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CMS-1403-FC final rule with comment period (72 FR 66381). While our current projection based on data from 8 months of 2008 is lower than our original estimate of -0.7 percent when we had no actual data, it is still possible that our final estimate of this figure will be different once we have complete information on CY 2008 fee-for-service enrollment. ● Factor 3--Estimated Real Gross Domestic Product Per Capita Growth in CY 2008 We estimate that the growth in real GDP per capita will be 1.6 percent for CY 2008 (based on the 10-year average GDP over the 10 years of CY 1999 through CY 2008). Our past experience indicates that there have also been differences between our estimates of real per capita GDP growth made prior to the year’s end and the actual change in this factor. Thus, it is possible that this figure will change further as complete actual information on CY 2008 economic performance becomes available to us in 2009. ● Factor 4--Percentage Change in Expenditures for Physicians' Services Resulting From Changes in Statute or regulations in CY 2008 Compared With CY 2007 The statutory and regulatory provisions that will affect expenditures in CY 2008 relative to CY 2007 are estimated to have an impact on expenditures of 3.5 percent. These include the DRA provision reducing payments for 970
CMS-1403-FC imaging services, the MIEA-TRHCA provisions regarding the 2007 PQRI reporting bonuses payable in 2008, and the MIPPA provisions regarding the physician update and the bonus payments for mental health services. The details of the MIPPA provisions are discussed in section III. of this final rule with comment period. 3. Detail on the CY 2007 SGR A more detailed discussion of our final revised estimates of the four elements of the CY 2007 SGR follows. ● Factor 1--Changes in Fees for Physicians' Services (Before Applying Legislative Adjustments) for 2007 This factor was calculated as a weighted-average of the CY 2007 changes in fees that apply for the different types of services included in the definition of physicians' services for the SGR. Services paid using the PFS accounted for approximately 82.8 percent of total Medicare-allowed charges included in the SGR for CY 2007 and are updated using the MEI. The MEI for CY 2007 was 2.1 percent. Diagnostic laboratory tests represented approximately 7.4 percent of total CY 2007 Medicare allowed charges included in the SGR and are updated by the CPI-U. However, section 628 of the MMA specifies that diagnostic laboratory tests will receive an update of 0.0 percent from CY 2004 971
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<strong>CMS</strong>-1403-FC<br />
imaging services, the MIEA-TRHCA provisions regarding the<br />
2007 PQRI reporting bonuses payable in 2008, and the MIPPA<br />
provisions regarding the physician update and the bonus<br />
payments for mental health services. The details of the<br />
MIPPA provisions are discussed in section III. of this<br />
final rule with comment period.<br />
3. Detail on the CY 2007 SGR<br />
A more detailed discussion of our final revised<br />
estimates of the four elements of the CY 2007 SGR follows.<br />
● Factor 1--Changes in Fees for Physicians' Services<br />
(Before Applying Legislative Adjustments) for 2007<br />
<strong>This</strong> factor was calculated as a weighted-average of<br />
the CY 2007 changes in fees that apply for the different<br />
types of services included in the definition of physicians'<br />
services for the SGR.<br />
Services paid using the PFS accounted for<br />
approximately 82.8 percent of total Medicare-allowed<br />
charges included in the SGR for CY 2007 and are updated<br />
using the MEI. The MEI for CY 2007 was 2.1 percent.<br />
Diagnostic laboratory tests represented approximately<br />
7.4 percent of total CY 2007 Medicare allowed charges<br />
included in the SGR and are updated by the CPI-U. However,<br />
section 628 of the MMA specifies that diagnostic laboratory<br />
tests will receive an update of 0.0 percent from CY 2004<br />
971