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K u rzfassu n g sb an d - Graz University of Technology

K u rzfassu n g sb an d - Graz University of Technology

K u rzfassu n g sb an d - Graz University of Technology

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Energieinnovation 2006 3<br />

1.1.2 „Towards sustainability <strong>of</strong> energy systems: how to optimise<br />

the provision <strong>of</strong> energy services from society's point-<strong>of</strong>-view”<br />

Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Reinhard Haas (TU-Wien/Energy Economics<br />

Group) 1<br />

Introduction<br />

The volume <strong>an</strong>d the capability <strong>of</strong> a society depends heavily on the availability <strong>of</strong> energy to provide<br />

energy services. Yet, the availability <strong>of</strong> energy is limited by scarce resources <strong>an</strong>d/or environmental<br />

constraints.<br />

The major purpose <strong>of</strong> this paper is to present some fundamental reflections on this issue <strong>an</strong>d to<br />

discuss basic concepts for bringing about a sustainable development for energy’s contribution to<br />

economies/societies. This should ensure that energy is used in a way which maximises the benefit for<br />

society in a dynamic framework.<br />

Method <strong>of</strong> approach<br />

We start with the hypothesis that the whole economic activities usually summarised e.g as a GDP c<strong>an</strong><br />

be interpreted as the aggregate <strong>of</strong> the monetary value <strong>of</strong> all services created in a society (regardless<br />

whether we consider these services as useful or valuable or not). Energy services are in general<br />

provided by using four inputs:<br />

S=f(e, η(T), h, CO2)<br />

with:<br />

e….energy<br />

η(T)….efficiency <strong>of</strong> technology<br />

CO2… Environment<br />

h ….hum<strong>an</strong> capital<br />

We differ between direct energy services (e.g. heat, mobility) <strong>an</strong>d indirect energy services (clothes,<br />

furniture, paper…).<strong>an</strong>d consider life-cycle bal<strong>an</strong>ces for technologies<br />

Of course, as history has shown there is a wide r<strong>an</strong>ge <strong>of</strong> possibilities <strong>of</strong> substitution between the<br />

different inputs. Of special interest is the aspect <strong>of</strong> increasing efficiency to reduce the necessary input<br />

<strong>of</strong> energy.<br />

This issue must be <strong>an</strong>alysed from the following points-<strong>of</strong>-view<br />

• How c<strong>an</strong> limited resources be used optimal over time<br />

• How c<strong>an</strong> the resulting energy be used in <strong>an</strong> optimal way to produce the maximum output<br />

(or in other words: What is the optimal mix <strong>of</strong> technological <strong>an</strong>d energy input given a<br />

certain scarcity <strong>of</strong> resources, a certain cost <strong>of</strong> depletion <strong>of</strong> energy for society)<br />

Based on these basic reflections the questions finally, discussed in this paper are:<br />

• What are the drivers <strong>an</strong>d slowers <strong>of</strong> energy service dem<strong>an</strong>d (including the <strong>an</strong>alysis <strong>of</strong><br />

intensities, income, energy price <strong>an</strong>d efficiency)<br />

• How must the development <strong>of</strong> these drivers be ch<strong>an</strong>ged to head towards sustainability<br />

• And how c<strong>an</strong>, finally, ideal long-term governmental policies contribute to bring about this<br />

solution<br />

1 Energy Economics Group, Vienna <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Technology</strong>, Gusshausstrasse 27-29/373-2,<br />

A-1040 Vienna, Tel. ++43-1-58801-37352; e-mail: Reinhard.Haas@tuwien.ac.at;

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