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462 Alternative decision-support systems
43. Libby, R. Accounting Ratios and the Prediction of Failure: Some Behavioral
Evidence, Journal of Accounting Research, Spring, 150–161.
44. Dawes, R. M. (1979) The Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models, American
Psychologist, 34, 571–582.
45. Zacharakis, A. L. and Meyer, G. D. (2000) The Potential of Actuarial Decision
Models: Can they Improve the Venture Capital Investment Decision?
Journal of Business Venturing, 15, 323–346.
46. Whitred, G. and Zimmer, I. (1985) The Implications of Distress Prediction
Models for Corporate Lending, Accounting and Finance, 25, 1–13.
47. Shepanski, A. (1983) Tests of Theories of Information Processing Behavior
in Credit Judgement, The Accounting Review, 58, 581–599.
48. Dawes, R. M., Faust, D. and Meehl, P. (1989) Clinical versus Actuarial
Judgement, Science, 243, 1668–1673.
49. Johnson, E. J. (1988) Expertise and Decision under Uncertainty: Performance
and Process, in M. T. H. Chi, R. Glaser and M. J. Farr (eds) The Nature of
Expertise, Erlbaum, Hillsdale, NJ.
50. Blattberg, R. C. and Hoch, S. J. (1989) Database Models and Managerial
Institution: 50% Model and 50% Manager, Report from the Center for
Decision Research, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago,
May.
51. Chalos, P. (1985) The Superior Performance of Loan Review Committee,
Journal of Commercial Bank Lending, 68, 60–66.
52. Casey, C. and Selling, T. I. (1986) The Effect of Task Predictability and Prior
Probability Disclosure on Judgment Quality and Confidence, The Accounting
Review, 61, 302–317.
53. For recent discussion see:
Bishop, M. A. and Tront, J. D. (2002) 50 Years of Successful Predictive Modeling
Should be Enough: Lessons for Philosophy of Science, Philosophy of
Science, 69, S197–S208.
Ganzach, Y., Kluger, A. N. and Klayman, N. (2000) Making Decisions from
an Interview: Expert Measurement and Mechanical Combination, Personnel
Psychology, 53, 1–20.
Bell, T. B., Bedard, J. C., Johnstone, K. M. and Smith, E. F. (2002) @RISK: A
Computerized Decision Aid for Client Acceptance and Continuation Risk
Assessments, Auditing – A Journal of Practice and Theory, 21, 97–113.
54. Bunn, D. and Wright, G. (1991) Analysis of the Interaction of Judgmental
and Statistical Forecasting Models, Management Science, 37, 510–518.
55. For a recent review see Wright, G. and Bolger, F. (1992) Expertise and Decision
Support, Plenum, New York.
56. Nazareth, D. L. (1989) Issues in the Verification of Knowledge in Rule-based
Systems, International Journal of Man–Machine Studies, 30, 255–271.