MEMORANDUM FOR A1 - Air Force E-Publishing
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MEMORANDUM FOR A1 - Air Force E-Publishing

MEMORANDUM FOR A1 - Air Force E-Publishing MEMORANDUM FOR A1 - Air Force E-Publishing

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50 AFI91-202 5 AUGUST 2011 5.4.1. Safety meetings. 5.4.2. Supervisor safety briefings. 5.4.3. Base newspapers and bulletins. 5.4.4. Safety publications. 5.4.5. HQ/AFSC or MAJCOM publications. 5.4.6. Electronically via e-mail, web page or video. 5.5. Mishap Analysis Program. In order to reduce mishaps, Commanders and Chiefs of Safety must know the type and number of mishaps that occur in their command. Once the type and number are identified, commanders can take risk mitigation actions based on sound statistical data. This historical look-back approach should not preclude a proactive, forward looking mishap prevention plan based on pre-identified hazards that haven’t yet caused a mishap. 5.5.1. MAJCOMs and Wings will: 5.5.1.1. Conduct a annual analysis and develop specific actions to reverse adverse trends. Analysis should target specific problem areas with recommendations for commander approval and appropriate actions. 5.5.1.2. Analysis programs must identify successes or problem areas and trends, measure safety program effectiveness and guide prevention actions. 5.5.2. HQ AFSC will perform Air Force level trend analysis and publish results. In addition, AFSC may conduct Safety Analysis Team (SAT) hazard and mishap trend analysis (as described in paragraph 5.8) for MAJCOMs, as directed by AF/SE. 5.6. Mishap Prevention Analysis Methods. There are several ways to approach analysis of mishap data for mishap prevention purposes. Program analysis functions are to target, monitor and/or study. 5.6.1. Target Approach. This approach is similar to the study method below. After determining causes of mishaps, recommendations are developed and prioritized based on the frequency and severity. Corrective actions are directed at the activities and mechanisms that result in the greatest number of injuries. 5.6.2. Monitor Approach. In this method, the safety staff selects categories of raw data and reviews them regularly in the form of tabulations or rates. The object is to identify trends and problem areas. Selection of the areas to be monitored depends on the available data and the needs of the organization. Mishap reports are a good place to start, but other areas should not be overlooked. Some other categories that may be appropriate for analysis are: 5.6.2.1. Hazardous Air Traffic Reports. 5.6.2.2. High Accident Potential Reports. 5.6.2.3. Deficiency Reports. 5.6.2.4. Inspection/Evaluation Reports. 5.6.2.5. Foreign Object Damage (FOD) Reports. 5.6.2.6. First-Aid Cases.

AFI91-202 5 AUGUST 2011 51 5.6.2.7. Maintenance Logs or Reports. 5.6.2.8. Hazard Reports. 5.6.3. Study Approach. This is a detailed examination of a problem. A study should follow a systematic process. It typically follows the format of the Scientific Method. The researcher first drafts a problem statement that clearly defines the goals of the study. For example, a suitably specific research question might be ―Determine a trend in the frequency of X and identify possible explanations for this trend.‖ The researcher will then conduct background research to identify factors and data relevant to the problem. Then the researcher must draft an objective statement that describes the problem and limits the study (the hypothesis or purpose). An example is ―X is increasing because of Y.‖ Then the researcher develops a plan on how these factors and data are going to be collected, tabulated, compared, plotted and analyzed (methods). Finally, the data is collected and analyzed and results reported confirming or denying the hypotheses. Conclusions and implications regarding application of the results of the study are the most important outcome of the study. 5.7. Use of Analyzed Data. The purpose of analysis is to help prevent mishaps. Present conclusions drawn in a useful format to the people who can use them directly in their prevention programs. The data should also be available to other organizations with like equipment or problems. After taking corrective actions, follow-up analysis may be done to measure the effectiveness of these actions. 5.8. Safety Analysis Team (SAT) Process. The SAT process is a proactive, data-driven process with the goal of providing commanders with unbiased, rank-ordered risk mitigation strategies to assist in resource allocation for the preservation of combat capability. 5.8.1. The SAT process focuses exclusively on Subject Matter Expert (SME) analysis of mishap reports, identification of ―documented‖ risk and development of risk mitigation strategies to meet these hazards. The process then considers the effectiveness of each of the strategies weighed against real-world constraints, and through detailed mathematical analysis provides commanders with a rank-ordered list of qualified and quantified recommendations for implementation. 5.8.2. SAT assessments can be requested through the AFSC Analysis and Integration Division (AFSC/SEA). All requests are approved by AF/SE. HQ AFSC/SEA will conduct the study and provide a final report and out-brief to the requesting commander. For additional information contact HQ AFSC/SEA; DSN: 246-1562, Commercial: (505) 846- 1562. 5.9. Air Force Culture Assessment Safety Tool (AFCAST). AFCAST provides squadron commanders and above with web-based tools to survey aircrew, maintenance and support personnel regarding safety issues. AFCAST also offers ground safety versions for Drinking and Driving, Private Motor Vehicle, Motorcycle, and Off-duty and Outdoor Recreational Activity. 5.9.1. AFCAST helps commanders identify safety concerns and hazards while highlighting where to focus their hazard assessment efforts. This tool’s key goal is identification and correction of subtle organizational conditions that increase mishap potential. Commanders receive real-time feedback on attitudes and perceptions concerning safety climate and culture, resource availability, workload, progress of safety intervention programs and other operational factors relating to safety.

