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Bioidentical Hormones - U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging

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EFFECTS OF POSTMENOPAUSAL ESTROGEN<br />

(49 vs 54 per 10000 pers<strong>on</strong>-years; 9%<br />

reducti<strong>on</strong>) (TABLE 3). These data rule<br />

out a reducti<strong>on</strong> in CHD rates with CEE<br />

Figure 2. Cumulative Drop-in and Dropout<br />

Rates by Randomnizati<strong>on</strong> Assignment and<br />

Follow-up Durat<strong>on</strong><br />

30<br />

so<br />

20<br />

I 2 3 5 0 1<br />

CEEindeat.,.O10gatod o.a.to 0100.g-.ot.o<strong>on</strong>ftdy<br />

h-oto- to sintae dooti. -b0 -100001y00oy~d<br />

0017y inafllo-up yoaes 1. 3. n 06-<br />

Table 3. Clinical Outm<strong>on</strong>mes by Randomizati<strong>on</strong> Assignnment<br />

174<br />

of more than 25% dunog the trial period.<br />

The incidence of stroke was increased<br />

by 39% in the CEE group (44<br />

vs 32 per 10000 pers<strong>on</strong>-years, Z=-2.72,<br />

P-,007), which crossed the adverse<br />

effect m<strong>on</strong>itoring boundary for the 14th<br />

planned interim analysis (defined as<br />

z--2.69). The risk of VTE, including<br />

both DVT and PE, was increased for<br />

women takingCEE (28vs21 per 10000<br />

pers<strong>on</strong>-years; 33% increase), although<br />

<strong>on</strong>ly the increased rate of DVT<br />

reached statistical significance (P = .03).<br />

Total cardiovascular disease event rates.<br />

including stroke, were 12% higher in<br />

women taking CEE (225 vs 201 per<br />

10000 pers<strong>on</strong>-years, P=.02).<br />

Cancer. Invasive breast cancer, the<br />

primary safety outcome for this trial,<br />

was diagnosed at a 23% lower rate in<br />

the CEE group than in the placebo<br />

No. o1 Petlnto<br />

(Annualaed %)<br />

group (26 vs 33 per 10000 pers<strong>on</strong>years)<br />

and this comparis<strong>on</strong> narrowly<br />

missedstatistical significance (P =.06).<br />

No significant differences were found<br />

in rates of colorectal cancer for CEE vs<br />

placebo (17 vs 16 per 10000 pers<strong>on</strong>years)<br />

or total cancer (103 vs 110 per<br />

10000 pers<strong>on</strong>-years) (Table 3).<br />

Fractures. Use of CEE reduced the<br />

rates of fractures by 30% to 39%. Hip<br />

fracture rates were I Ivs 17 per 10000<br />

pers<strong>on</strong>-years (P-.01); clinical vertebra)<br />

fractures, 1 I vs 17 per 10000 pers<strong>on</strong>-years<br />

(P=.02); and total osteoporoue<br />

fractures, 139 vs 195 per 10000<br />

pers<strong>on</strong>-years (P

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