April 2011 - Centre for Civil Society - University of KwaZulu-Natal
April 2011 - Centre for Civil Society - University of KwaZulu-Natal
April 2011 - Centre for Civil Society - University of KwaZulu-Natal
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want to be able to speak their minds and put <strong>for</strong>ward their grievances<br />
without running the risk <strong>of</strong> being imprisoned, tortured or simply<br />
“disappearing”.<br />
The revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt were the sparks that in these<br />
conditions led to the revolutionary uprising in cities like Al Bayda,<br />
Benghazi and Misurata. Initially the movement swept across Libya from city<br />
to city, and in such a massive upsurge the state de facto collapsed in many<br />
areas <strong>of</strong> the country. Power simply fell into the hands <strong>of</strong> the revolutionary<br />
people. As the revolt seemed to be winning in one town after another, the<br />
rebels in Libya thought Gaddafi’s regime would soon go, as did the<br />
imperialists. It seemed that Gaddafi’s days were numbered and that soon<br />
the uprising would engulf Tripoli. But it didn’t! We have explained why in<br />
Why has the revolution stalled in Libya?<br />
Be<strong>for</strong>e it became evident that Gaddafi still had important reserves <strong>of</strong><br />
support and also a well-trained and well-equipped military <strong>for</strong>ce, a section<br />
<strong>of</strong> the Gaddafi regime also drew the conclusion that the regime was about<br />
to fall. This explains the defections <strong>of</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> leading figures from<br />
within the regime, including ministers in Gaddafi’s government.<br />
We have to ask ourselves why these individuals jumped ship so quickly. It<br />
is clear that they felt the revolution was going to go the same way as in<br />
neighbouring Tunisia and Egypt and that Gaddafi would end up like Ben Ali<br />
and Mubarak. Just like the Egyptian military chiefs, these defectors must<br />
have thought that it was better to “side with the revolution” than to be<br />
swept away by it. No doubt they wanted to play the same role as the<br />
Egyptian generals or <strong>of</strong> figures like Gannouchi in Tunisia, i.e. put<br />
themselves at the head <strong>of</strong> the revolution in order to derail it and maintain<br />
it within safe limits.<br />
The nature <strong>of</strong> the Interim Council and Government<br />
This brings us to the role played by the Interim Council that was<br />
established in Benghazi. This Council was thrown up by a situation in which<br />
the masses had brought down state power, but did not know what to<br />
replace it with. There was a de facto power vacuum created. In this<br />
situation accidental elements came to the <strong>for</strong>e, who are now clearly<br />
playing a counter-revolutionary role.<br />
Initially, the revolutionary youth were to the <strong>for</strong>e. From the very early<br />
days <strong>of</strong> the uprising we saw tension between this youth and the people<br />
appointed to the Interim Council. The youth were against outside<br />
interference. They wanted to carry out a revolutionary overthrow <strong>of</strong><br />
Gaddafi. But that was not what the Council leaders wanted. They blocked<br />
attempts at a revolutionary overthrow and marginalised the revolutionary<br />
youth.<br />
They successfully trans<strong>for</strong>med what had started out as a genuine<br />
revolution into a war to remove Gaddafi, but without in anyway changing<br />
Libya’s relationship with imperialism, without in any way challenging the<br />
economic policies <strong>of</strong> Gaddafi. In fact on the economy both Gaddafi and the<br />
Council have similar positions: opening up to the west, privatisation, and<br />
so on.<br />
How does one explain this dramatic turnaround in the situation? For this it<br />
is useful to look at the composition <strong>of</strong> the Council itself. The Interim<br />
Council has a significant number <strong>of</strong> individuals who had been part <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Gaddafi regime until very recently. These are people who have taken<br />
advantage <strong>of</strong> the sweep <strong>of</strong> the Arab revolution to push <strong>for</strong>ward their own<br />
agenda inside Libya.