Master Plan Summary - Aerodrom Ljubljana

Factors Affecting Traffic
Fuel Price
• Airline´s advantage is membership in the Star Alliance which enables passenger Passenger, Aircraft and Freight Forecasts
Economy
• For 2009 Slovenia is experiencing the worst crisis since independence, as GDP is
expected to contract by about -4%.
• The demand for oil, and thereof the oil prices, is highly dependent on global
macroeconomic conditions. Experts believe that fuel price will increase in the long
term, after the current economic downturn.
connections to 912 airports through the world.
As a result of the worldwide economic crisis, the air traffic in Ljubljana decreased by -14.4%
in 2009. For 2010 the economic pick-up expected a little increase in the air traffic at
Ljubljana Airport however it is unlikely that the traffic will return to pre-crisis levels for
• A weak rebound should occur in 2010 as exports pick up.
Airport
several years.
• Inflation will continue to moderate on the back of a rising output gap and higher • Ljubljana airport would like to focus on its hub potential in the future.
North America
Far East, Asia
unemployment.
• The main traffic growth expectations for Adria Airways will be transfer traffic from
• In the long term the Slovenian economy is forecasted to grow on a higher level than
the Balkans.
Period CAGR
YEAR PAX
the EU average.
• The majority of the traffic is outbound traffic, while only 40% are incoming passengers
2011-2020
2020-2030
4,30
3,19
2015
2020
1.909.860
2.330.848
Tourism
from abroad.
5.000
2030-2040
2011-2040
2,67
3,35
2030
2040
3.191.805
4.155.313
• Tourism offers an important development and business opportunity for Slovenia. Adria Airways
Middle East
4.000
• Healthy growth rates have boosted the development of the Slovenian inbound tourist • Adria Airways strategy is to continue developing their hub at Ljubljana Airport and
3.000
•
market.
An increase in disposable income in Slovenia has positively benefited outbound
increase the number of transfer/transit passengers from/to Western Europe to/from
South East Europe, in particular the Balkan states.
Africa
2.000
•
tourism.
According to the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) the travel & tourism
economy is expected to grow by 4.4% per annum in real terms between 2010 and
2019.
•
•
As a result of the economic crisis the number of passengers will decline in 2009,
with Western Europe being the main market affected in terms of passenger declining.
Adria Airways has also reduced one daily flight on the routes to Vienna, Frankfurt and
Munich since July 09.
national logistic points
central logistic hub Ljubljana
European spokes
distribution ‘Europe’
1.000
0
2001 2010 2020
LJUSTAT + STF
2030
BASE TREND
2040
• In March 2009, Adria Airways has signed a letter of intent with Airbus to purchase
Illustration 5: European and International hub and spoke system (road, rail, air)
Illustration 6: Passenger forecast (base trend)
a new Airbus A319 aircraft. The management board intends to replace its existing
Airbus A320 fleet with new Airbus A319 aircraft by 2013.
Source: Feasibility Study “Logistic Center Ljubljana Airport”,
Symbios, 2007
Source: HTA, Symbios
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