Bioidentical Hormones - U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging
Bioidentical Hormones - U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging Bioidentical Hormones - U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging
prior Ml or coronary revascularization were enrolled. The intervention groups were well balanced at baseline on key demographic and disease risk lactor characteristics (TABLE I and TABIF 2). Follow-up, Adherence, and Unblinding Vital status is known for 10176(94.8%) of randomized participants, including 580 (5.4%) known to be deceased. Over the average 6 8 years of follow-up (range. 5.7-10.7 years), only 563 women (5 2%) withdrew, were considered lost to lollow-up, or had stopped providing outcomes information for more thait 18 months (FIGUliE 1). At the iime of study termination. 53 8% of women had already stopped taking study medication. Dropout rates exceeded design projections, particularly early on, but did not differ significantly by randomization assignment and wcere stable after year J. even with the termination of the estrogen plus progestn trial (FIGURE 2). Some women initialed hormone use through their own healih care clinician: 5.7% of women in the CEE group and 9.1% in the placeho group by follow-up year 6. These drop-in rates in the placebo gio1u wsyn also somewhat greater than expected. Reasons for initiating hormone therapy outside of the study were not captured Unblinding of the study gynecologist io randomization assignment was infrequent, occrrnng for only 100 women in the CEE group and 83 in the placebo group. Per protocol, the treatment assignment was not revealed to other study staff members or the study participants Intermediate Cardiovascular Disease End Points Fasting blood lipid levels, assessed in an 8.6% subsample of women at baseline and year 1, showed a greater reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (-1 3.7% vs-Il .0%, P< 001) and a larger increase ilt high-density lipoproiein cholesterol (15.1% vs 11%, P
EFFECTS OF POSTMENOPAUSAL ESTROGEN (49 vs 54 per 10000 person-years; 9% reduction) (TABLE 3). These data rule out a reduction in CHD rates with CEE Figure 2. Cumulative Drop-in and Dropout Rates by Randomnization Assignment and Follow-up Duraton 30 so 20 I 2 3 5 0 1 CEEindeat.,.O10gatod o.a.to 0100.g-.ot.oonftdy h-oto- to sintae dooti. -b0 -100001y00oy~d 0017y inafllo-up yoaes 1. 3. n 06- Table 3. Clinical Outmonmes by Randomization Assignnment 174 of more than 25% dunog the trial period. The incidence of stroke was increased by 39% in the CEE group (44 vs 32 per 10000 person-years, Z=-2.72, P-,007), which crossed the adverse effect monitoring boundary for the 14th planned interim analysis (defined as z--2.69). The risk of VTE, including both DVT and PE, was increased for women takingCEE (28vs21 per 10000 person-years; 33% increase), although only the increased rate of DVT reached statistical significance (P = .03). Total cardiovascular disease event rates. including stroke, were 12% higher in women taking CEE (225 vs 201 per 10000 person-years, P=.02). Cancer. Invasive breast cancer, the primary safety outcome for this trial, was diagnosed at a 23% lower rate in the CEE group than in the placebo No. o1 Petlnto (Annualaed %) group (26 vs 33 per 10000 personyears) and this comparison narrowly missedstatistical significance (P =.06). No significant differences were found in rates of colorectal cancer for CEE vs placebo (17 vs 16 per 10000 personyears) or total cancer (103 vs 110 per 10000 person-years) (Table 3). Fractures. Use of CEE reduced the rates of fractures by 30% to 39%. Hip fracture rates were I Ivs 17 per 10000 person-years (P-.01); clinical vertebra) fractures, 1 I vs 17 per 10000 person-years (P=.02); and total osteoporoue fractures, 139 vs 195 per 10000 person-years (P
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- Page 171 and 172: 168 RISKS AND BENEFITS OF ESTROGEN
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prior Ml or cor<strong>on</strong>ary revascularizati<strong>on</strong><br />
were enrolled. The interventi<strong>on</strong><br />
groups were well balanced at baseline<br />
<strong>on</strong> key demographic and disease risk<br />
lactor characteristics (TABLE I and<br />
TABIF 2).<br />
Follow-up, Adherence,<br />
and Unblinding<br />
Vital status is known for 10176(94.8%)<br />
of randomized participants, including<br />
580 (5.4%) known to be deceased. Over<br />
the average 6 8 years of follow-up<br />
(range. 5.7-10.7 years), <strong>on</strong>ly 563<br />
women (5 2%) withdrew, were c<strong>on</strong>sidered<br />
lost to lollow-up, or had stopped<br />
providing outcomes informati<strong>on</strong> for<br />
more thait 18 m<strong>on</strong>ths (FIGUliE 1).<br />
At the iime of study terminati<strong>on</strong>.<br />
53 8% of women had already stopped<br />
taking study medicati<strong>on</strong>. Dropout rates<br />
exceeded design projecti<strong>on</strong>s, particularly<br />
early <strong>on</strong>, but did not differ significantly<br />
by randomizati<strong>on</strong> assignment<br />
and wcere stable after year J. even with<br />
the terminati<strong>on</strong> of the estrogen plus<br />
progestn trial (FIGURE 2). Some women<br />
initialed horm<strong>on</strong>e use through their<br />
own healih care clinician: 5.7% of<br />
women in the CEE group and 9.1% in<br />
the placeho group by follow-up year 6.<br />
These drop-in rates in the placebo<br />
gio1u wsyn also somewhat greater than<br />
expected. Reas<strong>on</strong>s for initiating horm<strong>on</strong>e<br />
therapy outside of the study were<br />
not captured Unblinding of the study<br />
gynecologist io randomizati<strong>on</strong> assignment<br />
was infrequent, occrrnng for <strong>on</strong>ly<br />
100 women in the CEE group and 83<br />
in the placebo group. Per protocol, the<br />
treatment assignment was not revealed<br />
to other study staff members or<br />
the study participants<br />
Intermediate Cardiovascular<br />
Disease End Points<br />
Fasting blood lipid levels, assessed in<br />
an 8.6% subsample of women at baseline<br />
and year 1, showed a greater reducti<strong>on</strong><br />
in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol<br />
(-1 3.7% vs-Il .0%, P< 001) and<br />
a larger increase ilt high-density lipoproiein<br />
cholesterol (15.1% vs 11%,<br />
P