50 AFI91-202 5 AUGUST 2011<br />

5.4.1. Safety meetings.<br />

5.4.2. Supervisor safety briefings.<br />

5.4.3. Base newspapers and bulletins.<br />

5.4.4. Safety publications.<br />

5.4.5. HQ/AFSC or MAJCOM publications.<br />

5.4.6. Electronically via e-mail, web page or video.<br />

5.5. Mishap Analysis Program. In order to reduce mishaps, Commanders and Chiefs of Safety<br />

must know the type and number of mishaps that occur in their command. Once the type and<br />

number are identified, commanders can take risk mitigation actions based on sound statistical<br />

data. This historical look-back approach should not preclude a proactive, forward looking mishap<br />

prevention plan based on pre-identified hazards that haven’t yet caused a mishap.<br />

5.5.1. MAJCOMs and Wings will:<br />

5.5.1.1. Conduct a annual analysis and develop specific actions to reverse adverse trends.<br />

Analysis should target specific problem areas with recommendations for commander<br />

approval and appropriate actions.<br />

5.5.1.2. Analysis programs must identify successes or problem areas and trends, measure<br />

safety program effectiveness and guide prevention actions.<br />

5.5.2. HQ AFSC will perform <strong>Air</strong> <strong>Force</strong> level trend analysis and publish results. In addition,<br />

AFSC may conduct Safety Analysis Team (SAT) hazard and mishap trend analysis (as<br />

described in paragraph 5.8) for MAJCOMs, as directed by AF/SE.<br />

5.6. Mishap Prevention Analysis Methods. There are several ways to approach analysis of<br />

mishap data for mishap prevention purposes. Program analysis functions are to target, monitor<br />

and/or study.<br />

5.6.1. Target Approach. This approach is similar to the study method below. After<br />

determining causes of mishaps, recommendations are developed and prioritized based on the<br />

frequency and severity. Corrective actions are directed at the activities and mechanisms that<br />

result in the greatest number of injuries.<br />

5.6.2. Monitor Approach. In this method, the safety staff selects categories of raw data and<br />

reviews them regularly in the form of tabulations or rates. The object is to identify trends and<br />

problem areas. Selection of the areas to be monitored depends on the available data and the<br />

needs of the organization. Mishap reports are a good place to start, but other areas should not<br />

be overlooked. Some other categories that may be appropriate for analysis are:<br />

5.6.2.1. Hazardous <strong>Air</strong> Traffic Reports.<br />

5.6.2.2. High Accident Potential Reports.<br />

5.6.2.3. Deficiency Reports.<br />

5.6.2.4. Inspection/Evaluation Reports.<br />

5.6.2.5. Foreign Object Damage (FOD) Reports.<br />

5.6.2.6. First-Aid Cases.

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