MEMORANDUM FOR A1 - Air Force E-Publishing

AFI91-202 5 AUGUST 2011 145
risk and acknowledging and accepting expected future losses. For each option, including
accepting the baseline risk, address:
Description: Describe the option being evaluated.
Impact: Describe the impact of this option. What are its benefits; limitations? Address
its effectiveness and explain how it will eliminate or control future losses. Does it address
other hazards/problems or introduce new ones?
Cost: Estimate the costs (i.e., financial, operational, maintenance, etc.) to implement this
option.
Schedule: Estimate schedule implement this option.
Residual Risk: Great risk mitigation options eliminate hazards and their risk entirely;
others only reduce the risk. Assuming this risk mitigation option is implemented; identify
the probability and severity of a mishap that could result from the hazard based upon the
exposure of personnel or assets to the identified hazard. Fully explain the methodology
used (including analytical assumptions and limitations), data considered, and rationale for
determining residual risk.
Expected Future Losses: Estimate the expected losses with implementation of this
option. Express losses over a period of time, a number of events or for a given
population. Fully explain the methodology used, data considered and rationale for
determining these expected losses.
Summary of Options: If the number of risk mitigation options is lengthy, a tabular summary
may be appropriate. Include as appropriate.
Recommendation: State the recommended course(s) of action, including rationale.
Attachments: Include more detailed or supporting information, as required.
A15.2. Existing Questions from AFSC’s System Safety Handbook. NOTE: Not all of the
following questions will apply to every risk.
A15.2.1 What were the preliminary mishap risk index results when the safety deficiency was
initially identified? – Initial Risk
A15.2.2. What is (are) the identified deficiency (design, maintenance, material, quality,
software, etc)? – Hazard Identification
A15.2.3. What are the hazards caused by the deficiencies in light of known requirements and
interrelationships with man, machine and environmental system elements? – Background and
Hazard Identification
A15.2.4. What, if any, supporting historical data substantiate the need for the modification (list
Class A, B, C mishaps, HAPs, Cat I DRs, etc.)? - Initial Risk