Master Plan Summary - Aerodrom Ljubljana

Passenger
The base trend of the total number of passengers served by Ljubljana Airport shows that:
• Traffic volume will continue to grow and reach approximately 3.2 million in 2030 and
4.1 million passengers in the year 2040.
• This increase represents a compound annual growth rate of 3.35% between 2011
and 2040.
Illustration 7: Aircraft movements forecast (base trend)
Source: HTA, Symbios
Period CAGR
2011-2020 2,83
2020-2030 2,14
2030-2040 1,79
2011-2040 2,23
LJUSTAT + STF BASE TREND
YEAR MOV
2015 52.276
2020 59.710
2030 73.755
2040 88.038
100.000
90.000
80.000
70.000
60.000
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0
2001 2010 2020 2030 2040
Aircraft Movements
According to the passenger forecast, the number of aircraft movements at Ljubljana Airport
is also expected to continue to grow after a decline caused by the crisis.
• The number of movements is estimated to reach nearly 60,000 in the year 2020
and 88,000 in 2040.
• This increase represents a compound annual growth rate of 2.23% between 2011
and 2040.
Freight
The handling of cargo at Ljubljana Airport will develop positively until 2040. This forecast is
based on the feasibility study “Logistics Center Ljubljana Airport” 2007 which highlighted
that the main reason for the positive growth within the next years is the construction of
a multimodal logistic center and a rail link terminal. An infrastructure like this raises the
attractiveness of the airport for freight-forwarders.
• The air flown cargo volume is estimated to grow from nearly 10,000 tons in 2008
to over 60,000 tons; and
• Trucked freight should increase from 7,200 to over 100,000 tons by 2040.
Design Day Profiles and peak hour levels
The ‘Design Day Profile’ is the key component to identifying the future requirements of the
airport and is considered the main consideration for planning purposes. Based on annual
forecast figures and actual flight schedules, new flight schedules could be extrapolated
and peak hour indicators for passenger and aircraft movements were forecasted in 5-years
intervals.
• The peak hour analysis shows that the airport terminal requires a capacity around
1,770 passengers for adequate operation in 2030 (current capacity is 725
passengers).
• The peak hours for movements at Ljubljana Airport are related to the number of
passengers as well as to the capacity of the operating aircraft.
• The combined peak hour aircraft movements show a volume of 25 Air Traffic
Movements in 2030
18 19
Tons of Cargo
120.000,00
100.000,00
80.000,00
60.000,00
40.000,00
20.000,00
0,00
2001 2010 2020 2030 2040
Illustration 8: Air cargo forecast (base trend)
Source: HTA, Symbios
Total Air (lown) Cargo Total Air (trucked) Cargo