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Chapter 12<br />

Making connections<br />

Imagine a snapshot of an athlete clearing a hurdle. What can we tell from our<br />

snapshot about what is happening? Although we have only a static image, we will<br />

have some idea of what has just happened, and what is going to happen. We may<br />

not understand the law of gravity, but we do have sufficient grounds for inferring that<br />

what goes up must come down. All the same, we would be happier with a succession<br />

of images which provide more direct evidence of what is going on. A videotape<br />

would do nicely. Then we would be in a much better position to answer the<br />

question ‘what happens next?’ <strong>Qualitative</strong> <strong>data</strong> often provides us with just this sort<br />

of direct evidence about the dynamics of what is happening.<br />

How can we analyse these dynamics? One way involves analysing <strong>data</strong> into<br />

categories which capture the main elements of social action, and then noticing and<br />

documenting how these categories interconnect. For example, suppose we have<br />

three successive images of our athlete. In the first, the athlete is poised to jump or<br />

has just sprung into the air. In the second, the hurdle is cleared. And in the third, the<br />

athlete has landed on the other side. We could categorize these as three actions—<br />

jumping, clearing, and landing. Suppose we find these actions tend to recur<br />

together in the <strong>data</strong>, and in a regular sequence. If we find the <strong>data</strong> conforming to<br />

this pattern, we may conclude that there is a connection between them.<br />

What is the probability, we may ask, of finding these three categories associated<br />

in a regular sequence in the <strong>data</strong>? How often is jumping succeeded by clearing the<br />

hurdle? How often is clearing the hurdle followed by landing? If these actions are<br />

connected, then the probability is high that we shall observe them in the expected<br />

sequence—unless other factors intervene. And here, of course, we must<br />

acknowledge that it is not enough just to jump—our athlete must jump high<br />

enough to clear the hurdle. We may find many—perhaps even a majority of—<br />

examples in the <strong>data</strong>, where the jump is not high enough, the hurdle is not cleared,<br />

and there is no happy landing on the other side. We must therefore introduce as a<br />

condition or intervening variable, that the jump reaches a certain height. Then we<br />

can check the <strong>data</strong> to see if our observations match our expectations.

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