

which has seen total numbers down by<br />

34% and sow numbers down by 48%. In<br />

Manitoba, although total numbers remained

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