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Bioidentical Hormones - U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging

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(214 cases; P for trend=.72): however,<br />

these trends did not differ significantly<br />

(P for interacti<strong>on</strong>=.54). There were no<br />

significant increases in risk due to<br />

horm<strong>on</strong>e therapy for any outcome at<br />

ages 50 1o 59 years, but increases<br />

in risk for CHD, stroke, and global<br />

index events in some older age calegories<br />

were noted. There was a reducti<strong>on</strong><br />

in total mortality in the age group of<br />

50 to 59 years (HR, 0.70; 95% Cl,<br />

0.51-0.96), with a n<strong>on</strong>significant trend<br />

for increasing HRs across age groups<br />

(P=.06). In adjusted models, the HRs<br />

of CFD (P=.04) and global index<br />

evenis (P=.04) were n<strong>on</strong>significanmly<br />

lower in the age group of 50 to 59<br />

years for women taking CEE compared<br />

with women taking CEE + MPA<br />

but HiRs were comparable at older<br />

ages (results not shown). The HR for<br />

the global index increased with age in<br />

the CEE trial (P for trend=.01). However,<br />

the trend statistics for CHD and<br />

global index did not differ between the<br />

trials.<br />

200<br />

HORMONE THERAPY USE AND RISK OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE<br />

Effects of Horm<strong>on</strong>e Therapy menopause without prior cardiovascuby<br />

Years Since Menopause tar disease, the HR for stroke was 1.64;<br />

The HR for CHD was 0.76 in women after excluding women older than 60<br />

with less than 10 years since meno- years, the HRattenuated to t.23 (all 95%<br />

pause, I.10 for women with 10 to less Cis included I). There were no signifithan<br />

20 years since menopause, and 1.28 cant differences in the HRs between the<br />

forwomen with more than 20yearssince tials in any category of yearssince menomenopause<br />

(P for trend = .02; TABLE 5). passe in the adjusted models (results not<br />

Horm<strong>on</strong>e therapy increased the risk of shown),andthetrendstaiisticsfortreat-<br />

CHD in women with 20 or more years ment effects by years since menopause<br />

since menopause (HR, 1.28; 95% Cl, also were similar for all outcomes.<br />

1.03-1.58). In women without prior cardios-ascular<br />

disease, Lhe HRs across cat- Estimated Absolute Excess Risk<br />

egories of years since menopause were The combinati<strong>on</strong> of low inctdence rates<br />

0.78, 1.10, and 1.35 (464 cases; P for and modest HRs at ages 50 to 59 years<br />

trend =.02) and in women with priorcar- led to low or no absolute excess risks of<br />

diovascular disease they were 0.59,1.08, CHD, stroke, total mortality, or global<br />

and 1.14 (180 cases: P for trend= .44); index eventsdue to horm<strong>on</strong>e therapy in<br />

these trends did not differ significantly thatagegroup (FIuGRE 1). With increas-<br />

(P for interacti<strong>on</strong> = .68). In c<strong>on</strong>trast to ing age, the higher incidence rates and<br />

CHD, the effect of horm<strong>on</strong>e therapy <strong>on</strong> larger HRs yielded progressively larger<br />

stmke risk was similar in all categories estinated absolute excess risks due to<br />

of years since menopause, with a HR of horm<strong>on</strong>e therapy. At ages 50 to59years,<br />

1.77 (95% Cl, 1.05-2.98) in women with there were 10 fewer deaths per 10 000<br />

less than 10 years since menopause. In pers<strong>on</strong>-years compared with 16 addiwomen<br />

with less than 10 years since ti<strong>on</strong>al deaths at ages 70 to 79 years<br />

Tabli 2. Selected Baseline Characteristics of Participants in the Trial of C<strong>on</strong>jugated Equine Estrogens Plus Medroxyprogester<strong>on</strong>e Acetate<br />

(CEE + MPA) In = 16608),<br />

N. I%) of Paerh ats<br />

Rand<strong>on</strong>itata<strong>on</strong> Aginient Age at Ranililatl<strong>on</strong> Years Since Menopanuse<br />

CEE+MPA<br />

(i- 8505)<br />

Placebo<br />

fn.Sl02<br />

s-59py<br />

(n.ss22)<br />

60-89y<br />

(n.7510)<br />

70-79y<br />

(n.3176)<br />

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