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Tålegrænser for lufforurening - DCE - Nationalt Center for Miljø og ...

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Impacts<br />

able. The CORINAIR database is the body <strong>for</strong> the EU countries including<br />

more detailed data and more air pollutants. For Denmark the<br />

emission inventories are being carried out as a cooperative ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />

between NERI and Research Centre Risoe covering CO 2, SO 2, NH y ,<br />

NO x, CH 4, N 2O, NMVOC and CO.<br />

For scenarios the variables in emissions are due to changes in energy<br />

policy, environmental policy and technol<strong>og</strong>y. Changes in energy use<br />

in the different economical sectors such as industry, agriculture,<br />

transport, housing and trade are related to energy efficiency, fuel<br />

type and emission control.<br />

Air pollution is monitored in Denmark in the permanent survey pr<strong>og</strong>ramme<br />

(BOP) and reports to EMEP and other international bodies.<br />

The EMEP grid is presently 50 km x 50 km <strong>for</strong> description of air pollutants<br />

over Europe. All major air pollutants are measured in field<br />

stations including a number of elements. Two different types of<br />

models <strong>for</strong> calculating long-range transport of air pollution and<br />

deposition are used. The Danish Eulerian Model (DEM) is calculating<br />

in- and output to fixed grids whereas Atmospheric Chemistry and<br />

Deposition model (ACDEP) follows an air package (a trajectory)<br />

during four days and calculating in- and output from this package.<br />

Both models cover the whole of Europe. Deposition of long-range<br />

transported air pollutants can be calculated with reasonable precision<br />

with these models, but ammonia is locally very heter<strong>og</strong>eneously distributed<br />

and deposited close to the source.<br />

Impacts of air pollutants can be estimated at three levels: Level 0 being<br />

empirical data judged by national experts; Level 1 being static<br />

modelling of steady-state <strong>for</strong> an ecosystem using input-output models;<br />

Level 2 being dynamic models with detailed data modelled<br />

stepwise between start and end state.<br />

Critical loads of acidifying and eutrophying substances are judged by<br />

level 0 <strong>for</strong> heathlands and b<strong>og</strong>s in Denmark, whereas Level 1 is used<br />

<strong>for</strong> <strong>for</strong>ests and permanent grasslands. Critical loads <strong>for</strong> acidification<br />

are a combination of two basic factors: the balance between the acidifying<br />

deposition and the natural acid-neutralising (buffer) capacity of<br />

the soil and vegetation. The critical loads <strong>for</strong> eutrophication influence<br />

the growth and competition among organisms in the ecosystems and<br />

may alter composition of vegetation and sensitivity of <strong>for</strong>est trees to<br />

biotic and abiotic stress such as insect attacks, frost etc. The critical<br />

loads of Danish ecosystems and the models used <strong>for</strong> calculation are<br />

discussed in chapter 5.1. However, eutrophying substances can also<br />

acidify the soil and consequently interrelationships between these<br />

effects are discussed in chapter 5.1. In practice today, the so-called<br />

protection isolines <strong>for</strong> individual ecosystems within one grid cell are<br />

calculated <strong>for</strong> the combinations of S and N depositions above which<br />

the critical loads are exceeded.<br />

Critical levels are also mainly calculated at Level 1 and the definition<br />

of the threshold level <strong>for</strong> damages is being thoroughly discussed in<br />

international <strong>for</strong>a. The most used method is to make experiments in<br />

Open-Top-Chambers fumigating crops with different concentrations<br />

and exposure length of different gasses. Most ef<strong>for</strong>t has been given to<br />

13

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