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MATH1715 Tutee Revision Questions

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Response: This is very similar to the question asked on 16/12/2010. The answer can be<br />

obtained using a tree diagram or as indicated on 16/10/2010. Thus let Ar denote player<br />

A’s draw on stage r, r = 1, 3, 5, and Bs denote player B’s draw on stage s, s = 2, 4.<br />

P{A wins} = P{A1 = S} + P{(A1 = F) ∩ (B2 = F) ∩ (A3 = S)} + · · ·<br />

where P{A1 = S} = 1<br />

, and 5<br />

and so on.<br />

P{(A1 = F) ∩ (B2 = F) ∩ (A3 = S)} = 4 3 1<br />

× ×<br />

5 4 3 ,<br />

Question: 3/1/2011<br />

A stick of length L is broken into two parts at a random point chosen with uniform distribution.<br />

What is the expected length of the shortest part?<br />

Response: This is quite hard.<br />

Let the stick be broken at a point x so the two halves have length x and L − x for<br />

0 < x < L. Without loss of generality we can suppose that the shortest length is x for<br />

0 < x < 1L.<br />

(If this is the longer length, then use the other piece which has length<br />

2<br />

uniformly distributed between 0 and 1<br />

L.) This shorter piece has a uniform distribution<br />

2<br />

between 0 and 1L<br />

so the probability density function is f(x) = 2/L. (This is the key part<br />

2<br />

to understand!)<br />

The mean length is<br />

E[X] =<br />

� 1<br />

2 L<br />

0<br />

xf(x)dx =<br />

� 1<br />

2 L<br />

0<br />

2x<br />

dx =<br />

L<br />

� x 2<br />

L<br />

�1<br />

2 L<br />

0<br />

= 1<br />

4 L.<br />

Question: 3/1/2011<br />

Could you help me with this questions please about correlation coefficients.<br />

Let X be a random variable with mean 1 and variance 2. Let Y = −2X + 3. What is<br />

the correlation coefficient between X and Y ?<br />

Response: You can see that X and Y are linearly related. The negative slope −2 shows<br />

that as X increases, then Y decreases. The correlation corr(X, Y ) = −1.<br />

More formally<br />

Thus<br />

Var[Y ] = (−2) 2 Var[X] = 8, cov(X, Y ) = cov(X, −2X + 3) = −2Var[X] = −4.<br />

corr(X, Y ) =<br />

Question: 1/1/2011<br />

Please help me with the following question.<br />

cov(X, Y )<br />

� Var[X]Var[Y ] = −4<br />

√ 2 × 8 = −1.<br />

8

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