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Oral Submission Presentation by Blake Foster - New Zealand ...

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temperature or unseasonal frosts, as well as light grazing/browsing pressure (from both<br />

domestic and wild animals). The evidence from many wilding spread areas throughout<br />

<strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong> is that this set of circumstances do not happen nearly as frequently as many<br />

people think - as wildings often appear in uniform age classes separated <strong>by</strong> many years.<br />

This is the case at Pukaki Downs. Even though the major seed source beside the lake<br />

has been producing contorta pine seed since the early 1980s, there appears to have been<br />

just one event (in the early 1990s) which allowed wildings to become established out to 10<br />

km to the west (on the Twizel river flats). There is no certainty when such events will<br />

occur, but time and again this author has seen them happening between 15-20 years<br />

apart, sometimes earlier if contorta pine is involved.<br />

Susceptibility of land to wilding establishment. Wilding conifers establish most<br />

readily on lightly vegetated and lightly grazed land. They are least likely to establish<br />

where the vegetation cover is thick (herbaceous and woody) and/or where animal grazing<br />

is medium to heavy. Rabbit numbers can have a major negative effect on wilding<br />

establishment, and in the high country the arrival of rabbit haemorrhagic disease in 1997<br />

heralded a significant rise in seedling numbers. However, sheep have been the main<br />

grazing influence on Pukaki Downs. Even a low stocking pressure of around 0.5 stock<br />

units per hectare will significantly decrease wilding establishment, but only while the seed<br />

rain is light and infrequent. Once the seed rain becomes heavy, higher animal stocking<br />

rates are required to prevent seedling establishment – they are especially difficult to<br />

remove with grazing once they become woody (usually at 2 years of age).<br />

Herbaceous growth following conifer felling. In the high country it is well known<br />

that after the felling of conifers, the growth of herbaceous species (particularly grasses)<br />

within the ‘carcass’ of the felled tree can be vigorous - as long as the slash is not too thick,<br />

preventing light from reaching the ground surface. This increase in vigour is due to a<br />

‘flush’ of nutrients released from decaying needles and bark, combined with the sheltered<br />

microclimate created <strong>by</strong> the slash. The resulting vigorous grass growth can prevent the<br />

establishment of a new crop of wildings (or any woody species for that matter) for a<br />

number of years. And as conifer seed does not remain viable in the ground for more than<br />

a few years, the opportunity for wilding reinvasion can be lost – as long as there is no new<br />

outside seed source available when the grass vigour declines.<br />

Likely future spread with no further management<br />

Understandably, the incidence of wilding spread on Pukaki Downs would increase<br />

significantly if no further control was exercised.<br />

Relative to this three points deserve further mentioned:<br />

• Role of more intensive land use. Wildings will always have trouble<br />

establishing in the presence of improved pasture and/or higher stock<br />

grazing pressures. Although Pukaki Downs does not lend itself to<br />

large-scale pasture improvement, such areas do exist, the main one<br />

being in the southern mid and eastern zones (blocks 31 and 32), with<br />

a smaller area of thicker pasture swards on flat land to the west on the<br />

Twizel river flats (southern end of block 25). Parts of these areas are<br />

being worked up for an arable crop. These wilding-free areas can only<br />

be maintained if the more intensive management is continued, even if<br />

it may not be as cost-effective today to maintain the higher grazing<br />

levels of the past. It should also be noted that as seed rains get<br />

heavier (from higher seed production of adjacent trees) the likelihood<br />

of wilding invasion of less susceptible land increases.<br />

• Most susceptible land. The most susceptible land for further invasion<br />

is the western half of the property - that draining into the upper Twizel<br />

river catchment (blocks 25 to 29). This is the largest area with the<br />

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