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The main stages of the analysis 333<br />

(iii) To minimize the risk associated with any developments. (Some<br />

strategies would offer the benefit of being less risky, and we will<br />

refer to this as ‘Risk’. Note that we will be using values rather than<br />

utilities here even though the decision involves risk – we discussed<br />

this issue in Chapter 3.)<br />

Identifying the possible strategies for each region<br />

The group of managers then considered the strategies which were<br />

available in each region and these are summarized in Figure 13.1. For<br />

example, in the North sales region two strategies were identified. Either<br />

the operation there could be scaled down so that only three outlets<br />

would be retained (this might be sensible in view of the recent poor<br />

performance of the company in this region), or the status quo could<br />

be maintained.<br />

Note that in Figure 13.1 the strategies for each region are organized in<br />

the order of the level of resources which would be required, with level<br />

1 representing the lowest level of expenditure. The figure can also be<br />

used to identify the possible combinations of strategies which could be<br />

Region<br />

North<br />

West<br />

East<br />

South<br />

Reduce to<br />

three outlets<br />

Close down<br />

operation<br />

Status quo<br />

Status quo<br />

Level<br />

1 2 3<br />

Status quo<br />

Status quo<br />

Expand to<br />

four outlets<br />

Expand to<br />

16 outlets<br />

Expand to<br />

six outlets<br />

Expand to<br />

10 outlets<br />

Also open<br />

three town<br />

center outlets<br />

Figure 13.1 – Possible strategies identified by managers of the furniture company

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