Master Plan Summary - Aerodrom Ljubljana

30
Moreover it has been proven that the above listed indicators are directly linked to the future
traffic growth (passengers and cargo) of Ljubljana International Airport. Hence, the higher
the traffic growth rates the larger the overall economical benefit of Ljubljana International
Airport.
Consequently, based on the future traffic growth of 4% (CAGR), the airport is more than
doubling its regional employment effect within the next two decades. In 2030, more than
4,500 direct and 5,079 indirect/induced jobs are generated as a result of the overall
development of Ljubljana International Airport. Thereby these 9,500 affected employees are
further strengthening the regional economy as their total income sums up to more than 50
million Euros (direct income) and 60 million Euros (indirect income) in 2030. Hence, based
on real terms and 2008 salaries, the airport is actively generating an additional regional
purchasing power of 115 million Euros (2030).
Macro - Economic Effects of LJU Airport 2008 2030
Direct employment effect 2,000 4,514
Indirect/induced employment effect 2,200 5,079
Total employment effect 4.200 9,593
Direct income effect 1,2 [m EUR] 24.3 54.9
Indirect/induced income effect 1,2 [m EUR] 26.3 60.7
Total income effect 1,2 [m EUR] 50.6 115.7
Direct net value added effect 1,3 [m EUR] 91.8 207.3
Indirect/induced net value added effect 1,3 [m EUR] 101.0 233.3
Total net value added effect 1,3 [m EUR] 192.9 440.6
Percentage of gross domestic product
of the Osrednjeslovenska region
1 in real terms
2 based on 2008 salaries
3 based on 2008 labor productivity
1.5% -
Ljubljana International Airport is currently generating a net added value of 192.9 million
Euros (2008), which will further increase, based on the future traffic growth, to 440 million
Euros in 2030. Hence, as the airport is already generating approximately 1.5% of the
total GDP within the Osrednjeslovenska region, its future growth potential is of significant
importance to the regional and national economy.
Moreover, in addition to these monetary economic benefits, the airport is actively enhancing
the regional attractiveness as a national and international business location which stipulates
the overall regional economic development. Even though the wider spin-off benefits of
Ljubljana International Airport such as:
• Reduced costs of trade movement,
• Increased location factor, and
• Rapid movement of passengers and goods,
are less tangible, they are of equal national importance for Slovenia as the associated direct,
indirect and educed economical benefits.
Hence, Ljubljana International Airport as the international air transportation gateway of
Slovenia is:
• Actively facilitating the national trade development,
• Indispensable for the in- and outbound tourism development, and
• A key catalyst to improve the national productivity.
Thus, approximately 20 years after Slovenia’s independence, the total contribution of
Ljubljana International Airport to the safeguarding of jobs and a sustainable development of
the national net added value is one of the major pillars of the existing social, economic and
cultural welfare of Slovenia.
Likewise the airport is nowadays representing Slovenia’s international gateway and offering
all Slovenes the opportunity to fully live out their own freedom of mobility.
Therefore in order to further develop the Slovenian transportation strategy and to connect
the national transportation system to the overall Trans European Transport Network, it is
essential to evaluate the need for the future development of Ljubljana International Airport,
including its railway connectivity, and to estimate potential economical and social damages,
which may result from a lack of capacity in the future.
A clear national development strategy can only be defined based on the comparison of the
economic and social benefits of Ljubljana International Airport to the potential environmental
and social damages.
31