ALLBUS-Bibliographie 25. Fassung, Stand - SSOAR

GESIS Technical Report 2011|06 157
Aufgenommen: 20. Fassung, Februar 2005
Congdon, Peter, (2008). A bivariate frailty model for events with a permanent survivor
fraction and non-monotonic hazards; with an application to age at first maternity.
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 52: 4346-4356.
Abstract: "For certain life cycle events a non-susceptible fraction of subjects will
never undergo the event. In demographic applications, examples are provided by
marriage and age at first maternity. A model for survival data allowing a permanent
survival fraction, non-monotonic failure rates and unobserved frailty is considered
here. Regressions are used to explain both the failure time and permanent survival
mechanisms and additive correlated errors are included in the general linear models
defining these regressions. A hierarchical Bayesian approach is adopted with likelihood
conditional on the random frailty effects and a second stage prior defining the
bivariate density of those effects. The gain in model fit, and potential effects on inference,
from adding frailty is demonstrated in a case study application to age at first
maternity in Germany. […] This paper considers a model for survival data with a
permanent survival fraction and non-monotonic failure rates and evaluates the gain in
model fit, and effects on inference, from adding frailty. An application considers age
at first maternity using data from the 2002 German General Social Survey, with permanent
survival amounting to childlessness. Regressions are used to explain both the
failure time of the event (here age at first maternity) and the permanent survival mechanism
(susceptibility to undergo maternity or not). Additive correlated effects are
included in the linked models defining these regressions and relate to two types of
frailty: influences on the event rate itself and influences on the probability of susceptibility."
Aufgenommen: 24. Fassung, Februar 2010
Conradt, David P., (1996). The German Polity. White Plains, NY: Longman.
Abstract: "This study departs from earlier treatments of the Federal Republic in its
emphasis on the institutionalized character of the postwar system and the multiplicity
of policy changes and conflicts that are now taking place within the Republic. [...]
the key question is [...] what kind of democracy the Federal Republic has been and
will be in the future. This approach does not deny the influence of the past on current
institutions and processes; throughout the work, and especially in the treatment of
national identity [...] I have attempted to relate historical factors-particularly the
Third Reich and World War II - to the current politics of the Republic. But this approach
does suggest that a portrayal of the Republic as provisional or as one in which
the leadership is insecure or anxious about its abilities to maintain the liberal democratic
order is misleading." Für die Diskussion des Wählerverhaltens sowie für die
Analyse der Einstellungen der Deutschen bezüglich des Sozialismus, werden Daten