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Multi-attribute utility 127<br />

Utility<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Utility<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6<br />

0<br />

50<br />

Overrun time (weeks)<br />

(a) (b)<br />

Figure 5.18 – Utility functions for overrun time and project cost<br />

100 140<br />

Project cost ($000)<br />

Table 5.4 – The project manager’s utilities for overrun<br />

and cost<br />

No. of weeks<br />

project overruns<br />

target Utility<br />

Cost of<br />

project ($) Utility<br />

0 1.0 50 000 1.00<br />

1 0.9 60 000 0.96<br />

3 0.6 80 000 0.90<br />

6 0.0 120 000 0.55<br />

140 000 0.00<br />

This implies that u(3 weeks overrun) = 0.6. By a similar process, the<br />

manager indicates that u(1 week overrun) = 0.9. The resulting utility<br />

function is shown in Figure 5.18(a).<br />

We then repeat the elicitation process to obtain a utility function<br />

for project cost. The function obtained from the manager is shown<br />

in Figure 5.18(b). Table 5.4 summarizes the utilities which have been<br />

elicited for overrun and cost.<br />

Stage 2<br />

We now need to combine these utility functions to obtain the multiattribute<br />

utility function. If the two attributes are mutually utility

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